414 4th St · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is ready for a new tenant. This property has been well kept and has a fresh coat of paint and beautiful hardwood floors throughout. It will need some small repair work and kitchen appliances, but this property is ready to add to a smart investor's portfolio. Sold As-Is. Cash or conventional only.
Key facts
- Garage
- Fenced yard
- 7,840 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Asbestos construction material; Year built from public records
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; City lot; Lot dimensions approximately 123 x 62.5 (irregular)
Interior
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.22%
- DSCR
- 3.64
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,496
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -14.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 7th St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 1,136 (0%) | 4mo | $31,000 | $27 | 90 |
| 960 N Gap Loop | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,114 (-2%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $36 | 70 |
| 114 Rotary St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,132 (-0%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $22 | 63 |
| 815 N Gap Loop | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,110 (-2%) | 4mo | $59,000 | $53 | 62 |
| 3070 Tremont St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,102 (-3%) | 18mo | $76,000 | $69 | 59 |
| 2930 Milton Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,186 (+4%) | 10mo | $53,000 | $45 | 54 |
| 4005 Tiffany Dr | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 978 (-14%) | 11mo | $72,000 | $74 | 52 |
| 3055 Alta Rd | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+14%) | 11mo | $47,000 | $36 | 46 |
| 37 Maplewood Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,040 (-8%) | 12mo | $38,000 | $37 | 42 |
| 117 Rotary St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,245 (+10%) | 12mo | $30,000 | $24 | 41 |
| 101 Brockway Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 980 (-14%) | 6mo | $16,000 | $16 | 36 |
| 2931 Vandy Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,303 (+15%) | 18mo | $91,900 | $71 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $28,648
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 62.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.28×
- Total profit
- $70,151
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36110
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,008 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $230/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $551
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 622 6th St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $1,095 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 325 3rd St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $850 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3024 Tyler Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $725 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3090 Alabama River Pkwy Montgomery, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3070 Tremont St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3 Rotary St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $925 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 412 Edward St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $800 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4029 Chelsea Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 429 Edward St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,080 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 105 Dyas Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,095 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 16 Garden St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $775 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 216 Gardendale Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 341 Chisholm St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,195 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 204 W Park Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $850 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 142 W Michigan Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 298 Broadway St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 218 Broadway St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 207 Destin St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $695 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3452 Harris St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 408 Briarbrook Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $960 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 408 Briarbrook Dr #204 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3613 Erwin Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3329 Texas St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2107 Yarbrough Cir Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $925 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2111 Yarbrough St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $795 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1653 N Yarbrough Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $950 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $39,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$39,900 Active 273-char remark
-
2024-07-03soldstatus $302,000
-
2023-03-07soldstatus $39,000 Sold 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is ready for a new tenant. This property has been well kept and has a fresh coat of paint and beautiful hardwood floors throughout. It will need some small repair work and kitchen appliances, but this property is ready to add to a smart investor's portfolio. Sold As-Is. Cash or conventional only.
-
2023-02-27status Pending 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is ready for a new tenant. This property has been well kept and has a fresh coat of paint and beautiful hardwood floors throughout. It will need some small repair work and kitchen appliances, but this property is ready to add to a smart investor's portfolio. Sold As-Is. Cash or conventional only.
-
2023-02-16price $41,900 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is ready for a new tenant. This property has been well kept and has a fresh coat of paint and beautiful hardwood floors throughout. It will need some small repair work and kitchen appliances, but this property is ready to add to a smart investor's portfolio. Sold As-Is. Cash or conventional only.
-
2023-02-02$44,900 Active 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is ready for a new tenant. This property has been well kept and has a fresh coat of paint and beautiful hardwood floors throughout. It will need some small repair work and kitchen appliances, but this property is ready to add to a smart investor's portfolio. Sold As-Is. Cash or conventional only.
-
2017-08-28soldstatus $23,999
Show marketing remark (125 chars)
Affordable home. Nice yard completely fenced . Fresh exterior paint. Screened Front Porch. Huge eat in kitchen. Large garage.
-
2017-07-12$23,999
Show marketing remark (125 chars)
Affordable home. Nice yard completely fenced . Fresh exterior paint. Screened Front Porch. Huge eat in kitchen. Large garage.
-
2015-09-18$35,000
-
2002-12-10$39,900
-
2000-01-26$33,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $230 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $230 · $19/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$230
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$968
- − Management
- −$968
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $6,337
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,521
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,102
- Household income
- $47,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 753.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.37%
- Current HPI
- 66.3114
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+17.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $39,900 MAAR
- 2024-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $302,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-07 Sold (MLS) $39,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-02-27 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-02-16 Price Changed $41,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-02-02 Listed $44,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-08-28 Sold (MLS) $23,999 MAAR
- 2017-07-12 Listed $23,999 MAAR
- 2015-09-18 Listed $35,000 MAAR
- 2002-12-10 Listed $39,900 MAAR
- 2000-01-26 Listed $33,900 MAAR
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $230 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…