🏷️ Likely Rental
1050 Kirkwood Meadows Dr #7 · Kirkwood, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 11 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sentinels 7 quarter-share 3 The Sentinels town homes has charm, elegance and flexibility. This purchase is for two-eighth shares which equates to 1/4 share. This opportunity allows 13 weeks a year with no maintenance and just pleasure. Home features 2 en-suites, a lofty vaulted corner upstairs living room that opens to a spacious kitchen perfect for the vacationing chef. Wood log beams, slate, granite, tumbled marble are just a few of the amenities of living excellence. Picturesque views from three sides, outside entrance and private garage feels like your own stand-alone home. Views of Red Cliffs, Glove Rock and the meadow make this the best shared ownership property in Kirkwood. Close to the Kirkwood meadow for x-country skiing or snowshoeing, also near the main village and lifts as well as a summer-time festival of nature. Many say #7 is the best for views and meadow access. Includes KCA Club w/ brand new pool, hot tubs, clubhouse, sauna, fitness, bar and community events. Optional rental and Interval World. Customary for buyer to pay 3% of purchase price for RETF to KCA. Dues include everything from complete maintenance, furnishings, KCA, and utilities. Calendar weeks are I or 3. 1 large ski locker inside as well as 2 lockable kitchen cabinets. HOA dues are $578 per eighth. Total for 1/4 is $1156/mo.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Private garage
- Views of red cliffs
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-856 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#575 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Alpine County Unified (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #546 of 1,400 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Alpine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Alpine County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 86% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- -3.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -33.36%
- DSCR
- -0.48
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $283,861
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -61.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.32×
- Total profit
- $-40,554
- Equity at exit
- $49,461
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- -1.17×
- Total profit
- $-66,918
- Equity at exit
- $76,225
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95646
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,342 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$1,156
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $-856
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,156 · $13,872/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-02-27soldstatus $100,000 Sold 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
Sentinels 7 quarter-share 3 The Sentinels town homes has charm, elegance and flexibility. This purchase is for two-eighth shares which equates to 1/4 share. This opportunity allows 13 weeks a year with no maintenance and just pleasure. Home features 2 en-suites, a lofty vaulted corner upstairs living room that opens to a spacious kitchen perfect for the vacationing chef. Wood log beams, slate, granite, tumbled marble are just a few of the amenities of living excellence. Picturesque views from three sides, outside entrance and private garage feels like your own stand-alone home. Views of Red Cliffs, Glove Rock and the meadow make this the best shared ownership property in Kirkwood. Close to the Kirkwood meadow for x-country skiing or snowshoeing, also near the main village and lifts as well as a summer-time festival of nature. Many say #7 is the best for views and meadow access. Includes KCA Club w/ brand new pool, hot tubs, clubhouse, sauna, fitness, bar and community events. Optional rental and Interval World. Customary for buyer to pay 3% of purchase price for RETF to KCA. Dues include everything from complete maintenance, furnishings, KCA, and utilities. Calendar weeks are I or 3. 1 large ski locker inside as well as 2 lockable kitchen cabinets. HOA dues are $578 per eighth. Total for 1/4 is $1156/mo.
-
2026-01-28historical Active Pending 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
Sentinels 7 quarter-share 3 The Sentinels town homes has charm, elegance and flexibility. This purchase is for two-eighth shares which equates to 1/4 share. This opportunity allows 13 weeks a year with no maintenance and just pleasure. Home features 2 en-suites, a lofty vaulted corner upstairs living room that opens to a spacious kitchen perfect for the vacationing chef. Wood log beams, slate, granite, tumbled marble are just a few of the amenities of living excellence. Picturesque views from three sides, outside entrance and private garage feels like your own stand-alone home. Views of Red Cliffs, Glove Rock and the meadow make this the best shared ownership property in Kirkwood. Close to the Kirkwood meadow for x-country skiing or snowshoeing, also near the main village and lifts as well as a summer-time festival of nature. Many say #7 is the best for views and meadow access. Includes KCA Club w/ brand new pool, hot tubs, clubhouse, sauna, fitness, bar and community events. Optional rental and Interval World. Customary for buyer to pay 3% of purchase price for RETF to KCA. Dues include everything from complete maintenance, furnishings, KCA, and utilities. Calendar weeks are I or 3. 1 large ski locker inside as well as 2 lockable kitchen cabinets. HOA dues are $578 per eighth. Total for 1/4 is $1156/mo.
-
2026-01-27$110,000 Active 1321-char remark
Show marketing remark (1321 chars)
Sentinels 7 quarter-share # I - ask for a calendar!The Sentinels town homes has charm, elegance and flexibility. This purchase is for two-eighth shares which equates to 1/4 share. This opportunity allows 13 weeks a year with no maintenance and just pleasure. Home features 2 en-suites, a lofty vaulted corner upstairs living room that opens to a spacious kitchen perfect for the vacationing chef. Wood log beams, slate, granite, tumbled marble are just a few of the amenities of living excellence. Picturesque views from three sides, outside entrance and private garage feels like your own stand-alone home. Views of Red Cliffs, Glove Rock and the meadow make this the best shared ownership property in Kirkwood. Close to the Kirkwood meadow for x-country skiing or snowshoeing, also near the main village and lifts as well as a summer-time festival of nature. Many say #7 is the best for views and meadow access. Includes KCA Club w/ brand new pool, hot tubs, clubhouse, sauna, fitness, bar and community events. Optional rental and Interval World. Customary for buyer to pay 3% of purchase price for RETF to KCA. Dues include everything from complete maintenance, furnishings, KCA, and utilities. 1 large ski locker inside as well as 2 lockable kitchen cabinets. HOA dues are $578 per eighth. Total for 1/4 is $1156/mo.
