8 Windy Hill Rd · Topstone, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move right in and enjoy living in this warm and inviting 4 BR colonial located in a desirable SW Redding neighborhood. This exceptional property with 2+ level acres is highlighted by a superb gunite saltwater pool, expansive travertine patio and a professional landscape design featuring flowering plants, shrubs and, as an added bonus, a veggie garden! The charming barn serves as a wonderful sheltered seating location -- perfect for relaxing after a swim. It could be a "further finished" pool house with changing rooms and entertaining space -- the possibilities are endless! This casually elegant home enjoys an open-concept Kitchen/Family Room with HW floors, FP and a wall of doors with access to --and views of -- the fabulous backyard as well a a formal Living Room with fp and spacious formal Dining Room. The Library with custom built-ins is just perfect for relaxing with a good book -- or working from home! The upper level includes a Primary Bedroom suite with walk-in closet, fully-updated bath with dual sinks, separate shower and hydro-tub, and three additional spacious bedrooms, full bath and laundry room. A large lower level with half-bath offers a multitude of uses -- playroom, media room, gym or additional "at-home" office space. This extraordinary "quintessential Connecticut" property is simply perfect -- a private, neighborhood setting yet only minutes from shopping, restaurants, commuter routes and train to NYC!
Key facts
- 2.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Radon mitigation for air and water
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic system
- Home design: Single family home; Taupe exterior color
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Barn; Deck; Garden area; Patio; Level lot; Fully fenced; Professionally landscaped; Swimming pool (gunite, heated, salt water, in-ground)
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Wall oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (upper level laundry)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot air heating fueled by oil; Oil hot water (domestic); fuel tank in basement
- Interior features: Audio system; Auto garage door opener; Central vacuum; Security system; Two fireplaces; Full, fully finished basement; Attic with storage space and pull-down stairs; Total of 9 rooms; Gym
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($91k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.20M).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Regional School District 09 (rural): math 75% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #7 of 192 in CT (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Redding Elementary School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #78 of 553 statewide, top 17%, 479 students, 9% FRL); John Read Middle School (math 69% / reading 76%, grade A, #6 of 175 statewide, top 3%, 350 students, 9% FRL); Joel Barlow High School (math 57% / reading 82%, grade B, #18 of 194 statewide, top 10%, 768 students, 12% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 82% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Regional School District 09 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $335k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1.02M; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.33%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $893,079
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Windy Hill Rd | 0.06mi | 4/3.5 | 3,045 (+1%) | 11mo | $1,199,000 | $394 | 84 |
| 144 Seventy Acre Rd | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 3,005 (-0%) | 20mo | $728,000 | $242 | 62 |
| 12 Granite Ridge Rd | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 3,024 (+1%) | 8mo | $725,000 | $240 | 61 |
| 158 Old Redding Rd | 0.27mi | 4/4.5 | 3,200 (+6%) | 12mo | $1,248,000 | $390 | 60 |
| 18 Mine Hill Rd | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 2,922 (-3%) | 23mo | $869,000 | $297 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $291,900
- Equity at exit
- $178,178
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $880,098
- Equity at exit
- $103,322
Cash invested: $334,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06896
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $20,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,267
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,416 /mo · $16,991/yr
- Insurance
- −$498
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,200
- Net cashflow
- $7,619
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $8,296 | -5% $7,958 | +0% $7,619 | +5% $7,281 | +10% $6,943 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $6,039 | -5% $6,829 | +0% $7,619 | +5% $8,409 | +10% $9,199 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $8,221 | -0.5pp $7,923 | base $7,619 | +0.5pp $7,310 | +1.0pp $6,995 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $298,750
- Closing costs
- $35,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142 Seventy Acre Rd Redding, CT | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3350 | $20,000 | $5.97 | 5d | 1 | 0.38mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-14status Under Contract
-
2026-05-05historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2026-05-01$1,195,000 Active
-
2026-04-29historical $1,195,000
-
2022-08-16soldstatus $1,025,000
-
2022-08-15soldstatus $1,025,000 Closed 1474-char remark
Show marketing remark (1474 chars)
Move right in and enjoy living in this warm and inviting 4 BR colonial located in a desirable SW Redding neighborhood. This exceptional property with 2+ level acres is highlighted by a superb gunite saltwater pool, expansive travertine patio and a professional landscape design featuring flowering plants, shrubs and, as an added bonus, a veggie garden! The charming barn serves as a wonderful sheltered seating location -- perfect for relaxing after a swim. It could be a "further finished" pool house with changing rooms and entertaining space -- the possibilities are endless! This casually elegant home enjoys an open-concept Kitchen/Family Room with HW floors, FP and a wall of doors with access to --and views of -- the fabulous backyard as well a a formal Living Room with fp and spacious formal Dining Room. The Library with custom built-ins is just perfect for relaxing with a good book -- or working from home! The upper level includes a Primary Bedroom suite with walk-in closet, fully-updated bath with dual sinks, separate shower and hydro-tub, and three additional spacious bedrooms, full bath and laundry room. A large lower level with half-bath offers a multitude of uses -- playroom, media room, gym or additional "at-home" office space. This extraordinary "quintessential Connecticut" property is simply perfect -- a private, neighborhood setting yet only minutes from shopping, restaurants, commuter routes and train to NYC!
