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1778 Ashbrook Dr
B- Composite 68.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1778 Ashbrook Dr · Cincinnati, OH 45238
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,410 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1940 5,401 sqft lot Est $204k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beloved home of original owner! New roof, bath updated, hardwood floors, new carpeting Level 2, family rm LL. Meticulously maintained! Storage shed. Move right in.

Key facts

  • Bright living area
  • Yard for relaxing
  • Functional layout

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTBRIGHT LIVING AREANICELY SIZED BEDROOMSYARD FOR RELAXINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Built-in garage/carport (front, attached); 1 garage space; Driveway and on-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Traditional single-family home; One and one-half stories
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Vinyl windows; Composition roof; Residential zoning; Lot approximately 40 x 130 (about 0.124 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with wood cabinets; Vinyl floor in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 1 (approx. 11 x 12); Bedroom 2 on level 1 (approx. 10 x 9); Bedroom 3 on level 2 (approx. 10 x 29); Primary bedroom has other/unspecified features
  • Flooring: Wall-to-wall carpet in living area; Wood flooring in living area; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on level 1
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Electric water heater
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Full basement, partially finished
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility space (partially finished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $120k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.87%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,450
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1702 Ashbrook Dr 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,369 (-3%) 2mo $139,900 $102 81
1772 Tuxworth Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,493 (+6%) 0mo $155,000 $104 76
1758 Tuxworth Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,319 (-6%) 3mo $227,000 $172 74
4925 Shirley Pl 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+3%) 1mo $230,000 $158 63
4998 Western Hills Ave 0.61mi 2/2.0 1,379 (-2%) 7mo $192,000 $139 58
1147 Olivia Ln 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,334 (-5%) 4mo $194,000 $145 56
1228 Mckeone Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,394 (-1%) 10mo $150,000 $108 51
3020 Veazey Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (-1%) 7mo $297,500 $213 50
4553 Clearview Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,368 (-3%) 8mo $215,000 $157 48
4934 Relleum Ave 0.42mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,564 (+11%) 7mo $239,900 $153 45
5052 Casa Loma Blvd 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,519 (+8%) 6mo $120,000 $79 43
4549 Clearview Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,252 (-11%) 8mo $115,000 $92 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,621
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$27,576
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45238

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,411 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,917/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$220

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,132
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1723 Tuxworth Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1587 $1,800 $1.13 23d 1 0.07mi
2706 E Tower Dr Cincinnati, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 951 $1,188 $1.25 1d 61 0.54mi
2621 Gehrum Ln Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1373 $1,850 $1.35 23d 1 0.62mi
3053 N Hegry Cir #1 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 954 $1,250 $1.31 4d 1 0.68mi
2511 Ferguson Rd Unit 2537 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,650 $1.50 23d 1 0.74mi
2682 Lafeuille Cir Cincinnati, OH 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,176 $1.24 3d 16 0.75mi
2969 Four Towers Dr Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 960 $1,150 $1.20 23d 1 0.76mi
2905 Queen City Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 4d 1 0.80mi
2905 Queen City Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 23d 1 0.80mi
5256 Ponce Ln Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,866 $1.47 1d 1 0.81mi
4370 Saint Lawrence Ave #1 Cincinnati, OH 1.0 1.0 876 $1,050 $1.20 16d 1 0.82mi
1224 Sliker Ave Cincinnati, OH 1.0 1.0 950 $850 $0.89 4d 1 0.82mi
1240 Rosemont Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1280 $1,100 $0.86 20d 1 0.82mi
2598 Ferguson Rd Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $1,145 $1.21 4d 1 0.85mi
1233 Dewey Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1411 $1,375 $0.97 4d 1 0.86mi
1872 Sunset Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 888 $1,075 $1.21 4d 7 0.91mi
1214 Gilsey Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 23d 1 0.94mi
1214 Gilsey Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 20d 1 0.94mi
1057 Winfield Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 23d 1 0.94mi
1740 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1320 $1,200 $0.91 23d 1 1.06mi
1607 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.5 1066 $1,675 $1.57 23d 1 1.08mi
4227 W 8th St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1832 $2,050 $1.12 1d 1 1.10mi
3772 W Liberty St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1066 $1,350 $1.27 4d 1 1.12mi
4244 Loubell Ln Cincinnati, OH 1.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 23d 1 1.13mi
3666 Glenway Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1339 $1,250 $0.93 23d 1 1.30mi
4284 Foley Rd Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1242 $2,800 $2.25 43d 1 1.34mi
2356 Harrison Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 23d 1 1.40mi
2747 McKinley Ave Fl 1 Cincinnati, OH 1.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 21d 1 1.41mi
2532 Harrison Ave Unit 2217 02 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 23d 1 1.44mi
2860 Harrison Ave Apt 21 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.5 950 $1,000 $1.05 20d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $119,900 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $129,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    price $139,900
  16. 2026-04-09
    listed $144,900 Active
  17. 2007-09-28
    soldstatus $57,000 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Beloved home of original owner! New roof, bath updated, hardwood floors, new carpeting Level 2, family rm LL. Meticulously maintained! Storage shed. Move right in.

  18. 2007-07-16
    listed $62,000 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Beloved home of original owner! New roof, bath updated, hardwood floors, new carpeting Level 2, family rm LL. Meticulously maintained! Storage shed. Move right in.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,917 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,917 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,929
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,917
− Insurance
−$1,266
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,354
− Management
−$1,354
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$833
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$200
After-tax cash flow
$2,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cincinnati Public Schools
NCES district ID
3904375
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$35,743
Composite
25.21/100
National rank
#7508
State rank
#581 of 656 in OH

Livability — Cincinnati

Score
80/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#1856

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cincinnati, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
City population
505,555
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
48,351
Household income
$66,277
Rent vs Own
40.3% rent · 59.7% own
Severe rent burden
2012.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 28% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -197.57%
Current HPI
213.5097
Rent YoY
▲ 4.87%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $139,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $144,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) $57,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2007-07-16 Listed $62,000 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,917 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…