1221 2nd Ave · Berwick, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors, flippers, and DIY enthusiasts! If you've been searching for the perfect sweat-equity project or your next profitable flip, this is the one you've been waiting for. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is a diamond in the rough, looking for the right visionary to bring it back to life. While it needs some love and significant TLC, the bones and the footprint offer a fantastic canvas to remodel, expand, or build fresh. Call Michelle DeFranco at 570-441-7856 for more information or to schedule a showing.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1906
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No additional financial details listed
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details listed
- HOA & community: No HOA information listed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage; On-street parking available
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction with asbestos listed as a material; Foundation: None listed
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Rolled/hot mop roof; Shingle roof; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 160; Lot approximately 0.17 acres; Zoned Res [R-3]; Sidewalks and street lights in the community
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: No flooring information listed
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Ceiling fan(s); Basement with exterior entry and block construction
- Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer or laundry details listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.4% in Berwick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#412 in PA, #3,762 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Berwick Area SD (other): math 32% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.60%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $12,716
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $44,156
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18603
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,116/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $448 | -5% $425 | +0% $403 | +5% $380 | +10% $357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $308 | -5% $355 | +0% $403 | +5% $450 | +10% $498 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $423 | base $403 | +0.5pp $382 | +1.0pp $361 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1101 7th Ave Unit 2 Berwick, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 524-char remark
-
2026-06-17$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,189 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$73/yr (+$6/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,116
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$907
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berwick Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203480
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,964
- Composite
- 37.36/100
- National rank
- #4433
- State rank
- #291 of 539 in PA
Livability — Berwick
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #412
- US rank
- #3762
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berwick, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,985
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,170 people
- By 2030
- 64,054 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 61,131 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 57,526 · -11.7%
- By 2075
- 50,259 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 44,756 · -31.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Polish 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.40%
- Current HPI
- 211.5643
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $79,900 CSVBR
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,116 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…