4113 Nebraska Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this classic all-brick bungalow nestled in the heart of the sought-after Dutchtown neighborhood! This charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers timeless character, solid construction, and endless potential for homeowners and investors alike. Step inside to discover a comfortable layout filled with natural light and vintage charm. The partially finished basement provides valuable additional living space, perfect for a recreation room, home office, workout area, or extra storage. Outside, the durable brick exterior offers low-maintenance living and lasting curb appeal. Conveniently located near parks, shopping, restaurants, public transportation, and major highways, this property pres
Key facts
- All brick bungalow
- 3,101 sq ft lot
- Built 1924
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owner by contract; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity and natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 124
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement with sleeping area, sump pump, and walk-out access; 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($938 rent vs $92k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Meramec Elem. (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 202 students, 98% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.74%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $93,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3819 California Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-1%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $64 | 70 |
| 4543 Michigan Ave | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 | 850 (-2%) | 3mo | $54,900 | $65 | 66 |
| 2719 Keokuk St | 0.37mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 836 (-4%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $66 | 65 |
| 3618 Gasconade St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 850 (-2%) | 2mo | $107,000 | $126 | 64 |
| 4338 Oregon Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 956 (+10%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $120 | 63 |
| 4630 Idaho Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+1%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $165 | 59 |
| 4644 Minnesota Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+1%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $108 | 58 |
| 4620 Michigan Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 899 (+3%) | 8mo | $89,000 | $99 | 52 |
| 3607 Oregon Ave | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 838 (-4%) | 7mo | $89,990 | $107 | 49 |
| 3728 Minnesota Ave | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 | 986 (+13%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $132 | 49 |
| 3609 Ohio Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+8%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $139 | 41 |
| 3615 Virginia Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 990 (+14%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $91 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,176
- Equity at exit
- $13,717
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $21,965
- Equity at exit
- $7,954
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63118
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $938 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $389/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4127 Oregon Ave Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,203 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2837 Meramec St Apt 1E St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 4102 California Ave Unit 2s St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $725 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4202 California Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $625 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2806 Osage St Apt 2E St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $750 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4238 California Ave St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3138 Gasconade St Unit 3138 2W St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $850 | $0.89 | 17d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3931 Oregon Ave Unit 3931 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $999 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3931 Oregon Ave Unit 3931 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $999 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4308 Nebraska Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,148 | $1.13 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4308 Nebraska Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,148 | $1.13 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4116 S Compton Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $725 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3922 Minnesota Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3106 Keokuk St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3116 Keokuk St Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3116 Keokuk St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3855 Minnesota Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3839 Pennsylvania Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,000 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3828 Nebraska Ave St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $750 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2649 Keokuk St Unit 1L St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4305 Virginia Ave Unit 204 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $785 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3829 S Compton Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3829 S Compton Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2700 Chippewa St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $685 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3406 Keokuk St Unit 3406 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4508 Pennsylvania Ave Unit 2N St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $740 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4508 Pennsylvania Ave Unit 2N St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $740 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4513 Pennsylvania Ave Unit 4515 1F St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3402 Dunnica Ave Unit 3400 1f St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $775 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3739 Ohio Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $900 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3739 Ohio Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4528 Nebraska Ave Unit 305 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,345 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4528 Nebraska Ave Unit 104 St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3428 Dunnica Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $995 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3515 Osage St Unit 3511 Osage St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $695 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3511 Osage St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $695 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3514 Alberta St Unit 1W St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4401 Tennessee Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3204 Winnebago St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,400 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3954 S Grand Blvd Apt 3N St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $625 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $92,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$92,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $389 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $892 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$504/yr (+$42/mo · 129.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$389
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$900
- − Management
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $774
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$186
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,913
- Household income
- $57,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1495.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.51%
- Current HPI
- 171.5963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.89%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $92,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-06-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-05-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-08-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2024): $389 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…