13005 Upward Pl · Riverview, FL 33579

$395,000

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,466 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 326 Days on market

Built 2020 4,400 sqft lot $8/mo HOA ↓ 19% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +7.9/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +4.3/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Seller incentives available! Welcome to a home where space, flexibility, and smart living come together in the highly desirable Triple Creek community in Riverview, Florida. With a strong offer at the right price, the seller is willing to contribute toward the buyer’s closing costs or help reduce the monthly payment—an excellent advantage in today’s market. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence is perfectly designed for today’s modern lifestyle, especially for multigenerational living. A full bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor provide the ideal setup for guests, in-laws, or a private home office, offering both comfort and convenience. The main living area features a bright, open layout enhanced by fresh interior paint and brand-new luxury laminate flooring, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen showcases granite countertops and generous space for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious primary suite, a versatile loft/family room, and three additional bedrooms, providing the flexibility today’s buyers are truly looking for. One of the standout features of this home is its energy-efficient solar panel system, helping to keep monthly electric costs impressively low while offering long-term savings. The solar panels are leased, and the transfer process is simple and straightforward for the new owner. Step outside to enjoy a private fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideally located just minutes from top-rated schools, parks, shopping, and resort-style amenities, this home offers not just a place to live—but a lifestyle. Move-in ready and designed for comfort, space, and convenience. Schedule your private showing today!!

Key facts

• Private guest suite
• Granite countertops
• Oversized island

Tags

• ENERGY EFFICIENT
• LUXURY LAMINATE FLOORING
• PRIVATE GUEST SUITE
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• OVERSIZED ISLAND
• WALK-IN PANTRY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $395k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-414 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $322k (18.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $317k (19.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $317k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#134 in FL, #2,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F.
• Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 326 days — a 12% lower offer ($348k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $317,087 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 326 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.80% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.03%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.49%
• DSCR: 0.80
• GRM: 10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.42% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.38×
• Total profit: $-69,108
• Equity at exit: $87,427

10-year hold

• IRR: -10.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.17×
• Total profit: $-91,398
• Equity at exit: $85,214

Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33579

• Home prices YoY: -0.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.2%
• Active inventory: 457
• Price-to-rent: 10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,171 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,071
• Tax from tax record: −$675 /mo · $8,102/yr
• Insurance: −$165
• HOA: −$8
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$666
• Net cashflow: $-414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,695

Max offer price $321,830

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-191	-5% $-302	+0% $-414	+5% $-526	+10% $-638
Rent	-10% $-665	-5% $-539	+0% $-414	+5% $-289	+10% $-164
Rate	-1.0pp $-215	-0.5pp $-314	base $-414	+0.5pp $-517	+1.0pp $-621

