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1127 W 123rd St
B+ Composite 76.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

1127 W 123rd St · Calumet Park, IL 60827
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,225 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1954 $113/sqft · 23% below area Est $180k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this spacious single family home in the heart of Calumet Park, offering endless potential for homeowners, investors, and buyers looking to relocated to this quiet suburb. Featuring a large open living area with original hardwood flooring, generous room sizes to compliment the functional layout, this home provides the perfect opportunity to customize and make it your own. the bright kitchen and dining area offers ample cabinet space and natural light, while the expansive unfinished basement provides endless possibilities for additional living space. Conveniently located near parks, schools, dining, shopping, and major expressways, this home combines suburban comfort with easy acce

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Ample cabinet space
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

LARGE OPEN LIVING AREAORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORINGBRIGHT KITCHENAMPLE CABINET SPACEEXPANSIVE UNFINISHED BASEMENTEASY ACCESS TO THE CITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing or immediate
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage/total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Raised ranch style; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Property built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Less than 1/4 acre lot; Lot dimensions listed as 4422; School bus service, commuter bus access, and interstate access nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (approx. 10 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom on main level (12 x 18); Two additional main-level bedrooms, each about 12 x 12
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement has a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry (approx. 10 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 6.7% in Calumet Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#308 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,933/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1868% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $139k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $134,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.18%
Cash-on-cash
17.46%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,774
List price
$139,000
Delta
-22.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12509 S Throop St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-1%) 2mo $141,270 $116 82
12416 S Carpenter St 0.20mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,253 (+2%) 3mo $112,500 $90 79
12427 S Ada St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,152 (-6%) 0mo $215,000 $187 74
12334 S Loomis St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,173 (-4%) 1mo $136,000 $116 73
12230 S Elizabeth St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+14%) 2mo $217,000 $155 64
11807 S Peoria St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,238 (+1%) 3mo $72,000 $58 63
11825 S Bishop St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,210 (-1%) 2mo $250,000 $207 63
12219 S Emerald Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,139 (-7%) 2mo $87,000 $76 62
1538 W 119th St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,205 (-2%) 3mo $181,111 $150 60
12154 S Justine St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,092 (-11%) 1mo $160,053 $147 54
1021 W Vermont Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,118 (-9%) 2mo $180,000 $161 51
12121 S Wallace St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,127 (-8%) 1mo $85,000 $75 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$23,394
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$111,487
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60827

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,933 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax est. 1.5%
$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$566

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
843 W 123rd St Unit T2 Calumet Park, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,400 $1.87 12d 1 0.34mi
843 W 123rd St Unit V5 Calumet Park, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 12d 1 0.34mi
12106 S Emerald Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,550 $1.96 1d 1 0.54mi
12358 S Lowe Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 2.0 1050 $2,400 $2.29 24d 1 0.61mi
12827 S Morgan St Unit 1546010P Chicago, IL 4.0 2.0 1022 $4,677 $4.58 12d 1 0.72mi
11547 S Ashland Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 1.5 1000 $2,700 $2.70 3d 1 1.09mi
11361 S Racine Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 1.5 1440 $3,700 $2.57 1d 1 1.17mi
13034 Honore St Unit 1 Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,350 $1.93 12d 1 1.27mi
2130 122nd St Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 558 $1,450 $2.60 1d 1 1.28mi
1908 Vermont St Unit 1916-4 Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,395 $1.74 1d 1 1.34mi
1923 Vermont St Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 1087 $1,550 $1.43 24d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $139,000 Active 714-char remark
  15. 1993-12-27
    soldstatus $70,378
  16. 1984-04-01
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,192
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,085
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,855
− Management
−$1,855
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$4,871
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,169
After-tax cash flow
$5,625/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chsd 218
NCES district ID
1706540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$57,166
Composite
16.09/100
National rank
#9235
State rank
#454 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet Park

Score
72/100
State rank
#308
US rank
#6048

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet Park, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
24,713
Household income
$37,217
Rent vs Own
59.8% rent · 40.2% own
Severe rent burden
1868.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.39%
Current HPI
163.7725
Rent YoY
▲ 7.82%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+152.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $139,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $70,378 Public Records
  • 1984-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,541 · +56.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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