🏷️ Likely Rental
8218 Park Ave · Sherwood, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investiment opportunity with built in Tennant paying $950.00 per month
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- Built 1969
- Listed 275 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (2.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.3% in Sherwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $145k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.85%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $275,985
- List price
- $209,000
- Delta
- -24.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8812 Holiday Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 2,390 (-13%) | 1mo | $141,000 | $59 | 53 |
| 5 Briarstone Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,345 (-14%) | 4mo | $277,900 | $119 | 53 |
| 35 Ridgewell Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 2,399 (-12%) | 19mo | $299,000 | $125 | 49 |
| 66 Oakbrooke Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,600 (-5%) | 5mo | $400,000 | $154 | 47 |
| 105 Wild Oak Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,363 (-14%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $97 | 47 |
| 4636 Brandywine Cv | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,387 (-13%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $121 | 47 |
| 3032 Overcup Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,531 (-8%) | 5mo | $329,000 | $130 | 44 |
| 112 Riverstone Cv | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,505 (-9%) | 2mo | $479,400 | $191 | 42 |
| 101 Alanbrook Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 2,575 (-6%) | 24mo | $325,000 | $126 | 38 |
| 805 Club Rd | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,100 (+13%) | 9mo | $314,000 | $101 | 30 |
| 4 Greenview Cir | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,915 (+6%) | 24mo | $299,900 | $103 | 28 |
| 130 Riverstone Cv | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,505 (-9%) | 23mo | $485,900 | $194 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-15,043
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $22,323
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72120
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,037 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,277/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $236
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $355 | -5% $296 | +0% $236 | +5% $177 | +10% $118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $156 | +0% $236 | +5% $317 | +10% $397 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $342 | -0.5pp $290 | base $236 | +0.5pp $182 | +1.0pp $127 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8708 Patricia Lynn Ln Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1918 | $1,695 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3280 Overcup Dr Sherwood, AR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2071 | $2,475 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 310 Alanbrook Ave Sherwood, AR | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3554 | $2,250 | $0.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 125 Jessica Dr Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $1,785 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 23 Greenview Cir Sherwood, AR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2232 | $1,975 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2616 Point River Cv Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2520 | $2,495 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9124 Wetherbee Cir Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2188 | $2,250 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $209,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $209,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $209,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $209,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-03-02price $209,000 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Great investiment opportunity with built in Tennant paying $950.00 per month
-
2025-09-14$219,900 New Listing 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Great investiment opportunity with built in Tennant paying $950.00 per month
-
2008-06-23soldstatus $145,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,277 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,277 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,446
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$2,277
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,956
- − Management
- −$1,956
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$575
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$138
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County Spec. School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,218
- Composite
- 25.67/100
- National rank
- #7394
- State rank
- #150 of 238 in AR
Livability — Sherwood
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #5246
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sherwood, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 34,365
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,365
- Household income
- $76,598
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 26% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.93%
- Current HPI
- 198.9456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+44.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $209,000 CARMLS
- 2025-09-14 Listed $219,900 CARMLS
- 2008-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,277 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…