2645 6th St NE · Center Point, AL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready home! Split Level, Beautiful lot and large, 3 large bedrooms and 2 full baths, Large Den, Large Kitchen that looks over deck and Flat backyard. This is a great location
Key facts
- Large den
- Flat backyard
- Great location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $132k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 7.3% in Center Point — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#193 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, employment F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Erwin Intermediate School (math 3% / reading 14%, grade F, #596 of 627 statewide, top 95%, 502 students, 92% FRL); Center Point High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 774 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 49% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.62%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,180
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2532 5th St NE | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+1%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $122 | 83 |
| 2649 6th St | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,666 (+8%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $117 | 79 |
| 4558 Cantebury Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-4%) | 4mo | $244,900 | $167 | 74 |
| 317 26th Ave NE | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-3%) | 7mo | $158,500 | $106 | 74 |
| 3105 3rd St NE | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,593 (+3%) | 5mo | $169,500 | $106 | 72 |
| 717 Country View Ter | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,644 (+7%) | 5mo | $199,500 | $121 | 69 |
| 700 Gable Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+4%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $154 | 65 |
| 2903 Creek Ln NE | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-8%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $109 | 59 |
| 3009 Wood Cir | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,734 (+13%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $112 | 58 |
| 613 25th Ave NE | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-9%) | 8mo | $93,000 | $66 | 58 |
| 2529 5th St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,766 (+15%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $122 | 54 |
| 2316 3rd Way NE | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,665 (+8%) | 5mo | $182,000 | $109 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,983
- Equity at exit
- $19,756
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $14,940
- Equity at exit
- $11,456
Cash invested: $37,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,452 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$695
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $317 | -5% $280 | +0% $242 | +5% $205 | +10% $167 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $127 | -5% $185 | +0% $242 | +5% $299 | +10% $357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $309 | -0.5pp $276 | base $242 | +0.5pp $208 | +1.0pp $173 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,125
- Closing costs
- $3,975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2655 6th St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,390 | $0.87 | 4d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 605 Country View Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $1,560 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 607 Country View Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,550 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2708 7th St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1451 | $1,150 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2629 Wood Dr NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3309 Chase Ln Unit 3309 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3073 Panorama E Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 2d | 20 | 0.67mi |
| 2324 3rd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $1,300 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 332 23rd Ave NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2249 4th Place Cir NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 127 Fox Hill Ct Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,545 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2415 Ormond Dr Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1104 Oak Creek Trl NE Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,543 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4464 Winchester Hills Way Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,750 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4464 Winchester Hills Ln Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2232 6th St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,150 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2245 3rd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2229 3rd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,125 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5010 Darlene Dr Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1914 | $1,550 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 340 40th Ave NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2007 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 413 20th Ct NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $1,375 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 600 20th Ct NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1878 | $1,650 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 202 Westchester Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,300 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5240 Jean Dr Pinson, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1714 | $1,695 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 856 Parkbrook Trl Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,180 | $1.28 | 3d | 10 | 1.11mi |
| 149 Martin Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,485 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5140 Hickory Dr NE Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1518 | $1,465 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 408 Sunhill Rd NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1290 | $1,355 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3005 Sweeney Hollow Pl Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2014 | $1,325 | $0.66 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3814 Mars Ave Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2063 | $1,890 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2245 3rd St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3104 Cobblestone Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1533 | $1,516 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 319 23rd Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,395 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2416 4th St NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2412 4th St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5992 Princess Blvd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,661 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4246 Centerwood Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,450 | $1.09 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2613 5th St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,150 | $0.98 | 12d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 212 Saint John Dr NW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,423 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1935 Springlake Ct Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,095 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-17soldstatus $120,000
-
2026-02-17status Pending
-
2026-01-19$132,500 Active
-
2007-05-24soldstatus $92,800
-
2004-03-10soldstatus $75,093
-
1996-12-09soldstatus $74,000
-
1989-02-17soldstatus $51,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,422
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,422
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$1,329
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,394
- − Management
- −$1,394
- − Depreciation
- −$3,855
- Taxable income
- $837
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$201
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,703/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Center Point
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #193
- US rank
- #15671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Center Point, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,903
- Household income
- $52,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1729.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.97%
- Current HPI
- 215.0607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+131.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2026-02-17 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $132,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2007-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $92,800 Public Records
- 2004-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $75,093 Public Records
- 1996-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 1989-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $51,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,192 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…