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1221 2nd Ave
B Composite 70.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

1221 2nd Ave · Berwick, PA 18603
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Other public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1906 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all investors, flippers, and DIY enthusiasts! If you've been searching for the perfect sweat-equity project or your next profitable flip, this is the one you've been waiting for. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is a diamond in the rough, looking for the right visionary to bring it back to life. While it needs some love and significant TLC, the bones and the footprint offer a fantastic canvas to remodel, expand, or build fresh. Call Michelle DeFranco at 570-441-7856 for more information or to schedule a showing.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1906

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No additional financial details listed
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense details listed
  • HOA & community: No HOA information listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage; On-street parking available
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction with asbestos listed as a material; Foundation: None listed
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Rolled/hot mop roof; Shingle roof; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 160; Lot approximately 0.17 acres; Zoned Res [R-3]; Sidewalks and street lights in the community

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: No flooring information listed
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Ceiling fan(s); Basement with exterior entry and block construction
  • Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer or laundry details listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.4% in Berwick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#412 in PA, #3,762 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Berwick Area SD (other): math 32% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.34%
Cash-on-cash
21.60%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$12,716
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$44,156
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18603

Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,116/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $690
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $448 -5% $425 +0% $403 +5% $380 +10% $357
Rent -10% $308 -5% $355 +0% $403 +5% $450 +10% $498
Rate -1.0pp $443 -0.5pp $423 base $403 +0.5pp $382 +1.0pp $361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1101 7th Ave Unit 2 Berwick, PA 1.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 44d 1 0.50mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 524-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,116 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$73/yr (+$6/mo · 6.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,116
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$907
After-tax cash flow
$3,925/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berwick Area SD
NCES district ID
4203480
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,964
Composite
37.36/100
National rank
#4433
State rank
#291 of 539 in PA

Livability — Berwick

Score
76/100
State rank
#412
US rank
#3762

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berwick, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,985

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,170 people
By 2030
64,054 · -1.7%
By 2040
61,131 · -6.2%
By 2050
57,526 · -11.7%
By 2075
50,259 · -22.9%
By 2100
44,756 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Polish 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.40%
Current HPI
211.5643
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $79,900 CSVBR

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,116 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…