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2014 11th Ave SW
C+ Composite 63.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

2014 11th Ave SW · Watertown, SD 57201
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily · 186 Days on market
Built 1995 $80/sqft · 20% above area Est $75k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This beautiful well maintained home is move in ready! With a spacious primary bedroom with a walk in closet, vaulted ceilings in the living room, and a large eat-in kitchen, this house is ready for new owners! Subject to buyer's being accepted to mobile home park.

Key facts

  • Built 1995
  • Listed 185 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 2.3% in Watertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#11 in SD, #2,681 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Watertown School District 14-4 (town): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #28 of 59 in SD (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 160 units permitted in Codington County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Codington County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
13.39%
Cash-on-cash
25.33%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,082
List price
$89,900
Delta
19.74%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2017 11th Ave SW 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+3%) 1mo $68,000 $59 92
2022 10th Ave SW 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+7%) 1mo $78,000 $65 84
2202 10th Ave SW 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+10%) 9mo $99,900 $81 68
1106 25th St SW 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-4%) 16mo $239,000 $221 52
1305 13th Ave SW 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+14%) 5mo $37,000 $29 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$19,239
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$60,179
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57201

Active inventory
228
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,340 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $220/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$531

Break-even live

Break-even rent $667
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22 8th Ave SW Watertown, SD 2.0 1.0 830 $1,200 $1.45 43d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 186 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 185 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 184 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 183 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 180 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 179 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 176 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 172 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 168 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 167 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-04-01
    price $89,900 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    This beautiful well maintained home is move in ready! With a spacious primary bedroom with a walk in closet, vaulted ceilings in the living room, and a large eat-in kitchen, this house is ready for new owners! Subject to buyer's being accepted to mobile home park.

  18. 2025-12-15
    listed $95,000 Active 265-char remark
    Show marketing remark (265 chars)

    This beautiful well maintained home is move in ready! With a spacious primary bedroom with a walk in closet, vaulted ceilings in the living room, and a large eat-in kitchen, this house is ready for new owners! Subject to buyer's being accepted to mobile home park.

  19. 2024-05-20
    soldstatus $85,000 Closed 1830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1830 chars)

    Convenient, affordable & glamourous all wrapped up in one adorable home. This must see remodeled inside and out home offers 3 bedrooms, large, vaulted ceiling great room as you enter and an eat-in kitchen, The ample sized main bedroom has a walk-in closet, an ensuite bathroom and luxurious style. With 2 more bedrooms on the opposite end of the house, a laundry room and another bathroom, this home is meticulously maintained and has everything you need. Sits on a huge lot with a nearby playground; enjoy morning coffee or cool evenings on the east deck. This is a lovely, quiet park, with very affordable lot rent. Off street parking is available for 2 vehicles. Improvements continued. .. .. Exterior: Replaced exterior siding where needed 2021 Added railings to back and front steps 2021 House painted in 2022 New exterior light fixtures 2022 All new steel skirting with 1.5 inches of insulation 2022 Resided shed, built new doors, all new shingles, painted 2022 Replaced shingles where needed and all new ridge-cap 2022 Added landscaping rock around home 2022 Treated lawn 2022 and 2023 with ChemLawn Interior: Improved appearance of marriage beam 2021 Kitchen, living room, office, guest bath and main bedroom painted 2021 New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring living room and guest room 2021 New carpet in main bedroom 2021 Added baseboards 2021 New window blinds kitchen, living room, guest room 2022 Main bathroom painted 2022 Laundry and guest room painted in 2023 New flooring in laundry room 2023 All trim, doors and baseboards painted 2023 Dishwasher serviced 2023, no issues New ceiling fans both bedrooms, living room and kitchen New light fixtures office and kitchen Some furnishings/decor available for purchase on separate bill of sale. Acrylic light fixture in main bathroom and metal gazebo do not convey.

  20. 2024-05-20
    soldstatus $85,000
    Show marketing remark (1830 chars)

