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19326 Rogge St
B Composite 74.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$52,000

19326 Rogge St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 975 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1941 3,920 sqft lot Est $59k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits with this charming Detroit bungalow offering classic character and solid potential. Featuring approximately 975 square feet of living space, this home includes a functional layout, full basement for additional storage or future finishing possibilities, and a detached garage. Situated on a residential street with convenient access to schools, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. Fresh new carpet adds comfort and style, and updated kitchen. Major mechanical and exterior upgrades include new PEX plumbing, a new roof, and new gutters, Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking to add your personal touch or an investor seeking your next project, this property presents excellent value and opportunity. Schedule your showing today and envision the possibilities.

Key facts

  • New pex plumbing
  • New gutters
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGENEW PEX PLUMBINGNEW ROOFNEW GUTTERSUPDATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 37.5 x 103.9 (0.09 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
  • Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $52,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
20.79%
Cash-on-cash
51.79%
DSCR
3.30
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$59,475
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19161 Rogge St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,001 (+3%) 7mo $46,500 $46 84
19723 Carrie St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+5%) 2mo $85,000 $83 77
18818 Sherwood St 0.35mi 3/1.0 940 (-4%) 6mo $38,000 $40 73
8212 E Lantz St 0.51mi 3/1.0 989 (+1%) 2mo $60,000 $61 72
7505 E Robinwood St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (+3%) 3mo $140,500 $141 70
20136 Helen St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+3%) 1mo $32,000 $32 69
19351 Dwyer St 0.63mi 3/1.0 971 (-0%) 6mo $120,000 $124 65
20192 Rogge St 0.59mi 3/1.0 982 (+1%) 8mo $75,000 $76 65
20043 Packard St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+7%) 6mo $87,000 $84 62
19400 Dwyer St 0.61mi 3/1.5 960 (-2%) 8mo $50,000 $52 60
18824 Helen St 0.29mi 3/1.0 844 (-13%) 5mo $34,000 $40 60
8245 E Hildale St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,028 (+5%) 3mo $45,000 $44 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
3.50×
Total profit
$36,470
Equity at exit
$7,753
10-year hold
IRR
60.5%
Equity multiple
8.20×
Total profit
$104,879
Equity at exit
$4,496

Cash invested: $14,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$273
Tax est. 1.5%
$65 /mo · $780/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$628

Break-even live

Break-even rent $455
Max offer price $52,000
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,000
Closing costs
$1,560
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.09mi
19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 5d 1 0.29mi
7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 0.37mi
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 24d 1 0.68mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 0.97mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 44d 1 0.99mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 22d 1 0.99mi
7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $1,165 $1.94 24d 1 1.00mi
8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,549 $1.72 24d 1 1.05mi
8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 840 $1,198 $1.43 44d 1 1.05mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 24d 1 1.06mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 17d 1 1.07mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 17d 1 1.11mi
7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 561 $1,050 $1.87 44d 1 1.14mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 1.16mi
7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 945 $1,450 $1.53 11d 1 1.17mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 1.23mi
7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 911 $1,274 $1.40 44d 1 1.26mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 17d 1 1.28mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 44d 1 1.28mi
8065 Meadow Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 24d 1 1.29mi
8162 Orchard Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 44d 1 1.35mi
7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1032 $1,199 $1.16 22d 1 1.37mi
11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 44d 1 1.40mi
7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 703 $1,200 $1.71 24d 1 1.42mi
11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 12d 1 1.42mi
21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,375 $1.39 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $52,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $52,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $52,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $52,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $52,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $52,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,004
− Mortgage interest
−$2,913
− Property taxes
−$780
− Insurance
−$260
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$1,513
Taxable income
$7,138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,713
After-tax cash flow
$5,828/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+178.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $52,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $52,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1996-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $18,650 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,194 · +38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…