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14119 Lincoln Ave
B+ Composite 76.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

14119 Lincoln Ave · Dolton, IL 60419
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,294 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 131 Days on market
Built 1920 0.50 ac lot Est $209k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you like uniqueness then you will jump at the chance to be the next owner of this beauty! This property features almost 2300 s. f. above grade living space, original hardwood floors and woodwork throughout, coffered ceilings, real wood burning fire place, an expansive enclosed front porch, privacy galore, and so much more to mention! There are 4 spacious bedrooms on the second level and a bonus room on the main level, perfect for a home office or extra bedroom. The adjacent lot is also included in the sale which provides an opportunity for future expansion. Schedule your private showing, homes like this one aren't available too often!

Key facts

  • Coffered ceilings
  • Enclosed front porch
  • 0.5 acre lot

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSCOFFERED CEILINGSWOOD BURNING FIRE PLACEENCLOSED FRONT PORCHADJACENT LOT INCLUDED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: School bus service available; Easy interstate access
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; Side driveway; Space for about 6 vehicles
  • Security: Holds earnest money
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Street lights nearby; Lot dimensions approximately 429 x 51

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main level)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (master and three additional bedrooms on the second floor)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors in main living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished full basement; Bonus room (main level)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room (basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $941 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,677/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $149,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.94%
Cash-on-cash
23.73%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$208,754
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13920 Kanawha Ave 0.28mi 4/2.0 2,122 (-8%) 2mo $73,000 $34 72
14208 Ingleside Ave 0.62mi 4/2.5 2,190 (-4%) 2mo $250,000 $114 60
14223 Grant St 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,995 (-13%) 18mo $130,000 $65 56
13837 Forest Ave 0.41mi 4/2.0 2,120 (-8%) 18mo $120,000 $57 53
264 E 142nd Pl 0.44mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,190 (-4%) 14mo $200,000 $91 52
14539 Murray Ave 0.64mi 4/3.0 2,500 (+9%) 1mo $269,900 $108 50
13901 S Michigan Ave 0.74mi 4/1.0 2,300 (+0%) 14mo $162,000 $70 50
14491 Lincoln Ave 0.71mi 4/3.0 2,300 (+0%) 20mo $274,000 $119 46
14036 Lincoln Ave 0.18mi 4/3.0 1,966 (-14%) 24mo $56,650 $29 44
14119 S Wabash Ave 0.75mi 5/1.5 (+1) 2,200 (-4%) 22mo $225,000 $102 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$46,574
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
33.6%
Equity multiple
4.83×
Total profit
$182,265
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,677 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$562
Net cashflow
$941

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19 E 140th Ct Riverdale, IL 3.0 2.0 2076 $2,231 $1.07 7d 1 0.77mi
13903 S State St Riverdale, IL 4.0 1.5 2300 $2,650 $1.15 24d 1 0.87mi
14505 Minerva Ave Dolton, IL 4.0 2.0 2100 $2,500 $1.19 24d 1 0.93mi
1429 Kasten Dr Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1600 $2,500 $1.56 1d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Active 117 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 116 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 115 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 114 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 113 DOM
  15. 2026-02-07
    listed $169,900 Active
  16. 2026-02-07
    historical
  17. 2026-02-06
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-31
    historical
  19. 2025-10-09
    listed Active
  20. 2025-07-29
    historical
  21. 2025-06-18
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,125
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,570
− Management
−$2,570
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$9,127
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,191
After-tax cash flow
$9,098/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-09 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-29 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-18 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…