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $98,750
• Closing costs: $11,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 21 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
12892 Tannencrest Dr Riverview, FL	5.0	3.0	2530	$2,881	$1.14	0d	1	0.18mi
13037 Pennybrook Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	2.5	2301	$2,900	$1.26	25d	1	0.19mi
12811 Twin Bridges Dr Unit Labs Riverview, FL	5.0	3.0	2937	$3,250	$1.11	18d	1	0.31mi
12737 Tannencrest Dr Riverview, FL	5.0	3.0	2470	$3,350	$1.36	18d	1	0.31mi
12377 Streambed Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	2.5	2414	$2,800	$1.16	25d	1	0.46mi
12767 Weston Oaks Ln Riverview, FL	4.0	2.0	1935	$3,450	$1.78	0d	1	0.48mi
12975 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL	5.0	2.5	2896	$2,600	$0.90	25d	1	0.49mi
12975 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL	5.0	2.5	2896	$2,600	$0.90	0d	1	0.49mi
12967 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	2.0	1935	$2,400	$1.24	25d	1	0.52mi
12964 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	2.0	1935	$2,300	$1.19	5d	1	0.52mi
12964 Wildflower Meadow Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	2.0	1935	$2,300	$1.19	21d	1	0.52mi
13204 Great Plains Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	2.0	1935	$2,990	$1.55	5d	1	0.61mi
12330 Streambed Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	3.0	2357	$3,300	$1.40	5d	1	0.64mi
13259 Palmerston Rd Riverview, FL	4.0	2.5	2633	$2,900	$1.10	25d	1	0.66mi
13144 Peachleaf Ave Riverview, FL	4.0	2.0	1850	$2,995	$1.62	5d	1	0.88mi
13337 Woodworth Way Riverview, FL	4.0	2.5	1920	$2,850	$1.48	18d	1	0.90mi
12544 Shining Willow St Riverview, FL	4.0	3.0	2035	$3,000	$1.47	4d	1	0.91mi
12544 Shining Willow St Riverview, FL	4.0	2.5	2045	$3,000	$1.47	0d	1	0.91mi
12109 Night Jasmine Cv Riverview, FL	4.0	3.0	2364	$3,150	$1.33	11d	1	0.94mi
13185 Green Violet Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	3.0	1908	$2,459	$1.29	5d	1	1.20mi
12036 Cardinal Flower Dr Riverview, FL	4.0	2.5	2542	$2,590	$1.02	12d	1	1.26mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $8 · $96/yr
• Likely covers: electric

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $395,000 Active 326 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $395,000 Active 325 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $395,000 Active 324 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $395,000 Active 323 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $395,000 Active 321 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $395,000 Active 320 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $395,000 Active 317 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $395,000 Active 316 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $395,000 Active 315 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $395,000 Active 312 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $395,000 Active 311 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $395,000 Active 310 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $395,000 Active 309 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $395,000 Active 308 DOM
15. 2026-04-18
    price $399,000 1772-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1772 chars)

    Seller incentives available! Welcome to a home where space, flexibility, and smart living come together in the highly desirable Triple Creek community in Riverview, Florida. With a strong offer at the right price, the seller is willing to contribute toward the buyer’s closing costs or help reduce the monthly payment—an excellent advantage in today’s market. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence is perfectly designed for today’s modern lifestyle, especially for multigenerational living. A full bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor provide the ideal setup for guests, in-laws, or a private home office, offering both comfort and convenience. The main living area features a bright, open layout enhanced by fresh interior paint and brand-new luxury laminate flooring, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen showcases granite countertops and generous space for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious primary suite, a versatile loft/family room, and three additional bedrooms, providing the flexibility today’s buyers are truly looking for. One of the standout features of this home is its energy-efficient solar panel system, helping to keep monthly electric costs impressively low while offering long-term savings. The solar panels are leased, and the transfer process is simple and straightforward for the new owner. Step outside to enjoy a private fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideally located just minutes from top-rated schools, parks, shopping, and resort-style amenities, this home offers not just a place to live—but a lifestyle. Move-in ready and designed for comfort, space, and convenience. Schedule your private showing today!!

16. 2026-04-18
    price $390,000 1772-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1772 chars)

    Seller incentives available! Welcome to a home where space, flexibility, and smart living come together in the highly desirable Triple Creek community in Riverview, Florida. With a strong offer at the right price, the seller is willing to contribute toward the buyer’s closing costs or help reduce the monthly payment—an excellent advantage in today’s market. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence is perfectly designed for today’s modern lifestyle, especially for multigenerational living. A full bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor provide the ideal setup for guests, in-laws, or a private home office, offering both comfort and convenience. The main living area features a bright, open layout enhanced by fresh interior paint and brand-new luxury laminate flooring, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen showcases granite countertops and generous space for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious primary suite, a versatile loft/family room, and three additional bedrooms, providing the flexibility today’s buyers are truly looking for. One of the standout features of this home is its energy-efficient solar panel system, helping to keep monthly electric costs impressively low while offering long-term savings. The solar panels are leased, and the transfer process is simple and straightforward for the new owner. Step outside to enjoy a private fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideally located just minutes from top-rated schools, parks, shopping, and resort-style amenities, this home offers not just a place to live—but a lifestyle. Move-in ready and designed for comfort, space, and convenience. Schedule your private showing today!!

