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4401 W Taft St
D+ Composite 47.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

4401 W Taft St · Ross, IN 46408
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,625 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1930 0.98 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity! Brick 4 Unit on almost an acre! Estate sale. Includes TWO Car Garage. . sold as is.

Key facts

  • 0.98 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Lake Ridge New Tech Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #287 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $165k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
4.99%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-14,462
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$3,324
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46408

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,716 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,754/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,473
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $285 -5% $239 +0% $192 +5% $145 +10% $99
Rent -10% $57 -5% $124 +0% $192 +5% $260 +10% $328
Rate -1.0pp $275 -0.5pp $234 base $192 +0.5pp $149 +1.0pp $106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    historical
  2. 2026-04-10
    listed Auction
  3. 2026-03-26
    status Pending
  4. 2025-12-30
    status Active
  5. 2025-11-21
    status Pending
  6. 2025-10-01
    listed $165,000 Active
  7. 2018-06-04
    soldstatus $80,000 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Investment Opportunity! Brick 4 Unit on almost an acre! Estate sale. Includes TWO Car Garage. . sold as is.

  8. 2018-04-16
    listed $95,000 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Investment Opportunity! Brick 4 Unit on almost an acre! Estate sale. Includes TWO Car Garage. . sold as is.

  9. 2017-07-01
    historical
  10. 2017-01-11
    listed $119,900
  11. 2016-12-16
    historical
  12. 2016-09-05
    listed $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,754 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,754 · $230/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,592
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,754
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,647
− Management
−$1,647
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$78
After-tax cash flow
$2,383/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Ridge New Tech Schools
NCES district ID
1805460
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$34,568
Composite
12.67/100
National rank
#9607
State rank
#287 of 301 in IN

Livability — Ross

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Ross, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
15,571
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
15,747
Household income
$47,453
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.08%
Current HPI
155.6238
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-30 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $165,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-04 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-16 Listed $95,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-11 Listed $119,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-16 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-05 Listed $120,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-5.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,754 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…