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2967-2969 26th St Multi-family
C+ Composite 62.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,095,000

2967-2969 26th St · San Francisco, CA 94110
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,300 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1900 2,822 sqft lot Est $1189k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Can Be Used As A Single Family Or Legal 2 Unit. Both Kitchens Updated, Top Unit Has Lovely Origina L Victorian Detailing. Nice Sized Yard.

Key facts

  • Replaced heating
  • Soaring ceilings
  • Italianate victorian

Tags

ITALIANATE VICTORIANSOARING CEILINGSORIGINAL ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSDEEP SOUTH FACING GARDENNEWER CIRCUIT BREAKERREPLACED HEATING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RH2
  • Financial info: Two-unit property (both units currently leased, both on month-to-month tenancy); Both units are 2-bedroom flats (each described as a 5-room flat)
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: City utilities; Public water; Public sewer; Separate gas meters; Separate electric meters
  • Home design: Residential income Duplex; Victorian style; Two levels; Built in 1900; Living area approximately 2300
  • Construction: Wood construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level topography; Garden; Regular-shaped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas)
  • Interior features: Central gas heating; Carpet and wood flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.09M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.07M (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.07M (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,730/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($158k/yr) (locally 2732% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $307k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $326k; list at $1.09M implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,073,000 (2.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.44%
Cash-on-cash
7.67%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,189,100
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1551 Hampshire St 0.19mi 4/3.0 2,217 (-4%) 0mo $1,550,000 $699 81
2436-2438 Bryant St 0.41mi 4/1.0 2,378 (+3%) 5mo $1,230,000 $517 67
1394-96 Alabama St 0.09mi 4/2.0 2,632 (+14%) 9mo $800,000 $304 64
14-16 Lucky St 0.31mi 5/— (+1) 2,122 (-8%) 7mo $850,000 $401 62
1045-1047 Alabama St 0.41mi 4/3.0 2,148 (-7%) 5mo $1,300,000 $605 62
2711 Harrison St 0.35mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,524 (+10%) 4mo $1,200,000 $475 59
14-16 Lucky St 0.31mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,122 (-8%) 7mo $850,000 $401 58
3021 22nd St 0.53mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,422 (+5%) 2mo $900,000 $372 56
2664 22nd St 0.49mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,147 (-7%) 10mo $1,140,000 $531 53
1315-1317 Kansas St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,520 (+10%) 9mo $1,008,000 $400 50
569-571 Capp St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,450 (+6%) 2mo $1,825,000 $745 49
1225 Rhode Island St 0.56mi 5/— (+1) 2,000 (-13%) 3mo $1,350,000 $675 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$3,556
Equity at exit
$163,268
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$419,887
Equity at exit
$94,676

Cash invested: $306,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94110

Rents YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
17.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,730 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,742
Tax from tax record
$319 /mo · $3,830/yr
Insurance
$456
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,253
Net cashflow
$1,959

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,250
Max offer price $1,095,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,579 -5% $2,269 +0% $1,959 +5% $1,649 +10% $1,339
Rent -10% $1,111 -5% $1,535 +0% $1,959 +5% $2,383 +10% $2,807
Rate -1.0pp $2,510 -0.5pp $2,238 base $1,959 +0.5pp $1,675 +1.0pp $1,387

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $10,730

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$273,750
Closing costs
$32,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
79 Coleridge St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 1850 $9,750 $5.27 25d 1 0.63mi
569-571 Capp St San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0 1600 $6,995 $4.37 4d 1 0.76mi
471 S Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA 4.0 3.0 2140 $11,000 $5.14 16d 1 1.24mi
1059 Noe St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.5 2545 $14,000 $5.50 45d 1 1.26mi
1626 Noe St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 1870 $12,000 $6.42 25d 1 1.29mi
4058 20th St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 1794 $13,975 $7.79 25d 1 1.39mi
290 Holyoke St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 1652 $6,250 $3.78 6d 1 1.47mi
753 Castro St San Francisco, CA 4.0 3.0 2467 $10,950 $4.44 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,095,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $1,095,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,830 · $319/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,322 · $694/mo
Expected delta
+$4,492/yr (+$374/mo · 117.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$128,760
− Mortgage interest
−$61,337
− Property taxes
−$3,830
− Insurance
−$5,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,301
− Management
−$10,301
− Depreciation
−$31,855
Taxable income
$5,662
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,359
After-tax cash flow
$22,149/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
66,865
Household income
$158,351
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
2732.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 32% Asian 16% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 27% Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1385.62%
Current HPI
267.2424
Rent YoY
▲ 14.54%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+235.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $1,095,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $1,195,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 1999-02-12 Sold (MLS) $326,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 1999-01-24 Delisted San Francisco MLS
  • 1998-09-30 Listed $326,000 San Francisco MLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,830 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…