Multi-family
2967-2969 26th St · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,095,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Can Be Used As A Single Family Or Legal 2 Unit. Both Kitchens Updated, Top Unit Has Lovely Origina L Victorian Detailing. Nice Sized Yard.
Key facts
- Replaced heating
- Soaring ceilings
- Italianate victorian
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: RH2
- Financial info: Two-unit property (both units currently leased, both on month-to-month tenancy); Both units are 2-bedroom flats (each described as a 5-room flat)
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: City utilities; Public water; Public sewer; Separate gas meters; Separate electric meters
- Home design: Residential income Duplex; Victorian style; Two levels; Built in 1900; Living area approximately 2300
- Construction: Wood construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level topography; Garden; Regular-shaped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas)
- Interior features: Central gas heating; Carpet and wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.09M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.07M (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.07M (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,730/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($158k/yr) (locally 2732% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $307k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $326k; list at $1.09M implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.67%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,189,100
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1551 Hampshire St | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 | 2,217 (-4%) | 0mo | $1,550,000 | $699 | 81 |
| 2436-2438 Bryant St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 | 2,378 (+3%) | 5mo | $1,230,000 | $517 | 67 |
| 1394-96 Alabama St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 2,632 (+14%) | 9mo | $800,000 | $304 | 64 |
| 14-16 Lucky St | 0.31mi | 5/— (+1) | 2,122 (-8%) | 7mo | $850,000 | $401 | 62 |
| 1045-1047 Alabama St | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 | 2,148 (-7%) | 5mo | $1,300,000 | $605 | 62 |
| 2711 Harrison St | 0.35mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,524 (+10%) | 4mo | $1,200,000 | $475 | 59 |
| 14-16 Lucky St | 0.31mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,122 (-8%) | 7mo | $850,000 | $401 | 58 |
| 3021 22nd St | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,422 (+5%) | 2mo | $900,000 | $372 | 56 |
| 2664 22nd St | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,147 (-7%) | 10mo | $1,140,000 | $531 | 53 |
| 1315-1317 Kansas St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,520 (+10%) | 9mo | $1,008,000 | $400 | 50 |
| 569-571 Capp St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,450 (+6%) | 2mo | $1,825,000 | $745 | 49 |
| 1225 Rhode Island St | 0.56mi | 5/— (+1) | 2,000 (-13%) | 3mo | $1,350,000 | $675 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $3,556
- Equity at exit
- $163,268
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $419,887
- Equity at exit
- $94,676
Cash invested: $306,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94110
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 17.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,730 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,742
- Tax from tax record
- −$319 /mo · $3,830/yr
- Insurance
- −$456
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,253
- Net cashflow
- $1,959
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,579 | -5% $2,269 | +0% $1,959 | +5% $1,649 | +10% $1,339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,111 | -5% $1,535 | +0% $1,959 | +5% $2,383 | +10% $2,807 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,510 | -0.5pp $2,238 | base $1,959 | +0.5pp $1,675 | +1.0pp $1,387 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $10,730 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $5,365 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $5,365 |
| Total (2 units) | $10,730 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $273,750
- Closing costs
- $32,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79 Coleridge St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $9,750 | $5.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 569-571 Capp St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $6,995 | $4.37 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 471 S Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2140 | $11,000 | $5.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1059 Noe St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2545 | $14,000 | $5.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1626 Noe St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $12,000 | $6.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4058 20th St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $13,975 | $7.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 290 Holyoke St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $6,250 | $3.78 | 6d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 753 Castro St San Francisco, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2467 | $10,950 | $4.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1,095,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,095,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,095,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,095,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,095,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,095,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,095,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,095,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,095,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,095,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,095,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$1,095,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,830 · $319/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,322 · $694/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,492/yr (+$374/mo · 117.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $128,760
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,337
- − Property taxes
- −$3,830
- − Insurance
- −$5,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,301
- − Management
- −$10,301
- − Depreciation
- −$31,855
- Taxable income
- $5,662
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,359
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,865
- Household income
- $158,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2732.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 32% Asian 16% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 27% Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1385.62%
- Current HPI
- 267.2424
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.54%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+235.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $1,095,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $1,195,000 San Francisco MLS
- 1999-02-12 Sold (MLS) $326,000 San Francisco MLS
- 1999-01-24 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 1998-09-30 Listed $326,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,830 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…