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1500 Virginia Pl #127
B+ Composite 76.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

1500 Virginia Pl #127 · San Jose, CA 95116
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · Manufactured · 204 Days on market
Built 1986 $311/sqft · 9% below area Est $197k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully updated home in a prime San Jose location! Remodeled about one year ago with new flooring, fresh interior paint, upgraded kitchen cabinets, and a modern automatic toilet. Move-in ready and comes complete with essential furnishings, including a bed, table, refrigerator, and oven. Low space rent of just $1,018/month. An affordable and convenient opportunity in the heart of Silicon Valley dont miss it!

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Remodeled
  • Updated home

Tags

UPDATED HOMEPRIME SAN JOSE LOCATIONREMODELEDUPGRADED KITCHEN CABINETSMODERN AUTOMATIC TOILETMOVE-IN READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • East Side Union High (urban): math 53% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #69 of 517 in CA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $89k; list at $179k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.88%
Cash-on-cash
16.38%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,042
List price
$179,000
Delta
-9.16%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
655 S 34th St #15 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 600 (+4%) 10mo $215,000 $358 74
661 Bonita Ave #12 0.21mi 2/1.0 624 (+8%) 13mo $230,000 $369 66
540 Bonita #719 0.25mi 2/1.0 648 (+12%) 13mo $285,000 $440 56
1300 E San Antonio St #85 0.54mi 1/1.0 (-1) 550 (-4%) 7mo $135,000 $245 56
1300 E San Antonio St #55 0.54mi 1/1.0 (-1) 550 (-4%) 10mo $110,000 $200 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$26,208
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$131,420
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Jose
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+24
Apartment Rent Ordinance covers pre-1979 multifamily.

ZIP-level market 95116

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,432 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax est. 1.5%
$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$511
Net cashflow
$684

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,566
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
55 S 33rd St Unit 57B San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,900 $3.17 17d 1 0.57mi
374 S 21st St Unit 2 San Jose, CA 2.0 2.0 749 $3,199 $4.27 43d 1 0.69mi
1390 E Santa Clara St San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 469 $2,298 $4.90 21d 1 0.70mi
1390 E Santa Clara St San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 429 $2,298 $5.36 43d 1 0.70mi
1150 McLaughlin Ave San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 530 $1,698 $3.20 1d 1 0.75mi
93 N 26th St Unit 95A San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,300 $3.83 43d 1 0.88mi
710 E San Fernando St Unit 2 San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $2,195 $4.39 17d 1 1.19mi
2340 Lendrum Ave San Jose, CA 2.0 1.0 735 $2,900 $3.95 3d 1 1.25mi
399 Court San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 637 $1,699 $2.67 43d 1 1.26mi
2050 McKee Rd San Jose, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $3,629 $4.94 1d 7 1.29mi
382 S 10th St Unit B San Jose, CA 1.0 1.0 400 $1,795 $4.49 12d 1 1.41mi
524 S 9th St San Jose, CA 2.0 1.0 305 $1,995 $6.54 21d 1 1.46mi
2555 Alum Rock Ave San Jose, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 620 $2,116 $3.41 1d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,000 Active 204 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 203 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 202 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 201 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 200 DOM
  6. 2026-05-07
    price $179,000 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Beautifully updated home in a prime San Jose location! Remodeled about one year ago with new flooring, fresh interior paint, upgraded kitchen cabinets, and a modern automatic toilet. Move-in ready and comes complete with essential furnishings, including a bed, table, refrigerator, and oven. Low space rent of just $1,018/month. An affordable and convenient opportunity in the heart of Silicon Valley dont miss it!

  7. 2026-05-07
    price $179,000 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Beautifully updated home in a prime San Jose location! Remodeled about one year ago with new flooring, fresh interior paint, upgraded kitchen cabinets, and a modern automatic toilet. Move-in ready and comes complete with essential furnishings, including a bed, table, refrigerator, and oven. Low space rent of just $1,018/month. An affordable and convenient opportunity in the heart of Silicon Valley dont miss it!

