181 Viridian Vw · Leming, TX 78064

$149,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 126 Days on market

Built 2022 Good condition 0.59 ac lot $123/sqft · 19% below area Est $185k · 19% under ↓ 25% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.9/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.4/10.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.59 acre lot
• Built 2022
• Listed 126 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 44/100 on livability (#1,568 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Pleasanton ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #470 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.40%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.53%
• DSCR: 1.34
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $184,719
• List price: $149,900
• Delta: -18.85%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.82×
• Total profit: $-7,548
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.35×
• Total profit: $14,887
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78064

• Home prices YoY: -32.7%
• Active inventory: 233
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,524 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$92 /mo · $1,104/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$320
• Net cashflow: $263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,191

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-05-19
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-19
   status Pending
3. 2026-03-11
   price $149,900
4. 2026-03-02
   price $149,900
5. 2026-01-13
   listed $164,900 New
6. 2026-01-09
   price $164,900
7. 2025-09-12
   price $174,900
8. 2025-09-05
   price $179,900
9. 2025-05-06
   price $185,000
10. 2025-03-21
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,104 · $92/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,743 · $229/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,640/yr (+$137/mo · 148.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,288
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$1,104
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,463
• − Management: −$1,463
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $751
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$180
• After-tax cash flow: $2,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It has potential for further value increases through minor cosmetic improvements.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
• Both Adding a small patio or deck — This can increase the living space and add value for both resale and rental purposes.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
• Both Adding a small patio or deck — This can increase the living space and add value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pleasanton ISD
• NCES district ID: 4835190
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,885
• Composite: 31.97/100
• National rank: #5843
• State rank: #470 of 826 in TX

Livability — Leming

• Score: 44/100
• State rank: #1568
• US rank: #26744

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 16,420

Population outlook (Atascosa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 57,233 people
• By 2030: 61,729 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 71,122 · +24.3%
• By 2050: 80,906 · +41.4%
• By 2075: 106,134 · +85.4%
• By 2100: 122,415 · +113.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (55%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 55% White 41% Two or more races 27% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 49%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 67% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atascosa

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.9% · R 71.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -43.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -91.53%
• Current HPI: 188.725
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-25.0% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Pending — LERA
• 2026-05-19 Pending — CTXMLS
• 2026-03-11 Price Changed $149,900 LERA
• 2026-03-02 Price Changed $149,900 CTXMLS
• 2026-01-13 Listed $164,900 LERA
• 2026-01-09 Price Changed $164,900 CTXMLS
• 2025-09-12 Price Changed $174,900 CTXMLS
• 2025-09-05 Price Changed $179,900 CTXMLS
• 2025-05-06 Price Changed $185,000 CTXMLS
• 2025-03-21 Listed $199,900 CTXMLS

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,104 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.