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30 Lake Dr N
D Composite 41.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$319,900

30 Lake Dr N · Brownsburg, IN 46112
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,034 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1991 10,080 sqft lot $157/sqft · 22% above area Est $364k · 12% under $14/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful home sitting on a corner lot. You will love this home the moment you enter. Fresh paint and newer flooring throughout the home. With four bedrooms, a basement, master suite and bonus rooms there is plenty of space! The spacious fenced in back yard offers privacy. Don't miss this opportunity for a larger home in Brownsburg school district.

Key facts

  • Private yard
  • Welcoming porch
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

PRIVATE YARDWELCOMING PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Mandatory fee ownership interest
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $170

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; Solid waste service available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Less than 1/4 acre lot
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Full privacy fence; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank in living and family rooms; Hardwood floors elsewhere
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms (one on main level, one in basement)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Hardwood floors; Woodwork painted; Formal living room; Finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-381 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (21.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (23.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $245k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.8% in Brownsburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#61 in IN, #4,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Brownsburg Community School Corporation (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #2 of 301 in IN (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Eagle Elementary School (math 84% / reading 75%, grade A, #8 of 994 statewide, top 1%, 586 students, 28% FRL); Brownsburg High School (math 61% / reading 83%, grade B+, #12 of 369 statewide, top 4%, 3,177 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $274k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $245,177 (23.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.10%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$363,523
List price
$319,900
Delta
-12.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
918 Briarwood Dr 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,080 (+2%) 1mo $320,000 $154 77
11 Daniel Cir 0.33mi 4/2.5 1,920 (-6%) 1mo $323,000 $168 72
190 Briarwood Ct 0.24mi 4/2.5 1,942 (-4%) 8mo $335,000 $173 72
1313 S Odell St 0.70mi 4/2.5 2,020 (-1%) 3mo $299,000 $148 62
6292 Chelsea St 0.38mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,886 (-7%) 6mo $314,000 $166 58
1047 S Jefferson St 0.28mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,802 (-11%) 10mo $303,000 $168 53
122 Prairie Pkwy 0.42mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,840 (-10%) 2mo $255,000 $139 52
1201 Briarwood Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,768 (-13%) 10mo $335,000 $189 51
1105 S Odell St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,812 (-11%) 0mo $320,003 $177 41
1357 Brownswood Dr 0.75mi 4/2.5 1,840 (-10%) 10mo $275,000 $149 39
210 Prairie Pkwy 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,728 (-15%) 12mo $290,000 $168 32
1206 Brownswood Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,760 (-14%) 10mo $310,000 $176 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.1%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-67,564
Equity at exit
$47,698
10-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-52,604
Equity at exit
$27,659

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46112

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
340
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,452 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$493 /mo · $5,916/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$14
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$515
Net cashflow
$-381

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,934
Max offer price $252,598
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-200 -5% $-290 +0% $-381 +5% $-472 +10% $-562
Rent -10% $-575 -5% $-478 +0% $-381 +5% $-284 +10% $-187
Rate -1.0pp $-220 -0.5pp $-300 base $-381 +0.5pp $-464 +1.0pp $-548

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
28 Parkwood Dr Brownsburg, IN 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,760 $1.24 19d 1 1.02mi
673 Hanover Rd Brownsburg, IN 4.0 2.5 2444 $2,300 $0.94 25d 1 1.40mi
275 Lazy Hollow Dr Brownsburg, IN 4.0 2.5 2190 $2,571 $1.17 45d 1 1.43mi
443 N Odell St Brownsburg, IN 4.0 2.5 1984 $2,391 $1.21 23d 1 1.44mi
457 Sable Chase Brownsburg, IN 3.0 2.0 1408 $2,185 $1.55 6d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$14 · $168/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    listed $319,900 Active 1004-char remark
  2. 2025-02-10
    historical $2,395
  3. 2025-01-22
    listed $2,395
  4. 2025-01-22
    historical $2,395
  5. 2024-12-12
    listed $2,395
  6. 2024-07-25
    historical $2,395
  7. 2024-06-28
    listed $2,395
  8. 2021-08-02
    soldstatus $274,500 Closed 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    Beautiful home sitting on a corner lot. You will love this home the moment you enter. Fresh paint and newer flooring throughout the home. With four bedrooms, a basement, master suite and bonus rooms there is plenty of space! The spacious fenced in back yard offers privacy. Don't miss this opportunity for a larger home in Brownsburg school district.

  9. 2021-07-17
    status Pending 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    Beautiful home sitting on a corner lot. You will love this home the moment you enter. Fresh paint and newer flooring throughout the home. With four bedrooms, a basement, master suite and bonus rooms there is plenty of space! The spacious fenced in back yard offers privacy. Don't miss this opportunity for a larger home in Brownsburg school district.

  10. 2021-07-14
    listed $255,000 Active 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    Beautiful home sitting on a corner lot. You will love this home the moment you enter. Fresh paint and newer flooring throughout the home. With four bedrooms, a basement, master suite and bonus rooms there is plenty of space! The spacious fenced in back yard offers privacy. Don't miss this opportunity for a larger home in Brownsburg school district.

  11. 2004-07-02
    soldstatus $149,900
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Be amazed! This fabulous 4 Bedroom 2 story with Finished Basement boasts of almost 2900 finished square feet! You'll love the Formal Living Rm, huge open Family Rm located off the spacious Kitchen. Formal Dining Rm is b eing used as a Home Office. Unwind on your private patio/deck overlooking a privacy fenced yard or entertain in the awesome basement Rec Room. (Seller will sell pool table, game table & home theater separately.) Don't mi ss--see today!

  12. 2004-05-04
    listed $149,900
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Be amazed! This fabulous 4 Bedroom 2 story with Finished Basement boasts of almost 2900 finished square feet! You'll love the Formal Living Rm, huge open Family Rm located off the spacious Kitchen. Formal Dining Rm is b eing used as a Home Office. Unwind on your private patio/deck overlooking a privacy fenced yard or entertain in the awesome basement Rec Room. (Seller will sell pool table, game table & home theater separately.) Don't mi ss--see today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,916 · $493/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,916 · $493/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,421
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$5,916
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,354
− Management
−$2,354
− HOA
−$168
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$10,195
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,447
After-tax cash flow
$-2,125/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brownsburg Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1801020
Math proficiency
72% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,304
Composite
63.45/100
National rank
#616
State rank
#2 of 301 in IN

Livability — Brownsburg

Score
75/100
State rank
#61
US rank
#4105

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brownsburg, IN
County
Hendricks County · 143,373 people
City population
44,220
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
44,220
Household income
$112,565
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
614.0

Population outlook (Hendricks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,418 people
By 2030
201,494 · +7.5%
By 2040
228,487 · +21.9%
By 2050
253,068 · +35.0%
By 2075
308,920 · +64.8%
By 2100
336,510 · +79.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 10% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hendricks

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.5) · D 38.4% · R 59.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.9pp toward D · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -21.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.5 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.99%
Current HPI
217.3787
Rent YoY
▲ 6.31%
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+113.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $319,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-10 Rental Removed $2,395 RENTLY
  • 2025-01-22 Listed for Rent $2,395 RENTLY
  • 2025-01-22 Rental Removed $2,395 RENTLY
  • 2024-12-12 Listed for Rent $2,395 RENTLY
  • 2024-07-25 Rental Removed $2,395 RENTLY
  • 2024-06-28 Listed for Rent $2,395 RENTLY
  • 2021-08-02 Sold (MLS) $274,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-17 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-14 Listed $255,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-07-02 Sold (MLS) $149,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-05-04 Listed $149,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,916 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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