515 W Lee St · Chickasaw, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$104,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 515 W Lee Street! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is full of potential and ready for its next owner to make it their own. Inside, you’ll find no carpet with LVP and tile throughout, white shaker cabinets, and faux marble countertops. The level backyard offers a great space to enjoy, entertain, or add your own personal touch. Cash or conventional financing only. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities!
Key facts
- Level backyard
- 5,331 sq ft lot
- Built 1990
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built in 1990; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Other roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fence; No additional exterior features listed; Property has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Pantry; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 7.2% in Chickasaw — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Zoned schools: Chickasaw City Elementary School (math 7% / reading 30%, grade F, #480 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 550 students, 80% FRL); Chickasaw City High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #248 of 305 statewide, top 82%, 224 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($719 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $74k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.09%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,496
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364 3rd Pl | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (+3%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $136 | 78 |
| 518 Holiday Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 7mo | $132,000 | $132 | 75 |
| 521 Holiday Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,189 (+11%) | 1mo | $42,000 | $35 | 74 |
| 607 W Lee St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $65 | 72 |
| 551 3rd Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-10%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $156 | 70 |
| 9 Elizabeth Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+1%) | 6mo | $96,000 | $89 | 69 |
| 300 Geronimo St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,076 (+0%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 419 Geronimo St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 4mo | $139,900 | $140 | 60 |
| 714 Townsend Cir | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,161 (+8%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $118 | 57 |
| 352 10th Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (-12%) | 0mo | $97,899 | $104 | 46 |
| 214 3rd Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-15%) | 6mo | $52,000 | $57 | 42 |
| 419 Sutherland Cir | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (+12%) | 6mo | $144,900 | $121 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $72,180
- Equity at exit
- $93,691
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.87×
- Total profit
- $200,197
- Equity at exit
- $202,049
Cash invested: $29,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36611
- Home prices YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$545
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $249/yr
- Insurance
- −$43
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,000
- Closing costs
- $3,120
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156 9th Ave Chickasaw, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 78 Lee St Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1412 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 55 Thompson Blvd Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 20d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 101 Grant St Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $895 | $0.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 311 Grant St Chickasaw, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 418-char remark
-
2026-06-18$104,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $249 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $426 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$177/yr (+$15/mo · 71.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,976
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,826
- − Property taxes
- −$249
- − Insurance
- −$520
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,038
- − Management
- −$1,038
- − Depreciation
- −$3,025
- Taxable income
- $1,280
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$307
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Chickasaw
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #17438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chickasaw, AL
- City population
- 6,367
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,367
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 38% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.90%
- Current HPI
- 196.621
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+79.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $104,000 GCMLS AL
- 2018-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $74,367 Public Records
- 2016-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $249 · +16.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…