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🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 59.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$108,900

1850 Lodge Ave · Evansville, IN 47714
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,668 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 566 Days on market
Built 1952 8,400 sqft lot Est $180k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 bed, 2 bath brick corner ranch with 2-car garage. Recent updates per seller include flooring, carpet, paint, front door, roof, refrigerator, and range. Currently rented for $1300/month. Tenant is responsible for all utilities. Part of a package deal that includes 2 homes (959 S Grand Avenue and 1850 Lodge Avenue) for a TOTAL purchase price of $160,000. Can be purchased as part of a package that includes 2 homes(959 S Grand Avenue and 1850 Lodge Avenue) for a TOTAL purchase price of $160,000. Sold as is.

Key facts

  • Roof
  • Front door
  • Flooring

Tags

FLOORINGCARPETPAINTFRONT DOORROOFREFRIGERATOR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached off-street garage with 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Corner, level, wooded lot; No fencing; Sidewalks in the community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Electric range; One fireplace; Unfinished crawl space basement; Main-level laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $108,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$180,144) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lodge Community School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #859 of 994 statewide, top 87%, 382 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 50% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $753 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 566 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 36% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,832 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 566 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.85%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,144
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1140 Covert Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 1,705 (+2%) 0mo $130,000 $76 72
1255 Maple Ct 0.23mi 2/1.5 1,450 (-13%) 1mo $159,900 $110 65
1558 Henning Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 1,508 (-10%) 4mo $65,000 $43 60
2011 Maplewood Cir 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,505 (-10%) 11mo $81,000 $54 57
1024 Ravenswood Dr 0.59mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,780 (+7%) 1mo $191,900 $108 54
1143 Bennighof Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,582 (-5%) 5mo $195,000 $123 53
2067 Ridgeway Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,550 (-7%) 9mo $108,000 $70 47
1010 Ravenswood Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,591 (-5%) 11mo $175,000 $110 46
2031 Taylor Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,523 (-9%) 2mo $200,000 $131 43
1304 Parkside Dr 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,536 (-8%) 11mo $205,000 $133 41
2004 Frisse Ave 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,457 (-13%) 3mo $149,900 $103 40
2016 Mahrendale Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,870 (+12%) 12mo $186,200 $100 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-4,060
Equity at exit
$16,237
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$32,612
Equity at exit
$9,416

Cash invested: $30,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47714

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,115 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$571
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,698/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $959
Max offer price $108,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,225
Closing costs
$3,267
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1952 Colts Ln Evansville, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0 1146 $1,035 $0.90 20d 8 0.50mi
2001 S Taft Ave Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1472 $1,000 $0.68 20d 1 0.95mi
605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1069 $1,375 $1.29 20d 1 1.16mi
1713 Hawthorne Ave Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1204 $1,395 $1.16 20d 1 1.31mi
2947 Ravenswood Dr Unit 2927 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1150 $975 $0.85 20d 1 1.42mi
2818 S Villa Dr Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1061 $1,295 $1.22 20d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $108,900 Active 566 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $108,900 Active 565 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $108,900 Active 564 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $108,900 Active 563 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $108,900 Active 561 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $108,900 Active 560 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $108,900 Active 558 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $108,900 Active 557 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $108,900 Active 556 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $108,900 Active 555 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $108,900 Active 550 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $108,900 Active 549 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $108,900 Active 548 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $108,900 Active 547 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-07
    historical
  17. 2025-12-01
    status Active
  18. 2025-11-24
    price $110,000
  19. 2024-11-30
    listed $80,000 Active
  20. 2021-06-27
    listed $99,900
  21. 2019-11-15
    soldstatus $440,000
  22. 2014-01-29
    listed $21,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,698 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,698 · $142/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,385
− Mortgage interest
−$6,100
− Property taxes
−$1,698
− Insurance
−$544
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,071
− Management
−$1,071
− Depreciation
−$3,168
Taxable loss
−$268
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$64
After-tax cash flow
$1,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
32,132
Household income
$55,910
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1394.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.80%
Current HPI
211.1755
Rent YoY
▲ 7.86%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+417.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Delisted IRMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $110,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-11-30 Listed $80,000 IRMLS
  • 2021-06-27 Listed $99,900 IRMLS
  • 2019-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
  • 2014-01-29 Listed $21,250 IRMLS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,698 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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