17. 2026-04-13
    price $389,900 1772-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1772 chars)

    Seller incentives available! Welcome to a home where space, flexibility, and smart living come together in the highly desirable Triple Creek community in Riverview, Florida. With a strong offer at the right price, the seller is willing to contribute toward the buyer’s closing costs or help reduce the monthly payment—an excellent advantage in today’s market. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence is perfectly designed for today’s modern lifestyle, especially for multigenerational living. A full bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor provide the ideal setup for guests, in-laws, or a private home office, offering both comfort and convenience. The main living area features a bright, open layout enhanced by fresh interior paint and brand-new luxury laminate flooring, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen showcases granite countertops and generous space for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious primary suite, a versatile loft/family room, and three additional bedrooms, providing the flexibility today’s buyers are truly looking for. One of the standout features of this home is its energy-efficient solar panel system, helping to keep monthly electric costs impressively low while offering long-term savings. The solar panels are leased, and the transfer process is simple and straightforward for the new owner. Step outside to enjoy a private fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideally located just minutes from top-rated schools, parks, shopping, and resort-style amenities, this home offers not just a place to live—but a lifestyle. Move-in ready and designed for comfort, space, and convenience. Schedule your private showing today!!

18. 2026-01-27
    status Active 1772-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1772 chars)

    Seller incentives available! Welcome to a home where space, flexibility, and smart living come together in the highly desirable Triple Creek community in Riverview, Florida. With a strong offer at the right price, the seller is willing to contribute toward the buyer’s closing costs or help reduce the monthly payment—an excellent advantage in today’s market. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence is perfectly designed for today’s modern lifestyle, especially for multigenerational living. A full bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor provide the ideal setup for guests, in-laws, or a private home office, offering both comfort and convenience. The main living area features a bright, open layout enhanced by fresh interior paint and brand-new luxury laminate flooring, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen showcases granite countertops and generous space for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious primary suite, a versatile loft/family room, and three additional bedrooms, providing the flexibility today’s buyers are truly looking for. One of the standout features of this home is its energy-efficient solar panel system, helping to keep monthly electric costs impressively low while offering long-term savings. The solar panels are leased, and the transfer process is simple and straightforward for the new owner. Step outside to enjoy a private fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideally located just minutes from top-rated schools, parks, shopping, and resort-style amenities, this home offers not just a place to live—but a lifestyle. Move-in ready and designed for comfort, space, and convenience. Schedule your private showing today!!

19. 2026-01-24
    historical 1772-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1772 chars)

    Seller incentives available! Welcome to a home where space, flexibility, and smart living come together in the highly desirable Triple Creek community in Riverview, Florida. With a strong offer at the right price, the seller is willing to contribute toward the buyer’s closing costs or help reduce the monthly payment—an excellent advantage in today’s market. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence is perfectly designed for today’s modern lifestyle, especially for multigenerational living. A full bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor provide the ideal setup for guests, in-laws, or a private home office, offering both comfort and convenience. The main living area features a bright, open layout enhanced by fresh interior paint and brand-new luxury laminate flooring, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen showcases granite countertops and generous space for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious primary suite, a versatile loft/family room, and three additional bedrooms, providing the flexibility today’s buyers are truly looking for. One of the standout features of this home is its energy-efficient solar panel system, helping to keep monthly electric costs impressively low while offering long-term savings. The solar panels are leased, and the transfer process is simple and straightforward for the new owner. Step outside to enjoy a private fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideally located just minutes from top-rated schools, parks, shopping, and resort-style amenities, this home offers not just a place to live—but a lifestyle. Move-in ready and designed for comfort, space, and convenience. Schedule your private showing today!!

