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8 Windy Hill Rd
B- Composite 65.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,195,000

8 Windy Hill Rd · Topstone, CT 06896
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,007 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1998 2.29 ac lot Est $893k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move right in and enjoy living in this warm and inviting 4 BR colonial located in a desirable SW Redding neighborhood. This exceptional property with 2+ level acres is highlighted by a superb gunite saltwater pool, expansive travertine patio and a professional landscape design featuring flowering plants, shrubs and, as an added bonus, a veggie garden! The charming barn serves as a wonderful sheltered seating location -- perfect for relaxing after a swim. It could be a "further finished" pool house with changing rooms and entertaining space -- the possibilities are endless! This casually elegant home enjoys an open-concept Kitchen/Family Room with HW floors, FP and a wall of doors with access to --and views of -- the fabulous backyard as well a a formal Living Room with fp and spacious formal Dining Room. The Library with custom built-ins is just perfect for relaxing with a good book -- or working from home! The upper level includes a Primary Bedroom suite with walk-in closet, fully-updated bath with dual sinks, separate shower and hydro-tub, and three additional spacious bedrooms, full bath and laundry room. A large lower level with half-bath offers a multitude of uses -- playroom, media room, gym or additional "at-home" office space. This extraordinary "quintessential Connecticut" property is simply perfect -- a private, neighborhood setting yet only minutes from shopping, restaurants, commuter routes and train to NYC!

Key facts

  • 2.29 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Radon mitigation for air and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic system
  • Home design: Single family home; Taupe exterior color
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Barn; Deck; Garden area; Patio; Level lot; Fully fenced; Professionally landscaped; Swimming pool (gunite, heated, salt water, in-ground)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Wall oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (upper level laundry)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot air heating fueled by oil; Oil hot water (domestic); fuel tank in basement
  • Interior features: Audio system; Auto garage door opener; Central vacuum; Security system; Two fireplaces; Full, fully finished basement; Attic with storage space and pull-down stairs; Total of 9 rooms; Gym
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($91k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.20M).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Regional School District 09 (rural): math 75% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #7 of 192 in CT (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Redding Elementary School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #78 of 553 statewide, top 17%, 479 students, 9% FRL); John Read Middle School (math 69% / reading 76%, grade A, #6 of 175 statewide, top 3%, 350 students, 9% FRL); Joel Barlow High School (math 57% / reading 82%, grade B, #18 of 194 statewide, top 10%, 768 students, 12% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 82% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Regional School District 09 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $335k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $1.02M; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,195,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.94%
Cash-on-cash
27.33%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$893,079
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Windy Hill Rd 0.06mi 4/3.5 3,045 (+1%) 11mo $1,199,000 $394 84
144 Seventy Acre Rd 0.40mi 4/2.5 3,005 (-0%) 20mo $728,000 $242 62
12 Granite Ridge Rd 0.60mi 4/2.0 3,024 (+1%) 8mo $725,000 $240 61
158 Old Redding Rd 0.27mi 4/4.5 3,200 (+6%) 12mo $1,248,000 $390 60
18 Mine Hill Rd 0.38mi 4/2.5 2,922 (-3%) 23mo $869,000 $297 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$291,900
Equity at exit
$178,178
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$880,098
Equity at exit
$103,322

Cash invested: $334,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06896

Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$20,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,267
Tax from tax record
$1,416 /mo · $16,991/yr
Insurance
$498
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,200
Net cashflow
$7,619

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,355
Max offer price $1,195,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $8,296 -5% $7,958 +0% $7,619 +5% $7,281 +10% $6,943
Rent -10% $6,039 -5% $6,829 +0% $7,619 +5% $8,409 +10% $9,199
Rate -1.0pp $8,221 -0.5pp $7,923 base $7,619 +0.5pp $7,310 +1.0pp $6,995

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$298,750
Closing costs
$35,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
142 Seventy Acre Rd Redding, CT 4.0 4.5 3350 $20,000 $5.97 5d 1 0.38mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-05-05
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  3. 2026-05-01
    listed $1,195,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-29
    historical $1,195,000
  5. 2022-08-16
    soldstatus $1,025,000
  6. 2022-08-15
    soldstatus $1,025,000 Closed 1474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1474 chars)

    Move right in and enjoy living in this warm and inviting 4 BR colonial located in a desirable SW Redding neighborhood. This exceptional property with 2+ level acres is highlighted by a superb gunite saltwater pool, expansive travertine patio and a professional landscape design featuring flowering plants, shrubs and, as an added bonus, a veggie garden! The charming barn serves as a wonderful sheltered seating location -- perfect for relaxing after a swim. It could be a "further finished" pool house with changing rooms and entertaining space -- the possibilities are endless! This casually elegant home enjoys an open-concept Kitchen/Family Room with HW floors, FP and a wall of doors with access to --and views of -- the fabulous backyard as well a a formal Living Room with fp and spacious formal Dining Room. The Library with custom built-ins is just perfect for relaxing with a good book -- or working from home! The upper level includes a Primary Bedroom suite with walk-in closet, fully-updated bath with dual sinks, separate shower and hydro-tub, and three additional spacious bedrooms, full bath and laundry room. A large lower level with half-bath offers a multitude of uses -- playroom, media room, gym or additional "at-home" office space. This extraordinary "quintessential Connecticut" property is simply perfect -- a private, neighborhood setting yet only minutes from shopping, restaurants, commuter routes and train to NYC!

