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312 N 3rd St
B- Composite 66.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

312 N 3rd St · Clyde, TX 79510
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 582 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1946 3,049 sqft lot $103/sqft · at area comps Est $57k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great potential for someone to finish this property out! All brand new windows, all new plumbing and electrical run. LVP flooring through out. Kitchen has electric range and dishwasher, awesome kitchen sink and faucet. Just need to finish out walls and add some finishing touches! Spacious 2 car carport. Fenced side yard. Would make a great home or rental property when finished!

Key facts

  • Electric range
  • Dishwasher
  • Newer windows

Tags

LVP FLOORINGNEWER WINDOWSELECTRIC RANGEDISHWASHERELECTRICAL WORKPLUMBING WORK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($869 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.2% in Clyde — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety D+.
  • Clyde CISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #341 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Callahan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Callahan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.93%
Cash-on-cash
20.12%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,290
List price
$59,900
Delta
4.56%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$8,210
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$30,240
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79510

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$869 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $791/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $513
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $315 -5% $298 +0% $281 +5% $264 +10% $247
Rent -10% $213 -5% $247 +0% $281 +5% $315 +10% $350
Rate -1.0pp $311 -0.5pp $296 base $281 +0.5pp $266 +1.0pp $250

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,900 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 94 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
  16. 2026-03-27
    price $71,000 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Great potential for someone to finish this property out! All brand new windows, all new plumbing and electrical run. LVP flooring through out. Kitchen has electric range and dishwasher, awesome kitchen sink and faucet. Just need to finish out walls and add some finishing touches! Spacious 2 car carport. Fenced side yard. Would make a great home or rental property when finished!

  17. 2026-03-10
    listed $72,900 Active 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Great potential for someone to finish this property out! All brand new windows, all new plumbing and electrical run. LVP flooring through out. Kitchen has electric range and dishwasher, awesome kitchen sink and faucet. Just need to finish out walls and add some finishing touches! Spacious 2 car carport. Fenced side yard. Would make a great home or rental property when finished!

  18. 2025-08-19
    soldstatus
  19. 2025-08-06
    soldstatus Closed 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Owner agent. Great investment property. Some work has already been done. Plumbing rough in completed, electricity rough in needs to be completed. All black appliances have never used. Still in boxes. Appliances are not located on the property but will be delivered before closing. All windows have been replaced with new windows. One window is still in the living room and needs to be installed. This home needs work but is in a great location in Clyde, TX. Contact me or your agent for a showing.

  20. 2025-07-10
    status Pending 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Owner agent. Great investment property. Some work has already been done. Plumbing rough in completed, electricity rough in needs to be completed. All black appliances have never used. Still in boxes. Appliances are not located on the property but will be delivered before closing. All windows have been replaced with new windows. One window is still in the living room and needs to be installed. This home needs work but is in a great location in Clyde, TX. Contact me or your agent for a showing.

  21. 2025-03-06
    listed $45,000 Active 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Owner agent. Great investment property. Some work has already been done. Plumbing rough in completed, electricity rough in needs to be completed. All black appliances have never used. Still in boxes. Appliances are not located on the property but will be delivered before closing. All windows have been replaced with new windows. One window is still in the living room and needs to be installed. This home needs work but is in a great location in Clyde, TX. Contact me or your agent for a showing.

  22. 2023-08-31
    soldstatus
  23. 2023-08-24
    soldstatus Closed
  24. 2023-08-01
    status Pending
  25. 2023-07-26
    historical Active Option Contract
  26. 2023-07-15
    listed $35,000 Active
  27. 2023-02-27
    soldstatus
  28. 2021-12-22
    soldstatus
  29. 2021-12-17
    soldstatus Sold
  30. 2021-12-01
    soldstatus
  31. 2021-11-24
    status Pending
  32. 2021-11-22
    status Active
  33. 2021-10-19
    status Pending
  34. 2021-10-06
    historical Active Option Contract
  35. 2021-09-22
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$791 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$305/yr (+$25/mo · 38.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,423
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$791
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$834
− Management
−$834
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$2,567
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$616
After-tax cash flow
$2,758/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clyde CISD
NCES district ID
4814450
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,614
Composite
35.84/100
National rank
#4824
State rank
#341 of 826 in TX

Livability — Clyde

Score
68/100
State rank
#498
US rank
#9935

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clyde, TX
Population (ZIP)
8,135

Population outlook (Callahan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,664 people
By 2030
13,578 · -0.6%
By 2040
13,283 · -2.8%
By 2050
13,008 · -4.8%
By 2075
12,354 · -9.6%
By 2100
11,326 · -17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Italian 8% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Callahan

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.6) · D 10.9% · R 88.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: -61.7pp · 2024: -77.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.6 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+77.2 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+61.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.42%
Current HPI
186.6326
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+136.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $71,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $72,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-08-06 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2025-07-10 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-03-06 Listed $45,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-08-24 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-08-01 Pending NTREIS
  • 2023-07-26 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2023-07-15 Listed $35,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-02-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-12-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-12-17 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-12-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-11-24 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-11-22 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2021-10-19 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-10-06 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2021-09-22 Listed $30,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $791 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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