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128 Kress St
C- Composite 54.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.8/15.0

$249,999

128 Kress St · Houston, TX 77020
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1950 6,499 sqft lot $130/sqft · 13% above area Est $222k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOCATION! LOCATION! 3 Bedrooms* 1 Full Bathroom* With Studio At Back*! Dining Room Over Looking Kitchen & Living Room* Living Room Opens Up To Kitchen With Bar* Huge Primary Room With Ceiling Fan* Spacious Bathroom With Tub* Laundry Room Inside Home* Big Back Yard* EZ Access To I10, 610, 59, & 90! Won't Last Long! ¡UBICACIÓN! ¡UBICACIÓN! 3 habitaciones* 1 baño completo* ¡Con estudio en la parte trasera*! Comedor con vista a la cocina y sala de estar* La sala de estar se abre a la cocina con barra* Enorme sala principal con ventilador de techo* Amplio baño con bañera* Lavandería dentro de la casa* Gran patio trasero* ¡Fácil acceso a I10, 610, 59 y 90! ¡No durará mucho!

Key facts

  • Big back yard
  • 6,499 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950

Tags

LAUNDRY ROOM INSIDE HOMEBIG BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,548/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 969% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 10 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 12720% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $249,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.75%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$221,991
List price
$249,999
Delta
12.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5711 Sudan St 0.38mi 4/2.5 1,945 (+2%) 10mo $374,990 $193 65
2501 Sakowitz St 0.38mi 4/2.5 1,945 (+2%) 12mo $384,900 $198 64
6324 Texarkana St 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,705 (-11%) 9mo $190,000 $111 63
5620 Lucille St 0.41mi 4/3.0 1,836 (-4%) 6mo $99,000 $54 61
506 Hoffman St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,884 (-2%) 13mo $335,000 $178 56
6020 Hillsboro 0.44mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,843 (-4%) 13mo $349,900 $190 51
5615 Perkins St Unit A 0.60mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,915 (-0%) 9mo $320,000 $167 49
6416 Eagle Pass St 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,660 (-13%) 12mo $225,000 $136 49
5408 Mulvey St 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,000 (+4%) 5mo $348,900 $174 47
1913 Sakowitz St 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,858 (-3%) 12mo $375,890 $202 45
2012 Chew St 0.60mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,016 (+5%) 9mo $350,000 $174 40
2009 Harlem St 0.71mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,081 (+9%) 11mo $309,900 $149 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$152,969
Equity at exit
$225,219
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
7.39×
Total profit
$447,117
Equity at exit
$485,693

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77020

Home prices YoY
29.1%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,548 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$320 /mo · $3,841/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,281
Max offer price $249,999
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5605 Mulvey St Unit 1019610P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1410 $4,237 $3.00 3d 1 0.55mi
2105 Sam Wilson St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1416 $6,750 $4.77 44d 1 0.55mi
5217 Noble St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1897 $2,750 $1.45 44d 1 0.69mi
3503 Wyrick St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1746 $2,850 $1.63 44d 1 0.80mi
4712 Rawley St Unit a Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,070 $1.38 21d 1 0.99mi
4712 Rawley St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1501 $2,045 $1.36 21d 1 0.99mi
4509 Courtney St Houston, TX 4.0 1.0 1456 $1,150 $0.79 22d 1 0.99mi
4706 Hershe St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 2283 $3,300 $1.45 44d 1 1.05mi
1023 Hahlo St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1434 $1,775 $1.24 5d 1 1.09mi
4300 Lyons Ave Unit 304 Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1393 $1,460 $1.05 44d 1 1.34mi
1222 Upton St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 2055 $2,600 $1.27 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,999 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,999 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,999 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,999 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $249,999 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,999 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,999 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,999 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,999 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,999 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,999 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-03-10
    listed $1,950
  13. 2026-03-09
    historical $1,950
    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    LOCATION! LOCATION! 3 Bedrooms* 1 Full Bathroom* With Studio At Back*! Dining Room Over Looking Kitchen & Living Room* Living Room Opens Up To Kitchen With Bar* Huge Primary Room With Ceiling Fan* Spacious Bathroom With Tub* Laundry Room Inside Home* Big Back Yard* EZ Access To I10, 610, 59, & 90! Won't Last Long! ¡UBICACIÓN! ¡UBICACIÓN! 3 habitaciones* 1 baño completo* ¡Con estudio en la parte trasera*! Comedor con vista a la cocina y sala de estar* La sala de estar se abre a la cocina con barra* Enorme sala principal con ventilador de techo* Amplio baño con bañera* Lavandería dentro de la casa* Gran patio trasero* ¡Fácil acceso a I10, 610, 59 y 90! ¡No durará mucho!

  14. 2026-03-09
    listed $249,999 Active 770-char remark
    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    LOCATION! LOCATION! 3 Bedrooms* 1 Full Bathroom* With Studio At Back*! Dining Room Over Looking Kitchen & Living Room* Living Room Opens Up To Kitchen With Bar* Huge Primary Room With Ceiling Fan* Spacious Bathroom With Tub* Laundry Room Inside Home* Big Back Yard* EZ Access To I10, 610, 59, & 90! Won't Last Long! ¡UBICACIÓN! ¡UBICACIÓN! 3 habitaciones* 1 baño completo* ¡Con estudio en la parte trasera*! Comedor con vista a la cocina y sala de estar* La sala de estar se abre a la cocina con barra* Enorme sala principal con ventilador de techo* Amplio baño con bañera* Lavandería dentro de la casa* Gran patio trasero* ¡Fácil acceso a I10, 610, 59 y 90! ¡No durará mucho!

  15. 2026-03-08
    historical
  16. 2026-02-21
    price $1,950
  17. 2025-12-01
    listed $2,100
  18. 2025-09-18
    status Active
  19. 2025-08-25
    status Pending
  20. 2025-04-11
    price $249,999
  21. 2025-01-27
    listed $260,000 Active
  22. 2013-12-19
    soldstatus Sold
  23. 2013-11-26
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  24. 2013-11-18
    listed $57,000 Active
  25. 2012-11-28
    historical
  26. 2012-08-27
    listed $92,000
  27. 2011-03-15
    soldstatus
  28. 2011-03-11
    soldstatus
  29. 2011-02-15
    historical
  30. 2010-10-05
    listed $84,500
  31. 2010-05-08
    historical
  32. 2009-11-07
    listed $94,900
  33. 2007-08-16
    historical
  34. 2007-02-07
    listed $61,900
  35. 2004-09-08
    soldstatus
  36. 2004-02-12
    soldstatus
  37. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,841 · $320/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,575 · $381/mo
Expected delta
+$734/yr (+$61/mo · 19.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,572
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,841
− Insurance
−$2,047
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,446
− Management
−$2,446
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$1,485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$356
After-tax cash flow
$2,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,686
Household income
$50,119
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
969.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Black 24% Two or more races 22% White 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 59% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.64%
Current HPI
246.5578
Rent YoY
▲ 4.27%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-96.8% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Listed for Rent $1,950 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Rental Removed $1,950 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $249,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-08 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $1,950 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-04-11 Price Changed $249,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-01-27 Listed $260,000 HARMLS
  • 2013-12-19 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2013-11-26 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-11-18 Listed $57,000 HARMLS
  • 2012-11-28 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2012-08-27 Listed $92,000 HARMLS
  • 2011-03-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-03-11 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2011-02-15 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2010-10-05 Listed $84,500 HARMLS
  • 2010-05-08 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2009-11-07 Listed $94,900 HARMLS
  • 2007-08-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2007-02-07 Listed $61,900 HARMLS
  • 2004-09-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-02-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,841 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…