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2605 N Pine St
B- Composite 67.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

2605 N Pine St · Waukegan, IL 60087
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1955 3,125 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM RAISED RANCH FOR SALE. THIS HOME NEEDS A FULL REHAB BUT IS THE BEST DEAL IN WAUKEGAN! LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK WITH PEACEFUL SURROUNDINGS, THIS HOME IS READY FOR A NEW OWNER. SOLD AS-IS. THIS IS NOT A BANK SHORT SALE OR FORECLOSURE. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNERSHIP AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". NO SURVEY. DISCLOSURES UNDER ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTS. AGENT HAS AN OWNERSHIP INTEREST IN THE PROPERTY.

Key facts

  • 3,125 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 3 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.6% in Waukegan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#216 in IL, #4,074 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, schools F.
  • Waukegan CUSD 60 (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #587 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 16% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
13.49%
Cash-on-cash
25.69%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$287,712
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2605 N Pine St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-7%) 2mo $110,000 $92 86
2637 Yeoman St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-4%) 10mo $191,500 $153 80
2426 N Butrick St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,331 (+3%) 3mo $315,000 $237 78
2432 Yeoman St 0.21mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,211 (-7%) 1mo $317,000 $262 72
2540 E Bonnie Brook Ln 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,200 (-7%) 1mo $290,000 $242 64
2239 Walnut St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+4%) 4mo $300,000 $222 63
1801 Partridge St 0.33mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,268 (-2%) 14mo $160,000 $126 63
2130 Hawthorne Ln 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,398 (+8%) 0mo $247,000 $177 58
2820 N Elmwood Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,118 (-14%) 4mo $254,900 $228 56
2113 Walnut St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,266 (-2%) 8mo $242,500 $192 56
2211 N Jackson St 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,362 (+5%) 15mo $300,000 $220 40
2232 Walnut St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,141 (-12%) 7mo $315,500 $277 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$20,867
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$68,644
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60087

Home prices YoY
-20.3%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,144 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$412 /mo · $4,940/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,380
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $666 -5% $635 +0% $604 +5% $573 +10% $542
Rent -10% $434 -5% $519 +0% $604 +5% $688 +10% $773
Rate -1.0pp $659 -0.5pp $632 base $604 +0.5pp $575 +1.0pp $546

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2330 Samson Way Waukegan, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1129 $2,065 $1.83 2d 11 0.37mi
2317 Western Ave Unit 2319 Waukegan, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,950 $2.46 25d 1 0.44mi
2108 Linden Ave Waukegan, IL 3.0 2.0 1326 $2,251 $1.70 5d 1 0.69mi
1630 W Greenwood Ave Waukegan, IL 3.0 2.0 1062 $2,250 $2.12 19d 1 0.97mi
2100 Williamsburg Dr Unit 302 Waukegan, IL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,400 $1.47 44d 1 1.17mi
1947 W Eagle Ridge Dr Waukegan, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 792 $1,740 $2.20 2d 8 1.33mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    soldstatus $110,000
  2. 2026-04-07
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-06
    price $110,000
  5. 2026-03-19
    status Pending
  6. 2026-03-17
    listed $95,000 Active
  7. 1987-07-01
    soldstatus $45,400
  8. 1986-05-01
    soldstatus $42,236

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,940 · $412/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,940 · $412/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,727
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$4,940
− Insurance
−$1,216
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,058
− Management
−$2,058
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$6,093
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,462
After-tax cash flow
$5,783/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waukegan CUSD 60
NCES district ID
1741250
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,248
Composite
7.73/100
National rank
#9939
State rank
#587 of 620 in IL

Livability — Waukegan

Score
75/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#4074

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waukegan, IL
County
Lake County · 591,991 people
City population
99,634
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
27,293
Household income
$76,738
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
894.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
700,217 people
By 2030
693,290 · -1.0%
By 2040
673,588 · -3.8%
By 2050
643,556 · -8.1%
By 2075
562,792 · -19.6%
By 2100
457,715 · -34.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 25% Two or more races 20% Black 15% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, United Kingdom
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 46% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.05%
Current HPI
243.1613
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2026-04-07 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,400 Public Records
  • 1986-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,236 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,940 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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