-
2022-05-12historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 1474-char remark
Show marketing remark (1474 chars)
Move right in and enjoy living in this warm and inviting 4 BR colonial located in a desirable SW Redding neighborhood. This exceptional property with 2+ level acres is highlighted by a superb gunite saltwater pool, expansive travertine patio and a professional landscape design featuring flowering plants, shrubs and, as an added bonus, a veggie garden! The charming barn serves as a wonderful sheltered seating location -- perfect for relaxing after a swim. It could be a "further finished" pool house with changing rooms and entertaining space -- the possibilities are endless! This casually elegant home enjoys an open-concept Kitchen/Family Room with HW floors, FP and a wall of doors with access to --and views of -- the fabulous backyard as well a a formal Living Room with fp and spacious formal Dining Room. The Library with custom built-ins is just perfect for relaxing with a good book -- or working from home! The upper level includes a Primary Bedroom suite with walk-in closet, fully-updated bath with dual sinks, separate shower and hydro-tub, and three additional spacious bedrooms, full bath and laundry room. A large lower level with half-bath offers a multitude of uses -- playroom, media room, gym or additional "at-home" office space. This extraordinary "quintessential Connecticut" property is simply perfect -- a private, neighborhood setting yet only minutes from shopping, restaurants, commuter routes and train to NYC!
-
2022-04-29$975,000 Active 1474-char remark
Show marketing remark (1474 chars)
Move right in and enjoy living in this warm and inviting 4 BR colonial located in a desirable SW Redding neighborhood. This exceptional property with 2+ level acres is highlighted by a superb gunite saltwater pool, expansive travertine patio and a professional landscape design featuring flowering plants, shrubs and, as an added bonus, a veggie garden! The charming barn serves as a wonderful sheltered seating location -- perfect for relaxing after a swim. It could be a "further finished" pool house with changing rooms and entertaining space -- the possibilities are endless! This casually elegant home enjoys an open-concept Kitchen/Family Room with HW floors, FP and a wall of doors with access to --and views of -- the fabulous backyard as well a a formal Living Room with fp and spacious formal Dining Room. The Library with custom built-ins is just perfect for relaxing with a good book -- or working from home! The upper level includes a Primary Bedroom suite with walk-in closet, fully-updated bath with dual sinks, separate shower and hydro-tub, and three additional spacious bedrooms, full bath and laundry room. A large lower level with half-bath offers a multitude of uses -- playroom, media room, gym or additional "at-home" office space. This extraordinary "quintessential Connecticut" property is simply perfect -- a private, neighborhood setting yet only minutes from shopping, restaurants, commuter routes and train to NYC!
-
2018-11-01historical
-
2018-03-25$859,000 Active
-
2017-10-31historical
-
2017-07-31$875,000
-
2006-11-06soldstatus $875,000
-
2006-11-03soldstatus $875,000
-
2006-07-21$949,000
-
1999-04-01soldstatus $503,600
-
1999-02-04$513,000
-
1999-01-31historical
-
1998-01-28$498,000
-
1997-09-30historical
-
1996-06-12$485,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $16,991 · $1,416/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $21,282 · $1,774/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,291/yr (+$358/mo · 25.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $240,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$66,939
- − Property taxes
- −$16,991
- − Insurance
- −$5,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$19,200
- − Management
- −$19,200
- − Depreciation
- −$34,764
- Taxable income
- $76,932
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$18,464
- After-tax cash flow
- $72,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Regional School District 09
- NCES district ID
- 0903780
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 90% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $120,713
- Composite
- 77.14/100
- National rank
- #169
- State rank
- #7 of 192 in CT
Livability — Topstone
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,719
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -236.94%
- Current HPI
- 163.4307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+146.4% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $1,195,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $1,195,000 Smart MLS
- 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $1,025,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-15 Sold (MLS) $1,025,000 Smart MLS
- 2022-05-12 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2022-04-29 Listed $975,000 Smart MLS
- 2018-11-01 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2018-03-25 Listed $859,000 Smart MLS
- 2017-10-31 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2017-07-31 Listed $875,000 Smart MLS
- 2006-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $875,000 Public Records
- 2006-11-03 Sold (MLS) $875,000 Smart MLS
- 2006-07-21 Listed $949,000 Smart MLS
- 1999-04-01 Sold (MLS) $503,600 Smart MLS
- 1999-02-04 Listed $513,000 Smart MLS
- 1999-01-31 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1998-01-28 Listed $498,000 Smart MLS
- 1997-09-30 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1996-06-12 Listed $485,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2023): $16,991 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…