    Convenient, affordable & glamourous all wrapped up in one adorable home. This must see remodeled inside and out home offers 3 bedrooms, large, vaulted ceiling great room as you enter and an eat-in kitchen, The ample sized main bedroom has a walk-in closet, an ensuite bathroom and luxurious style. With 2 more bedrooms on the opposite end of the house, a laundry room and another bathroom, this home is meticulously maintained and has everything you need. Sits on a huge lot with a nearby playground; enjoy morning coffee or cool evenings on the east deck. This is a lovely, quiet park, with very affordable lot rent. Off street parking is available for 2 vehicles. Improvements continued. .. .. Exterior: Replaced exterior siding where needed 2021 Added railings to back and front steps 2021 House painted in 2022 New exterior light fixtures 2022 All new steel skirting with 1.5 inches of insulation 2022 Resided shed, built new doors, all new shingles, painted 2022 Replaced shingles where needed and all new ridge-cap 2022 Added landscaping rock around home 2022 Treated lawn 2022 and 2023 with ChemLawn Interior: Improved appearance of marriage beam 2021 Kitchen, living room, office, guest bath and main bedroom painted 2021 New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring living room and guest room 2021 New carpet in main bedroom 2021 Added baseboards 2021 New window blinds kitchen, living room, guest room 2022 Main bathroom painted 2022 Laundry and guest room painted in 2023 New flooring in laundry room 2023 All trim, doors and baseboards painted 2023 Dishwasher serviced 2023, no issues New ceiling fans both bedrooms, living room and kitchen New light fixtures office and kitchen Some furnishings/decor available for purchase on separate bill of sale. Acrylic light fixture in main bathroom and metal gazebo do not convey.

  21. 2024-02-29
    listed $89,900 Active 1830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1830 chars)

    Convenient, affordable & glamourous all wrapped up in one adorable home. This must see remodeled inside and out home offers 3 bedrooms, large, vaulted ceiling great room as you enter and an eat-in kitchen, The ample sized main bedroom has a walk-in closet, an ensuite bathroom and luxurious style. With 2 more bedrooms on the opposite end of the house, a laundry room and another bathroom, this home is meticulously maintained and has everything you need. Sits on a huge lot with a nearby playground; enjoy morning coffee or cool evenings on the east deck. This is a lovely, quiet park, with very affordable lot rent. Off street parking is available for 2 vehicles. Improvements continued. .. .. Exterior: Replaced exterior siding where needed 2021 Added railings to back and front steps 2021 House painted in 2022 New exterior light fixtures 2022 All new steel skirting with 1.5 inches of insulation 2022 Resided shed, built new doors, all new shingles, painted 2022 Replaced shingles where needed and all new ridge-cap 2022 Added landscaping rock around home 2022 Treated lawn 2022 and 2023 with ChemLawn Interior: Improved appearance of marriage beam 2021 Kitchen, living room, office, guest bath and main bedroom painted 2021 New Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring living room and guest room 2021 New carpet in main bedroom 2021 Added baseboards 2021 New window blinds kitchen, living room, guest room 2022 Main bathroom painted 2022 Laundry and guest room painted in 2023 New flooring in laundry room 2023 All trim, doors and baseboards painted 2023 Dishwasher serviced 2023, no issues New ceiling fans both bedrooms, living room and kitchen New light fixtures office and kitchen Some furnishings/decor available for purchase on separate bill of sale. Acrylic light fixture in main bathroom and metal gazebo do not convey.

  22. 2021-07-01
    soldstatus $43,000
  23. 2021-05-20
    soldstatus $43,000
  24. 2021-04-08
    listed $49,900
  25. 2014-12-15
    soldstatus $31,000
  26. 2014-10-08
    listed $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$220 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,178 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$957/yr (+$80/mo · 434.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,081
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$220
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,286
− Management
−$1,286
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$5,187
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,245
After-tax cash flow
$5,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Watertown School District 14-4
NCES district ID
4676620
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,575
Composite
43.24/100
National rank
#3057
State rank
#28 of 59 in SD

Livability — Watertown

Score
78/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#2681

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Watertown, SD
County
Codington County · 26,781 people
City population
26,781
Metro
Watertown, SD
Population (ZIP)
26,781
Household income
$72,878
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
613.0

Population outlook (Codington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,752 people
By 2030
30,627 · +2.9%
By 2040
32,285 · +8.5%
By 2050
33,812 · +13.6%
By 2075
39,184 · +31.7%
By 2100
46,673 · +56.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 15% Romanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Codington

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 28.4% · R 69.2% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-34.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.4pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+39.3 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+6.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -161.04%
Current HPI
165.8449
Rent YoY
Metro
Watertown, SD
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+180.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $89,900 NESD
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $95,000 NESD
  • 2024-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2024-05-20 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NESD
  • 2024-02-29 Listed $89,900 NESD
  • 2021-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-20 Sold (MLS) $43,000 NESD
  • 2021-04-08 Listed $49,900 NESD
  • 2014-12-15 Sold (MLS) $31,000 NESD
  • 2014-10-08 Listed $32,000 NESD

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $220 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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