669 Ralde Cir · Ridgeland, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and view this updated 3br/1ba home in the heart of Ridgeland. Home has new stainless steele stove & dishwasher, new paint, and new vinyl flooring. Minutes to I55, Hwy 51, shopping & dining & entertaining. (Costco, Target, Lowes & Home Depot) Grab your Realtor now! Grants and Down Payment assistance available!
Key facts
- Minutes from i-55
- Top retailers
- 9,583 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (9.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.8% in Ridgeland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#57 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Highland Elementary (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #155 of 375 statewide, top 44%, 644 students, 100% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #85 of 197 statewide, top 43%, 968 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 54% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Madison County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.49%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,356
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632 Ralde Cir | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,109 (+12%) | 3mo | $124,900 | $113 | 66 |
| 219 Faith Hill St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,121 (+14%) | 23mo | $153,900 | $137 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-12,027
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $22,184
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39157
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,543 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $946/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $226 | +0% $178 | +5% $130 | +10% $82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $56 | -5% $117 | +0% $178 | +5% $239 | +10% $300 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $264 | -0.5pp $221 | base $178 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $89 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 340 Arbor Dr Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,374 | $1.62 | 14d | 26 | 0.47mi |
| 499 S Pear Orchard Rd Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1523 E County Line Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $1,235 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 205 Pecan Park Dr Ridgeland, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,850 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 580 S Pear Orchard Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,984 | $2.09 | 14d | 15 | 0.97mi |
| 1620 E County Line Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1126 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 14d | 7 | 1.20mi |
| 601 Northpointe Pkwy Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $1,054 | $1.16 | 14d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 711 Lake Harbour Dr Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,354 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5845 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $899 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-14statusdays on market $169,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-04-26status Pending
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2026-04-24status Active
-
2026-04-18status Pending
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2026-04-12$169,900 Active
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2025-05-30soldstatus
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2025-05-21soldstatus Closed 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Come and view this updated 3br/1ba home in the heart of Ridgeland. Home has new stainless steele stove & dishwasher, new paint, and new vinyl flooring. Minutes to I55, Hwy 51, shopping & dining & entertaining. (Costco, Target, Lowes & Home Depot) Grab your Realtor now! Grants and Down Payment assistance available!
-
2025-04-02status Pending 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Come and view this updated 3br/1ba home in the heart of Ridgeland. Home has new stainless steele stove & dishwasher, new paint, and new vinyl flooring. Minutes to I55, Hwy 51, shopping & dining & entertaining. (Costco, Target, Lowes & Home Depot) Grab your Realtor now! Grants and Down Payment assistance available!
-
2025-02-28price $171,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Come and view this updated 3br/1ba home in the heart of Ridgeland. Home has new stainless steele stove & dishwasher, new paint, and new vinyl flooring. Minutes to I55, Hwy 51, shopping & dining & entertaining. (Costco, Target, Lowes & Home Depot) Grab your Realtor now! Grants and Down Payment assistance available!
-
2025-01-31$173,500 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Come and view this updated 3br/1ba home in the heart of Ridgeland. Home has new stainless steele stove & dishwasher, new paint, and new vinyl flooring. Minutes to I55, Hwy 51, shopping & dining & entertaining. (Costco, Target, Lowes & Home Depot) Grab your Realtor now! Grants and Down Payment assistance available!
-
2025-01-21soldstatus
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2025-01-21soldstatus
-
2025-01-17soldstatus
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1989-05-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $946 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,342 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$396/yr (+$33/mo · 41.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$946
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,481
- − Management
- −$1,481
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$706
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$169
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,306/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Ridgeland
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #9276
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ridgeland, MS
- County
- Madison County · 75,005 people
- City population
- 24,562
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,562
- Household income
- $66,068
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1370.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 43% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.34%
- Current HPI
- 153.1826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.65%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-2.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-04-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-12 Listed $169,900 MLSU
- 2025-05-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-05-21 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2025-04-02 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-02-28 Price Changed $171,000 MLSU
- 2025-01-31 Listed $173,500 MLSU
- 2025-01-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-01-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-01-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $946 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…