-
2025-11-21price $107,000 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
Sentinels 7 quarter-share 3 The Sentinels town homes has charm, elegance and flexibility. This purchase is for two-eighth shares which equates to 1/4 share. This opportunity allows 13 weeks a year with no maintenance and just pleasure. Home features 2 en-suites, a lofty vaulted corner upstairs living room that opens to a spacious kitchen perfect for the vacationing chef. Wood log beams, slate, granite, tumbled marble are just a few of the amenities of living excellence. Picturesque views from three sides, outside entrance and private garage feels like your own stand-alone home. Views of Red Cliffs, Glove Rock and the meadow make this the best shared ownership property in Kirkwood. Close to the Kirkwood meadow for x-country skiing or snowshoeing, also near the main village and lifts as well as a summer-time festival of nature. Many say #7 is the best for views and meadow access. Includes KCA Club w/ brand new pool, hot tubs, clubhouse, sauna, fitness, bar and community events. Optional rental and Interval World. Customary for buyer to pay 3% of purchase price for RETF to KCA. Dues include everything from complete maintenance, furnishings, KCA, and utilities. Calendar weeks are I or 3. 1 large ski locker inside as well as 2 lockable kitchen cabinets. HOA dues are $578 per eighth. Total for 1/4 is $1156/mo.
-
2025-08-05price $120,000 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
Sentinels 7 quarter-share 3 The Sentinels town homes has charm, elegance and flexibility. This purchase is for two-eighth shares which equates to 1/4 share. This opportunity allows 13 weeks a year with no maintenance and just pleasure. Home features 2 en-suites, a lofty vaulted corner upstairs living room that opens to a spacious kitchen perfect for the vacationing chef. Wood log beams, slate, granite, tumbled marble are just a few of the amenities of living excellence. Picturesque views from three sides, outside entrance and private garage feels like your own stand-alone home. Views of Red Cliffs, Glove Rock and the meadow make this the best shared ownership property in Kirkwood. Close to the Kirkwood meadow for x-country skiing or snowshoeing, also near the main village and lifts as well as a summer-time festival of nature. Many say #7 is the best for views and meadow access. Includes KCA Club w/ brand new pool, hot tubs, clubhouse, sauna, fitness, bar and community events. Optional rental and Interval World. Customary for buyer to pay 3% of purchase price for RETF to KCA. Dues include everything from complete maintenance, furnishings, KCA, and utilities. Calendar weeks are I or 3. 1 large ski locker inside as well as 2 lockable kitchen cabinets. HOA dues are $578 per eighth. Total for 1/4 is $1156/mo.
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2024-08-07$240,000 Active 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
Sentinels 7 quarter-share 3 The Sentinels town homes has charm, elegance and flexibility. This purchase is for two-eighth shares which equates to 1/4 share. This opportunity allows 13 weeks a year with no maintenance and just pleasure. Home features 2 en-suites, a lofty vaulted corner upstairs living room that opens to a spacious kitchen perfect for the vacationing chef. Wood log beams, slate, granite, tumbled marble are just a few of the amenities of living excellence. Picturesque views from three sides, outside entrance and private garage feels like your own stand-alone home. Views of Red Cliffs, Glove Rock and the meadow make this the best shared ownership property in Kirkwood. Close to the Kirkwood meadow for x-country skiing or snowshoeing, also near the main village and lifts as well as a summer-time festival of nature. Many say #7 is the best for views and meadow access. Includes KCA Club w/ brand new pool, hot tubs, clubhouse, sauna, fitness, bar and community events. Optional rental and Interval World. Customary for buyer to pay 3% of purchase price for RETF to KCA. Dues include everything from complete maintenance, furnishings, KCA, and utilities. Calendar weeks are I or 3. 1 large ski locker inside as well as 2 lockable kitchen cabinets. HOA dues are $578 per eighth. Total for 1/4 is $1156/mo.
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2023-04-14$240,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 11 d/yr ≥76°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,288
- − Management
- −$1,288
- − HOA
- −$13,872
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$11,910
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,858
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, good-condition condo is ready for immediate occupancy and offers a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value
- Both interior paint — refreshes the interior and enhances resale value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both interior paint — refreshes the interior and enhances resale value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alpine County Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0602070
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,116
- Composite
- 41.62/100
- National rank
- #7228
- State rank
- #546 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Kirkwood
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #575
- US rank
- #18791
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kirkwood, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 406
Population outlook (Alpine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025 people
- By 2030
- 995 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 954 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 952 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 1,169 · +14.0%
- By 2100
- 1,675 · +63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Scotch-Irish 7% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Alpine
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.0) · D 64.9% · R 32.9% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 32.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.0 2020: D+31.3 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-58.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Sold (MLS) $100,000 STARMLS
- 2026-01-28 Contingent — STARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $110,000 STARMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $107,000 STARMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $120,000 STARMLS
- 2024-08-07 Listed $240,000 STARMLS
- 2023-04-14 Listed $240,000 STARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…