1609 Glenn St · Danville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedroom 1 Bath with laminate flooring, updated kitchen with newer cabinets. Basement with outside access has laundry hook up. Replacement windows, central ac.
Key facts
- Central ac
- Laminate flooring
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: UR; Lot size about 0.24 acre
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Approximately 672 above-grade finished area
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Front porch; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Full basement with exterior entry; 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.2% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#91 in VA, #2,952 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
- Danville City Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #128 of 131 in VA (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: G.L.H. Johnson Elementary (math 34% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,108 statewide, top 92%, 545 students, 122% FRL); O. Trent Bonner Middle (math 33% / reading 53%, grade D-, #288 of 342 statewide, top 85%, 678 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 107% FRL vs 71% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Danville city in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Danville County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $75k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.82%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $29,568
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1233 Aspen St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 15mo | $29,500 | $44 | 74 |
| 460 Locust Ln | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+12%) | 10mo | $26,000 | $35 | 58 |
| 220 Locust Ln | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (+15%) | 22mo | $125,000 | $162 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $7,677
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $32,134
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24540
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $958 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $243/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $354 | -5% $333 | +0% $312 | +5% $291 | +10% $269 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $236 | -5% $274 | +0% $312 | +5% $350 | +10% $387 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $350 | -0.5pp $331 | base $312 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $273 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 Clement Ave Unit 2B Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 337 Audubon Dr Apt 22C Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 337 Audubon Dr Unit 05 C Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 510 | $700 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 335 Audubon Dr Apt 10B Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 333 Audubon Dr Apt 17A Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 442 Main St Unit 306 Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,200 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 501 Craghead St Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$75,000 Active
-
2003-08-21soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $243 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $615 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$372/yr (+$31/mo · 152.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$243
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$919
- − Management
- −$919
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,653
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$637
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,105/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danville City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101110
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,952
- Composite
- 30.23/100
- National rank
- #6298
- State rank
- #128 of 131 in VA
Livability — Danville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #2952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danville, VA
- County
- Danville City · 59,055 people
- City population
- 59,055
- Metro
- Danville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,013
- Household income
- $47,924
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1170.0
Population outlook (Danville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,989 people
- By 2030
- 40,432 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 39,255 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 38,035 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 35,612 · -13.1%
- By 2100
- 30,365 · -25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Danville
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.1) · D 60.1% · R 39.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.1 2020: D+22.1 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+22.1 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.79%
- Current HPI
- 235.1746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Danville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+650.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $75,000 DRRAR
- 2003-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $243 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…