4015 W 43rd St · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 1 story home on nice lot. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 1 car garage. Updated home including some original hardwood floors. Fully fenced yard, storm cellar & 10 x 14 workshop with electric.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- 7,728 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 99 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $47k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.59%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,120
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3768 W 45th St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 892 (-1%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $185 | 84 |
| 3508 W 41st St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 905 (+0%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $182 | 79 |
| 4307 W 43rd St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 870 (-4%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $155 | 74 |
| 3703 W 42nd Pl | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-4%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $168 | 72 |
| 3743 W 45th St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (+14%) | 4mo | $159,000 | $155 | 66 |
| 4727 S 33 WestAvenue | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+2%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $65 | 62 |
| 4135 S 34th WestAvenue | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (+6%) | 8mo | $78,000 | $81 | 61 |
| 3411 48th St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+4%) | 1mo | $101,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 4602 S 29th WestAvenue | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 955 (+6%) | 2mo | $138,000 | $145 | 49 |
| 4701 S 32nd West Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (+6%) | 11mo | $178,000 | $185 | 41 |
| 4833 S 33rd WestAvenue | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-7%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $54 | 38 |
| 4839 S 34th WestAvenue | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,029 (+14%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $121 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-2,996
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,718
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74107
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,254/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $304 | -5% $275 | +0% $247 | +5% $219 | +10% $191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $155 | -5% $201 | +0% $247 | +5% $293 | +10% $339 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $298 | -0.5pp $273 | base $247 | +0.5pp $221 | +1.0pp $195 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3743 W 42nd Pl Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,000 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3722 W 44th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4128 S 32nd West Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,175 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4847 S 32nd West Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4831 S 30th West Ave Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5031 S 30th West Ave Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $1,095 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4008 W 55th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1913 W 50th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,195 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-02-23status Pending
-
2026-01-16price $100,000
-
2025-09-24price $138,000
-
2025-08-05price $142,000
-
2025-07-18$147,000 Active
-
2015-04-29soldstatus $70,000
-
2015-04-24soldstatus $69,900 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Great 1 story home on nice lot. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 1 car garage. Updated home including some original hardwood floors. Fully fenced yard, storm cellar & 10 x 14 workshop with electric.
-
2014-12-05$69,900 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Great 1 story home on nice lot. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 1 car garage. Updated home including some original hardwood floors. Fully fenced yard, storm cellar & 10 x 14 workshop with electric.
-
2010-06-03historical 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Must See! Completely updated throughout. New roof, bathroom, water heater, garbage disposal, & windows. Large efficient heat & A/C unit. Partially converted garage provides greater living space. 10x14 workshop w/ electric, A/C, & a porch!
-
2010-05-28soldstatus $66,000
-
2010-05-27soldstatus $65,900 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Must See! Completely updated throughout. New roof, bathroom, water heater, garbage disposal, & windows. Large efficient heat & A/C unit. Partially converted garage provides greater living space. 10x14 workshop w/ electric, A/C, & a porch!
-
2010-04-04$65,900 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Must See! Completely updated throughout. New roof, bathroom, water heater, garbage disposal, & windows. Large efficient heat & A/C unit. Partially converted garage provides greater living space. 10x14 workshop w/ electric, A/C, & a porch!
-
1999-06-02soldstatus $47,000
-
1999-05-28soldstatus $47,000
-
1999-03-31historical
-
1999-02-06$47,513
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,254 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,254 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,254
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,115
- − Management
- −$1,115
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,445
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$347
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,013
- Household income
- $53,505
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 667.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Native American 6% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.46%
- Current HPI
- 235.2296
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.78%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+110.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $100,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $138,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $142,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-18 Listed $147,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-24 Sold (MLS) $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-12-05 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-06-03 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 2010-05-27 Sold (MLS) $65,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-04-04 Listed $65,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1999-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-28 Sold (MLS) $47,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1999-03-31 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1999-02-06 Listed $47,513 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,254 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…