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82257 3rd Ave N #257
C Composite 56.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

82257 3rd Ave N #257 · Pinellas Park, FL 33781
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 143 Days on market
Built 1971 Est $108k · 26% over $220/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * VOTED BEST MOBILE HOME COMMUNITY 2026 in Pinellas Park/RESIDENT OWNED COMMUNITY * * Desirable 2 bedroom, 2 full bath fully furnished open floor plan. Huge primary bedroom with two separate built in closets, chest of drawers, ceiling fan and private ensuite bathroom with low step in shower and glass door. Spacious second bedroom also has two separate built in closets and ceiling fan. Guest bath has a tub/shower combo and two linen closets for extra storage. Large chef's kitchen with built in microwave, pantry, lots of cabinet and counter space. Dining area has a beautiful built in China and display cabinet. Spacious living area with ceiling fan. Bright natural light Florida room with

Key facts

  • Outdoor living area
  • Built in closets
  • Large chef's kitchen

Tags

BUILT IN CLOSETSPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOMLARGE CHEF'S KITCHENOUTDOOR LIVING AREAWORK SHOP LAUNDRY ROOMMAINTENANCE FREE VINYL SIDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Furnished; Private maintained paved road
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees $220; total annual fees $2,640
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by West Coast Management/Terry Cross; Monthly HOA $220 (includes common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, management, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash, water); Community amenities: Clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court, laundry, sidewalks, street lights; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), max pet weight ~20 lbs; Buyer approval required; Deed restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Association recreation owned

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Underground utilities; Cable available; Broadband/High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One story; Faces north; Entry level: One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof / roof over; Crawlspace foundation with pillar/post/pier
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Private mailbox; Rain gutters; Sidewalk; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Thermostat; Aluminum frame windows with blinds; Florida room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer (included); Washer hookup; Outdoor laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $31k; list at $135k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
9.40%
Cash-on-cash
11.08%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,520
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34175 Canal Dr 0.27mi 2/2.0 954 (-1%) 2mo $117,500 $123 85
82015 A St N #15 0.11mi 2/2.0 915 (-5%) 6mo $108,000 $118 82
82177 E St N #177 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+5%) 9mo $30,000 $30 80
34541 Violet Dr N 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+5%) 1mo $110,000 $109 79
82009 A St N #9 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,060 (+10%) 12mo $139,900 $132 68
34479 Cactus Dr N 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 2mo $118,500 $112 68
82226 F St N #226 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 10mo $175,000 $166 67
34076 Avocado Dr N 0.27mi 2/1.5 872 (-9%) 5mo $88,000 $101 66
34041 Azalea Dr N 0.27mi 2/2.0 882 (-8%) 11mo $80,000 $91 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,053
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,342
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33781

Rents YoY
-3.0%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,904 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,050/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$220
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$349

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,462
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8851 US Highway 19 N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 993 $2,295 $2.31 2d 23 0.43mi
4355 84th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,550 $2.21 2d 10 0.45mi
4071 76th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,724 $2.46 4d 3 0.48mi
3110 Grand Ave Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1104 $2,467 $2.23 2d 34 0.66mi
4520 76th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,545 $2.21 24d 1 0.74mi
4701 88th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 855 $1,853 $2.17 11d 20 0.77mi
4771 78th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 2.0 903 $1,640 $1.82 24d 1 0.83mi
8400 49th St N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $1,749 $2.47 2d 22 0.94mi
4940 87th Ave Unit C Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 24d 1 0.94mi
2790 Grand Ave Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $2,782 $2.73 2d 16 0.98mi
4675 72nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,649 $2.20 22d 1 1.00mi
3715 66th Ave N Unit B Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,475 $1.97 22d 1 1.09mi
4973 91st Ave Unit C Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 2.0 875 $1,475 $1.69 14d 1 1.09mi
4973 91st Ave Unit 12 (C) Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 2.0 875 $1,475 $1.69 15d 1 1.09mi
9505 49th St N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1049 $2,297 $2.19 2d 19 1.11mi
7050 48th St N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 1.5 1008 $2,350 $2.33 24d 1 1.14mi
5060 76th Ave N #409 Pinellas Park, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 22d 1 1.15mi
9911 Dahlia St #38 Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 8d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$220 · $2,640/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 138 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 132 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-03-10
    price $135,000
  14. 2026-01-26
    listed $145,000 Active
  15. 1996-02-01
    soldstatus $31,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,050 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,050 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,848
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,050
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,828
− Management
−$1,828
− HOA
−$2,640
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$2,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$561
After-tax cash flow
$3,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pinellas Park

Score
78/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#2546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pinellas Park, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
50,533
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,072
Household income
$57,785
Rent vs Own
35.6% rent · 64.4% own
Severe rent burden
1115.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 14% Two or more races 11% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -409.77%
Current HPI
348.546
Rent YoY
▼ -2.95%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+335.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,050 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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