  8. 2026-01-14
    price $195,000 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Beautifully updated home in a prime San Jose location! Remodeled about one year ago with new flooring, fresh interior paint, upgraded kitchen cabinets, and a modern automatic toilet. Move-in ready and comes complete with essential furnishings, including a bed, table, refrigerator, and oven. Low space rent of just $1,018/month. An affordable and convenient opportunity in the heart of Silicon Valley dont miss it!

  9. 2026-01-14
    price $195,000 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Beautifully updated home in a prime San Jose location! Remodeled about one year ago with new flooring, fresh interior paint, upgraded kitchen cabinets, and a modern automatic toilet. Move-in ready and comes complete with essential furnishings, including a bed, table, refrigerator, and oven. Low space rent of just $1,018/month. An affordable and convenient opportunity in the heart of Silicon Valley dont miss it!

  10. 2025-11-13
    listed $199,000 Active 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Beautifully updated home in a prime San Jose location! Remodeled about one year ago with new flooring, fresh interior paint, upgraded kitchen cabinets, and a modern automatic toilet. Move-in ready and comes complete with essential furnishings, including a bed, table, refrigerator, and oven. Low space rent of just $1,018/month. An affordable and convenient opportunity in the heart of Silicon Valley dont miss it!

  11. 2025-11-13
    listed $199,000 Active 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Beautifully updated home in a prime San Jose location! Remodeled about one year ago with new flooring, fresh interior paint, upgraded kitchen cabinets, and a modern automatic toilet. Move-in ready and comes complete with essential furnishings, including a bed, table, refrigerator, and oven. Low space rent of just $1,018/month. An affordable and convenient opportunity in the heart of Silicon Valley dont miss it!

  12. 2016-03-02
    soldstatus $89,000 Sold 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    * * * Very Nice 1986 home with 2 bedrooms 1 full bath. Refrigerator, washer, dryer included. .. Wood floor through out. .. all double pane windows. .reset lights. .. beautiful moldings. .lots of upgrades. . low rent $751

  13. 2016-02-08
    status Pending (Do Not Show) 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    * * * Very Nice 1986 home with 2 bedrooms 1 full bath. Refrigerator, washer, dryer included. .. Wood floor through out. .. all double pane windows. .reset lights. .. beautiful moldings. .lots of upgrades. . low rent $751

  14. 2016-01-07
    listed $89,000 Active 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    * * * Very Nice 1986 home with 2 bedrooms 1 full bath. Refrigerator, washer, dryer included. .. Wood floor through out. .. all double pane windows. .reset lights. .. beautiful moldings. .lots of upgrades. . low rent $751

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,180
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,685
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,334
− Management
−$2,334
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$5,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,367
After-tax cash flow
$6,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Side Union High
NCES district ID
0611820
Math proficiency
53% ▲ 12.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$80,293
Composite
55.15/100
National rank
#1278
State rank
#69 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Jose

Score
78/100
State rank
#68
US rank
#2559

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Jose, CA
County
Santa Clara County · 1,806,974 people
City population
954,479
Metro
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
Population (ZIP)
48,042
Household income
$85,818
Rent vs Own
57.6% rent · 42.4% own
Severe rent burden
2058.0

Population outlook (Santa Clara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,179,074 people
By 2030
2,301,297 · +5.6%
By 2040
2,528,195 · +16.0%
By 2050
2,712,135 · +24.5%
By 2075
2,998,701 · +37.6%
By 2100
2,931,429 · +34.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% Asian 29% Two or more races 22% White 8% Native American 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 55%
Common ancestry
Russian 2% Slovak 1% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
48% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
22% English-only · Spanish 49% Vietnamese 12% Tagalog/Filipino 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Clara

2024 margin
Solid D (+40.0) · D 68.1% · R 28.1% · Other 3.8%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: 40.9pp · 2024: 40.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+40.0 2020: D+47.4 2016: D+52.5 2012: D+42.1 2008: D+40.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -623.43%
Current HPI
352.328
Rent YoY
▲ 7.54%
Metro
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $179,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $179,000 MLSListings
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $195,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $195,000 MLSListings
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $199,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $199,000 MLSListings
  • 2016-03-02 Sold (MLS) $89,000 MLSListings
  • 2016-02-08 Pending MLSListings
  • 2016-01-07 Listed $89,000 MLSListings

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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