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155 Sonnys Rd
D- Composite 39.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.3/15.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$288,000

155 Sonnys Rd · Gluckstadt, MS 39110
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 356 Days on market
Built 1998 2.50 ac lot $132/sqft · 14% above area Est $253k · 14% over ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your own slice of serenity in Madison County. Tucked away on 2.5 acres, this charming home offers a peaceful setting with the convenience of nearby city access. Surrounded by nature and set in a quiet, established area, you'll love the balance of space, comfort, and location. Whether you're dreaming of wide-open skies, room to roam, or simply a slower pace of life with all the benefits of being close to major interstates, this property is the perfect fit. With its generous land, inviting layout, and easy access to top Madison County amenities, this is a place to plant roots, grow, and make lasting memories.

Key facts

  • Nearby city access
  • 2.5 acres
  • Peaceful setting

Tags

2.5 ACRESPEACEFUL SETTINGNEARBY CITY ACCESSQUIET ESTABLISHED AREAEASY ACCESS TO TOP AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $288k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (9.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $253k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.9% in Gluckstadt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Canton Public School District (rural): math 13% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #100 of 130 in MS (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 356 days — a 12% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $253,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 356 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.24%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,271
List price
$288,000
Delta
13.71%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-29,634
Equity at exit
$42,942
10-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-6,964
Equity at exit
$24,901

Cash invested: $80,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39110

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
628
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,615 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,510
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,808/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,254
Max offer price $288,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,000
Closing costs
$8,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
101 Stapleton Dr Canton, MS 3.0 2.0 1677 $1,900 $1.13 43d 1 0.42mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $288,000 Active 356 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $288,000 Active 355 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $288,000 Active 354 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $288,000 Active 353 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $288,000 Active 351 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $288,000 Active 350 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $288,000 Active 348 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $288,000 Active 347 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $288,000 Active 346 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $288,000 Active 345 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $288,000 Active 342 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $288,000 Active 341 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $288,000 Active 340 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $288,000 Active 339 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $288,000 Active 338 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $288,000 Active 337 DOM
  17. 2025-10-23
    price $288,000 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Welcome to your own slice of serenity in Madison County. Tucked away on 2.5 acres, this charming home offers a peaceful setting with the convenience of nearby city access. Surrounded by nature and set in a quiet, established area, you'll love the balance of space, comfort, and location. Whether you're dreaming of wide-open skies, room to roam, or simply a slower pace of life with all the benefits of being close to major interstates, this property is the perfect fit. With its generous land, inviting layout, and easy access to top Madison County amenities, this is a place to plant roots, grow, and make lasting memories.

  18. 2025-08-26
    price $300,000 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Welcome to your own slice of serenity in Madison County. Tucked away on 2.5 acres, this charming home offers a peaceful setting with the convenience of nearby city access. Surrounded by nature and set in a quiet, established area, you'll love the balance of space, comfort, and location. Whether you're dreaming of wide-open skies, room to roam, or simply a slower pace of life with all the benefits of being close to major interstates, this property is the perfect fit. With its generous land, inviting layout, and easy access to top Madison County amenities, this is a place to plant roots, grow, and make lasting memories.

  19. 2025-08-01
    price $320,000 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Welcome to your own slice of serenity in Madison County. Tucked away on 2.5 acres, this charming home offers a peaceful setting with the convenience of nearby city access. Surrounded by nature and set in a quiet, established area, you'll love the balance of space, comfort, and location. Whether you're dreaming of wide-open skies, room to roam, or simply a slower pace of life with all the benefits of being close to major interstates, this property is the perfect fit. With its generous land, inviting layout, and easy access to top Madison County amenities, this is a place to plant roots, grow, and make lasting memories.

  20. 2025-06-27
    listed $345,000 Active 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Welcome to your own slice of serenity in Madison County. Tucked away on 2.5 acres, this charming home offers a peaceful setting with the convenience of nearby city access. Surrounded by nature and set in a quiet, established area, you'll love the balance of space, comfort, and location. Whether you're dreaming of wide-open skies, room to roam, or simply a slower pace of life with all the benefits of being close to major interstates, this property is the perfect fit. With its generous land, inviting layout, and easy access to top Madison County amenities, this is a place to plant roots, grow, and make lasting memories.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,808 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,275 · $190/mo
Expected delta
+$467/yr (+$39/mo · 25.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,381
− Mortgage interest
−$16,132
− Property taxes
−$1,808
− Insurance
−$1,440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,510
− Management
−$2,510
− Depreciation
−$8,378
Taxable loss
−$1,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$336
After-tax cash flow
$3,755/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Public School District
NCES district ID
2800900
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,130
Composite
13.44/100
National rank
#9523
State rank
#100 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gluckstadt

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 75,005 people
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
50,443
Household income
$125,506
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
227.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,509 people
By 2030
131,737 · +7.5%
By 2040
148,930 · +21.6%
By 2050
164,300 · +34.1%
By 2075
197,495 · +61.2%
By 2100
211,429 · +72.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.99%
Current HPI
154.6909
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-16.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $288,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $300,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-01 Price Changed $320,000 MLSU
  • 2025-06-27 Listed $345,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,808 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…