1655 S Chicago Ave · Freeport, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$131,655
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Immaculately kept 2-bedroom Ranch home with 2 extra rooms, could be used for office, toy room or storage. Laundry Chute, Pantry, Oak Hardwood Flooring, Cedar-lined closet, Wash Tub by Washer & Dryer, Firepit & Garden Shed (out back) are added bonuses, as well as walk-up attic for more storage! Cozy & conveniently close to stores, located on a corner lot, with welcoming back yard area, this property provides! Upgrades include in Roof, Gutters & Front Window 2010 - Furnace & Air Conditioner 2015 - Garage Door 2017 - Plumbing & Garden Shed 2018 - April Aire 2024. Wooden Shelving & Stand-Up Freezer in LL stay. Buyer to verify measurements & sq ft.
Key facts
- Pantry
- Laundry chute
- Firepit
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Residential property
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Water softener; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($621/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
- Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $910 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.68%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $93,324
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1474 S Carroll Ave | 0.19mi | 2/2.5 | 1,204 (-1%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $96 | 83 |
| 1468 S Carroll Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,220 (+1%) | 8mo | $94,000 | $77 | 79 |
| 1452 S High Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,238 (+2%) | 5mo | $10 | — | 76 |
| 1727 S Oak Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 1,112 (-8%) | 9mo | $112,500 | $101 | 67 |
| 1478 S High Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,122 (-7%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $134 | 65 |
| 316 E Jefferson St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,175 (-3%) | 10mo | $59,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 1327 S Walnut Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,218 (+0%) | 11mo | $62,500 | $51 | 61 |
| 510 W Dewey St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,109 (-8%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $135 | 57 |
| 1430 S Blackhawk Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+4%) | 8mo | $136,500 | $108 | 54 |
| 727 E Garden St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 1,280 (+6%) | 4mo | $92,500 | $72 | 53 |
| 429 W American St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,158 (-4%) | 8mo | $23,000 | $20 | 47 |
| 803 E Illinois St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,388 (+14%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $68 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-18,045
- Equity at exit
- $19,630
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-11,499
- Equity at exit
- $11,383
Cash invested: $36,863 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61032
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,165 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$690
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $52
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $126 | -5% $89 | +0% $52 | +5% $14 | +10% $-23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-40 | -5% $6 | +0% $52 | +5% $98 | +10% $144 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $118 | -0.5pp $85 | base $52 | +0.5pp $18 | +1.0pp $-17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,914
- Closing costs
- $3,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1645 Hilltop Pl Unit 2 Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1645 Hilltop Pl Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 816 S James Ave Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,325 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 810 E Shawnee St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,495 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1763 S Hance Dr Unit 6 Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 742 W Homer St Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,325 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 316 E Winslow St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,295 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 837 W Stephenson St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,000 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $131,655 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-05-22$131,655 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,236 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$752/yr (+$63/mo · 50.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,985
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,375
- − Property taxes
- −$1,484
- − Insurance
- −$658
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,119
- − Management
- −$1,119
- − Depreciation
- −$3,830
- Taxable loss
- −$1,599
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$384
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport SD 145
- NCES district ID
- 1715900
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 9.89/100
- National rank
- #9821
- State rank
- #565 of 620 in IL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.75%
- Current HPI
- 163.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $131,655 NWIAR
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,484 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…