1021 Wood Creek Dr #3 · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Have you been looking for a condo with little to no maintenance in a great area for a steal of a price? Then look no further because you found it! Nestled away this condo which has had recent renovations is ready for you to either move into it and make it your home or is ready to be your next investment property! Be sure to check it out and schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- $220 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1988
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.59 acres; Zoning: MR5; Located in Cumberland County; Directions: South on Reilly St, right on Woods Creek
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $220 covering grounds maintenance; Part of an association (Stewart's Creek Condo Association)
Exterior
- Parking: 1 open parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One-story site-built unit; Unit number 3
- Construction: Built with other construction materials; No foundation specified
- Exterior features: Private maintained road; Shingle roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl flooring; Central heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 435 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.51%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $7,111
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $30,632
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28314
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 435
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $376/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$220
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $325 | -5% $305 | +0% $286 | +5% $266 | +10% $246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $192 | -5% $239 | +0% $286 | +5% $332 | +10% $379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $303 | base $286 | +0.5pp $267 | +1.0pp $249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1018 Wood Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 6809 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $990 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 6804 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $890 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6792 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 6792 Willowbrook Dr #16 Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1000 Wood Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 942 Stewarts Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 942 Stewarts Creek Dr #8 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,055 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1022 Brookhollow Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1014 Brookhollow Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6748 Willowbrook Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1002 Brookhollow Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,290 | $0.98 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 6720 Willowbrook Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1001 Brookhollow Dr #4 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6855 Shawcross Ln Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 6848 Torrance Ln Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $3,295 | $2.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 244 Wickford Ct Unit 6 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1141 | $995 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 6734 Winchester St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $3,195 | $2.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 916 Glen Reilly Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 205 Brookford Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,640 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 605 S Reilly Rd Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 992 | $1,110 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 621 Marshtree Ln #305 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 625 Marshtree Ln Fayetteville, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 15d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 6535 Jefferey Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $905 | $1.29 | 15d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 6521 Cissna Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,375 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6407 Wallaby Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6510 Cissna Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 338 Milburn Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $1,550 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6445 Independence Pl Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1106 | $1,529 | $1.38 | 15d | 18 | 0.90mi |
| 540 Auburndale Ln Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 111 Grande Oaks Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1205 | $1,412 | $1.17 | 15d | 46 | 1.03mi |
| 6793 Candlewood Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,475 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 307 Family Lodge Dr Unit 5 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7252 Ainsley St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1265 | $1,299 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 278 Crabapple Cir #57 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $990 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 567 Cutchen Ln Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,175 | $1.20 | 15d | 61 | 1.18mi |
| 7639 Fletcher Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 202 Bertram Pl Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 495 Stiles Pl Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7526 Bridgeman Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $220 · $2,640/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 368-char remark
-
2026-06-03$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $376 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $573 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$197/yr (+$16/mo · 52.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,166
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$376
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − HOA
- −$2,640
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,585
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$620
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,806/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,834
- Household income
- $62,249
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2511.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.20%
- Current HPI
- 231.873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.11%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $69,900 TMLS
Property tax history
-13.5%/yrLatest (2019): $376 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…