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1045 50th St W
B- Composite 68.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$122,544

1045 50th St W · Birmingham, AL 35208
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1955 9,147 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Take a drive by this three bedroom, one bath home and see if it may be your next investment.   "As is" cash only sale with no contingencies or inspections.     Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. May be subject to right of redemption.

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 30 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.21 acres
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1955; Frame construction
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace (one)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $878 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $123k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bush Hills Steam Academy (math 0% / reading 13%, grade F, #249 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 433 students, 92% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,106/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 573% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $847 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $123k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,705 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.89%
Cash-on-cash
30.70%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$570,152
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1240 51st St S 0.34mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,792 (+2%) 3mo $505,000 $181 65
4708 Overwood Cir 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,804 (+3%) 3mo $562,000 $200 64
1037 52nd Pl S 0.18mi 3/3.0 2,419 (-11%) 8mo $385,000 $159 58
4826 Clairmont Ave 0.39mi 4/4.0 (+1) 2,812 (+3%) 4mo $589,000 $209 56
5148 6th Ave S 0.62mi 3/2.0 2,544 (-7%) 1mo $410,000 $161 55
1225 51st St S 0.30mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,454 (-10%) 1mo $515,000 $210 55
4421 Overlook Rd 0.64mi 3/3.0 2,536 (-7%) 0mo $595,000 $235 50
912 Rockford Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 2,448 (-10%) 8mo $424,000 $173 44
745 Linwood Rd 0.54mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,978 (+9%) 8mo $980,000 $329 42
5405 9th Ave S 0.64mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,924 (+7%) 8mo $585,000 $200 39
925 Conroy Rd 0.71mi 3/3.5 2,459 (-10%) 4mo $950,000 $386 37
712 43rd St S 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,431 (-11%) 4mo $560,000 $230 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$45,407
Equity at exit
$18,272
10-year hold
IRR
39.5%
Equity multiple
5.47×
Total profit
$153,456
Equity at exit
$10,595

Cash invested: $34,312 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35208

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,106 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$643
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,106/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$878

Break-even live

Break-even rent $995
Max offer price $122,544
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,636
Closing costs
$3,676
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1316 Southhall Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 2044 $2,300 $1.13 43d 1 1.22mi
3723 5th Ave S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1840 $3,400 $1.85 43d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,544 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,544 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,544 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,544 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,544 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $122,544 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,544 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,544 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $122,544 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $122,544 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $122,544 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $122,544 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,544 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    listed $122,544 Active
  15. 1999-06-24
    soldstatus $69,900
  16. 1999-05-18
    soldstatus $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,106 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,106 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,269
− Mortgage interest
−$6,864
− Property taxes
−$1,106
− Insurance
−$613
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,022
− Management
−$2,022
− Depreciation
−$3,565
Taxable income
$9,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,179
After-tax cash flow
$8,354/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,412
Household income
$38,561
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
573.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.99%
Current HPI
153.414
Rent YoY
▲ 7.24%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $122,544 VMLS
  • 1999-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 1999-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,106 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…