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1609 Glenn St
B- Composite 67.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1609 Glenn St · Danville, VA 24540
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1948 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 Bedroom 1 Bath with laminate flooring, updated kitchen with newer cabinets. Basement with outside access has laundry hook up. Replacement windows, central ac.

Key facts

  • Central ac
  • Laminate flooring
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

LAMINATE FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENREPLACEMENT WINDOWSCENTRAL AC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: UR; Lot size about 0.24 acre

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Approximately 672 above-grade finished area
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Full basement with exterior entry; 4 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.2% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#91 in VA, #2,952 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
  • Danville City Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #128 of 131 in VA (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: G.L.H. Johnson Elementary (math 34% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,108 statewide, top 92%, 545 students, 122% FRL); O. Trent Bonner Middle (math 33% / reading 53%, grade D-, #288 of 342 statewide, top 85%, 678 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 107% FRL vs 71% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Danville city in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Danville County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $75k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
11.28%
Cash-on-cash
17.82%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$29,568
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1233 Aspen St 0.30mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 15mo $29,500 $44 74
460 Locust Ln 0.31mi 2/1.0 750 (+12%) 10mo $26,000 $35 58
220 Locust Ln 0.42mi 2/1.0 770 (+15%) 22mo $125,000 $162 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$7,677
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$32,134
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24540

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$958 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $243/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $563
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $354 -5% $333 +0% $312 +5% $291 +10% $269
Rent -10% $236 -5% $274 +0% $312 +5% $350 +10% $387
Rate -1.0pp $350 -0.5pp $331 base $312 +0.5pp $292 +1.0pp $273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
224 Clement Ave Unit 2B Danville, VA 1.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 44d 1 0.32mi
337 Audubon Dr Apt 22C Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 44d 1 0.93mi
337 Audubon Dr Unit 05 C Danville, VA 1.0 1.0 510 $700 $1.37 44d 1 0.93mi
335 Audubon Dr Apt 10B Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 44d 1 0.94mi
333 Audubon Dr Apt 17A Danville, VA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 44d 1 0.97mi
442 Main St Unit 306 Danville, VA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,200 $1.82 44d 1 1.26mi
501 Craghead St Danville, VA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,300 $1.73 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-05-27
    listed $75,000 Active
  6. 2003-08-21
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$243 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$615 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$372/yr (+$31/mo · 152.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,493
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$243
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$919
− Management
−$919
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$2,653
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$637
After-tax cash flow
$3,105/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Danville City Public School District
NCES district ID
5101110
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,952
Composite
30.23/100
National rank
#6298
State rank
#128 of 131 in VA

Livability — Danville

Score
77/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#2952

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danville, VA
County
Danville City · 59,055 people
City population
59,055
Metro
Danville, VA
Population (ZIP)
31,013
Household income
$47,924
Rent vs Own
40.4% rent · 59.6% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Danville County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,989 people
By 2030
40,432 · -1.4%
By 2040
39,255 · -4.2%
By 2050
38,035 · -7.2%
By 2075
35,612 · -13.1%
By 2100
30,365 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Danville

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.1) · D 60.1% · R 39.0%
2008→2024 swing
+1.9pp toward D · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 21.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.1 2020: D+22.1 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+22.1 2008: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.79%
Current HPI
235.1746
Rent YoY
Metro
Danville, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+650.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 DRRAR
  • 2003-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $243 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…