4401 W Taft St · Ross, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Opportunity! Brick 4 Unit on almost an acre! Estate sale. Includes TWO Car Garage. . sold as is.
Key facts
- 0.98 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1930
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Lake Ridge New Tech Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #287 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $165k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.99%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-14,462
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,324
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46408
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,716 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,754/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $192
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $239 | +0% $192 | +5% $145 | +10% $99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $57 | -5% $124 | +0% $192 | +5% $260 | +10% $328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $234 | base $192 | +0.5pp $149 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-15historical
-
2026-04-10Auction
-
2026-03-26status Pending
-
2025-12-30status Active
-
2025-11-21status Pending
-
2025-10-01$165,000 Active
-
2018-06-04soldstatus $80,000 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Investment Opportunity! Brick 4 Unit on almost an acre! Estate sale. Includes TWO Car Garage. . sold as is.
-
2018-04-16$95,000 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Investment Opportunity! Brick 4 Unit on almost an acre! Estate sale. Includes TWO Car Garage. . sold as is.
-
2017-07-01historical
-
2017-01-11$119,900
-
2016-12-16historical
-
2016-09-05$120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,754 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,754 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,754
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,647
- − Management
- −$1,647
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$324
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$78
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,383/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Ridge New Tech Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1805460
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,568
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9607
- State rank
- #287 of 301 in IN
Livability — Ross
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ross, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 15,571
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,747
- Household income
- $47,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.08%
- Current HPI
- 155.6238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+37.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-30 Relisted — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-01 Listed $165,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-04 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-16 Listed $95,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-11 Listed $119,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-16 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-05 Listed $120,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-5.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,754 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…