20. 2025-08-19
    price $399,900 1772-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1772 chars)

    Seller incentives available! Welcome to a home where space, flexibility, and smart living come together in the highly desirable Triple Creek community in Riverview, Florida. With a strong offer at the right price, the seller is willing to contribute toward the buyer’s closing costs or help reduce the monthly payment—an excellent advantage in today’s market. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence is perfectly designed for today’s modern lifestyle, especially for multigenerational living. A full bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor provide the ideal setup for guests, in-laws, or a private home office, offering both comfort and convenience. The main living area features a bright, open layout enhanced by fresh interior paint and brand-new luxury laminate flooring, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen showcases granite countertops and generous space for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious primary suite, a versatile loft/family room, and three additional bedrooms, providing the flexibility today’s buyers are truly looking for. One of the standout features of this home is its energy-efficient solar panel system, helping to keep monthly electric costs impressively low while offering long-term savings. The solar panels are leased, and the transfer process is simple and straightforward for the new owner. Step outside to enjoy a private fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideally located just minutes from top-rated schools, parks, shopping, and resort-style amenities, this home offers not just a place to live—but a lifestyle. Move-in ready and designed for comfort, space, and convenience. Schedule your private showing today!!

21. 2025-07-26
    listed $420,000 Active 1772-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1772 chars)

    Seller incentives available! Welcome to a home where space, flexibility, and smart living come together in the highly desirable Triple Creek community in Riverview, Florida. With a strong offer at the right price, the seller is willing to contribute toward the buyer’s closing costs or help reduce the monthly payment—an excellent advantage in today’s market. This beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 3-bath residence is perfectly designed for today’s modern lifestyle, especially for multigenerational living. A full bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor provide the ideal setup for guests, in-laws, or a private home office, offering both comfort and convenience. The main living area features a bright, open layout enhanced by fresh interior paint and brand-new luxury laminate flooring, creating a clean, move-in-ready feel. The kitchen showcases granite countertops and generous space for everyday living and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find a spacious primary suite, a versatile loft/family room, and three additional bedrooms, providing the flexibility today’s buyers are truly looking for. One of the standout features of this home is its energy-efficient solar panel system, helping to keep monthly electric costs impressively low while offering long-term savings. The solar panels are leased, and the transfer process is simple and straightforward for the new owner. Step outside to enjoy a private fenced backyard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Ideally located just minutes from top-rated schools, parks, shopping, and resort-style amenities, this home offers not just a place to live—but a lifestyle. Move-in ready and designed for comfort, space, and convenience. Schedule your private showing today!!

22. 2023-01-26
    historical
23. 2022-10-31
    price $440,000
24. 2022-09-14
    price $469,000
25. 2022-09-03
    listed $489,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $8,102 · $675/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $8,102 · $675/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $38,050
• − Mortgage interest: −$22,126
• − Property taxes: −$8,102
• − Insurance: −$1,975
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,044
• − Management: −$3,044
• − HOA: −$96
• − Depreciation: −$11,491
• Taxable loss: −$11,828
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,839
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hillsborough
• NCES district ID: 1200870
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $50,622
• Composite: 41.6/100
• National rank: #3435
• State rank: #41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Riverview

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #134
• US rank: #2000

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Riverview, FL
• County: Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
• City population: 137,988
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 49,470
• Household income: $116,134
• Rent vs Own: 16.5% rent · 83.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 258.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,022 people
• By 2030: 1,733,968 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 1,979,565 · +23.2%
• By 2050: 2,203,427 · +37.1%
• By 2075: 2,667,893 · +66.0%
• By 2100: 2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: White 42% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 24% Two or more races 19% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 1% British 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.42%
• Current HPI: 240.5825
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.18%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-18.6% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-18 Price Changed $399,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-18 Price Changed $390,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-13 Price Changed $389,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-24 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-19 Price Changed $399,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-07-26 Listed $420,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-01-26 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-10-31 Price Changed $440,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-09-14 Price Changed $469,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-09-03 Listed $489,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,102 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.