47 N Pennewell Dr · Edgemoor, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sale is subject the existing Section 8 tenant remaining in place. They have signed another year through the end of March 2025. Existing Sec 8 rent is $1300.00 per month. Perfect opportunity for an investor to add a unit into their portfolio. Popular Edgemoor Gardens community with a tenant in place opportunity. This 3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Townhomes is in good shape and ready for investor to add to their portfolio.
Key facts
- Built 1940
- Listed 18 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.8% in Edgemoor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#17 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Brandywine School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #11 of 26 in DE (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 48 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $130k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.53%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 S Pennewell Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $100 | 96 |
| 47 Cannon Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 4mo | $166,000 | $138 | 94 |
| 12 N Rodney Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $100 | 94 |
| 37 S Cannon Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $100 | 93 |
| 11 S Rodney Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $100 | 91 |
| 3 Paynter Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $100 | 90 |
| 2 Polk Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,225 (+2%) | 2mo | $182,000 | $149 | 89 |
| 128 Paladin Dr #128 | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,214 (+1%) | 2mo | $207,777 | $171 | 67 |
| 57 Paladin Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-8%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $191 | 48 |
| 8506 Park Ct #8506 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,340 (+12%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $164 | 41 |
| 5219 Le Parc Dr #2 | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+10%) | 4mo | $89,001 | $67 | 39 |
| 5213 Le Parc Dr #7 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,057 (-12%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $90 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $26,646
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.85×
- Total profit
- $103,587
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19809
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,863 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,007/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $653
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $726 | -5% $689 | +0% $653 | +5% $616 | +10% $579 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $505 | -5% $579 | +0% $653 | +5% $726 | +10% $800 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $718 | -0.5pp $686 | base $653 | +0.5pp $619 | +1.0pp $585 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1204 Terra Hill Dr Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,610 | $1.61 | 2d | 6 | 0.28mi |
| 800 Brandywine Blvd Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 240 Philadelphia Pike Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1121 Rosedale Ave Unit 2 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2 Colony Blvd Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $2,500 | $2.25 | 0d | 6 | 0.71mi |
| 201 1/2 Philadelphia Pike #326 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,595 | $2.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 201 Philadelphia Pike Unit 216 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 310 Shipley Rd Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,722 | $1.71 | 2d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 547 Eastlawn Ave Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 507 Barrett St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2024-02-13status Pending
-
2024-02-09status Active
-
2024-01-19historical
-
2024-01-09price $129,900
-
2024-01-05$139,900 Active
-
2023-01-22historical
-
2023-01-16$120,000 Active
-
2010-01-21historical
-
2009-06-18$70,000
-
2002-06-19soldstatus $40,000
-
2002-06-14soldstatus $40,000
-
2002-05-17historical
-
2001-11-19$40,000
-
2001-05-19historical
-
2001-05-02$47,900
-
1999-04-20$47,900
-
1999-04-20historical
-
1998-11-12historical
-
1998-11-12$47,900
-
1997-10-15historical
-
1997-07-31$47,900
-
1987-01-01soldstatus $34,000
-
1985-04-01soldstatus $31,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,007 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,007 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,357
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,007
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $6,068
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,456
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brandywine School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001240
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,743
- Composite
- 31.27/100
- National rank
- #6019
- State rank
- #11 of 26 in DE
Livability — Edgemoor
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #6080
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgemoor, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 15,129
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,311
- Household income
- $81,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 468.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.39%
- Current HPI
- 232.6107
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+312.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2024-02-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-09 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-09 Price Changed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-05 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-01-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-01-16 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-01-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-06-18 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-14 Sold (MLS) $40,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-05-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-11-19 Listed $40,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-05-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-05-02 Listed $47,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-04-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-04-20 Listed $47,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-11-12 Listed $47,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-11-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-10-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-07-31 Listed $47,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1985-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,007 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…