  7. 2022-05-12
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 1474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1474 chars)

    Move right in and enjoy living in this warm and inviting 4 BR colonial located in a desirable SW Redding neighborhood. This exceptional property with 2+ level acres is highlighted by a superb gunite saltwater pool, expansive travertine patio and a professional landscape design featuring flowering plants, shrubs and, as an added bonus, a veggie garden! The charming barn serves as a wonderful sheltered seating location -- perfect for relaxing after a swim. It could be a "further finished" pool house with changing rooms and entertaining space -- the possibilities are endless! This casually elegant home enjoys an open-concept Kitchen/Family Room with HW floors, FP and a wall of doors with access to --and views of -- the fabulous backyard as well a a formal Living Room with fp and spacious formal Dining Room. The Library with custom built-ins is just perfect for relaxing with a good book -- or working from home! The upper level includes a Primary Bedroom suite with walk-in closet, fully-updated bath with dual sinks, separate shower and hydro-tub, and three additional spacious bedrooms, full bath and laundry room. A large lower level with half-bath offers a multitude of uses -- playroom, media room, gym or additional "at-home" office space. This extraordinary "quintessential Connecticut" property is simply perfect -- a private, neighborhood setting yet only minutes from shopping, restaurants, commuter routes and train to NYC!

  8. 2022-04-29
    listed $975,000 Active 1474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1474 chars)

    Move right in and enjoy living in this warm and inviting 4 BR colonial located in a desirable SW Redding neighborhood. This exceptional property with 2+ level acres is highlighted by a superb gunite saltwater pool, expansive travertine patio and a professional landscape design featuring flowering plants, shrubs and, as an added bonus, a veggie garden! The charming barn serves as a wonderful sheltered seating location -- perfect for relaxing after a swim. It could be a "further finished" pool house with changing rooms and entertaining space -- the possibilities are endless! This casually elegant home enjoys an open-concept Kitchen/Family Room with HW floors, FP and a wall of doors with access to --and views of -- the fabulous backyard as well a a formal Living Room with fp and spacious formal Dining Room. The Library with custom built-ins is just perfect for relaxing with a good book -- or working from home! The upper level includes a Primary Bedroom suite with walk-in closet, fully-updated bath with dual sinks, separate shower and hydro-tub, and three additional spacious bedrooms, full bath and laundry room. A large lower level with half-bath offers a multitude of uses -- playroom, media room, gym or additional "at-home" office space. This extraordinary "quintessential Connecticut" property is simply perfect -- a private, neighborhood setting yet only minutes from shopping, restaurants, commuter routes and train to NYC!

  9. 2018-11-01
    historical
  10. 2018-03-25
    listed $859,000 Active
  11. 2017-10-31
    historical
  12. 2017-07-31
    listed $875,000
  13. 2006-11-06
    soldstatus $875,000
  14. 2006-11-03
    soldstatus $875,000
  15. 2006-07-21
    listed $949,000
  16. 1999-04-01
    soldstatus $503,600
  17. 1999-02-04
    listed $513,000
  18. 1999-01-31
    historical
  19. 1998-01-28
    listed $498,000
  20. 1997-09-30
    historical
  21. 1996-06-12
    listed $485,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$16,991 · $1,416/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$21,282 · $1,774/mo
Expected delta
+$4,291/yr (+$358/mo · 25.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$240,000
− Mortgage interest
−$66,939
− Property taxes
−$16,991
− Insurance
−$5,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$19,200
− Management
−$19,200
− Depreciation
−$34,764
Taxable income
$76,932
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$18,464
After-tax cash flow
$72,970/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Regional School District 09
NCES district ID
0903780
Math proficiency
75% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
90% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$120,713
Composite
77.14/100
National rank
#169
State rank
#7 of 192 in CT

Livability — Topstone

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,719

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -236.94%
Current HPI
163.4307
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+146.4% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $1,195,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $1,195,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $1,025,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-15 Sold (MLS) $1,025,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-05-12 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2022-04-29 Listed $975,000 Smart MLS
  • 2018-11-01 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2018-03-25 Listed $859,000 Smart MLS
  • 2017-10-31 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2017-07-31 Listed $875,000 Smart MLS
  • 2006-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $875,000 Public Records
  • 2006-11-03 Sold (MLS) $875,000 Smart MLS
  • 2006-07-21 Listed $949,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-04-01 Sold (MLS) $503,600 Smart MLS
  • 1999-02-04 Listed $513,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-01-31 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 1998-01-28 Listed $498,000 Smart MLS
  • 1997-09-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 1996-06-12 Listed $485,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $16,991 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…