19380 SHEPARD LAKE Rd · Mount Vernon, AL 36560

$33,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,326 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1990 0.95 ac lot ↓ 25% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks

Property sold "as is" "where is" Large Corner Lot! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

Key facts

• Large corner lot
• 0.95 acre lot
• Built 1990

Tags

• LARGE CORNER LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $33k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#81 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($228 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
• Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $33,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.42% ✓
• Cap rate: 29.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 82.90%
• DSCR: 4.69
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 89.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.45×
• Total profit: $50,353
• Equity at exit: $20,889

10-year hold

• IRR: 87.1%
• Equity multiple: 13.59×
• Total profit: $116,304
• Equity at exit: $38,006

Cash invested: $9,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36560

• Home prices YoY: 4.7%
• Active inventory: 26
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,128 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$173
• Tax from tax record: −$66 /mo · $795/yr
• Insurance: −$14
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$237
• Net cashflow: $638

Break-even live

Break-even rent $320

Max offer price $33,000

Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,250
• Closing costs: $990
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-04-24
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-11
   listed $33,000 Active
3. 2018-05-09
   listed $82,500
4. 2013-11-04
   soldstatus $44,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $795 · $66/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $795 · $66/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,541
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,849
• − Property taxes: −$795
• − Insurance: −$165
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,083
• − Management: −$1,083
• − Depreciation: −$960
• Taxable income: $7,606
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,825
• After-tax cash flow: $5,835/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mobile County
• NCES district ID: 0102370
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,455
• Composite: 22.9/100
• National rank: #8002
• State rank: #81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Mount Vernon

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #81
• US rank: #10680

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Mount Vernon, AL
• Population (ZIP): 3,000

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 415,303 people
• By 2030: 411,755 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 399,670 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 382,616 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 337,353 · -18.8%
• By 2100: 283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 47% White 25% Two or more races 19% Native American 9%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

• 2024 margin: R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 6.07%
• Current HPI: 136.3161
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

-25.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-24 Pending — BCAR
• 2026-04-11 Listed $33,000 BCAR
• 2018-05-09 Listed $82,500 BCAR
• 2013-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $795 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.