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402 S Keystone Ave
D Composite 41.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

402 S Keystone Ave · Hastings, NE 68901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 925 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1954 $151/sqft · 18% above area Est $119k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 2 bed, 1 bath home on a large corner lot, newer kitchen includes appliances, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, cathedral ceilings, 2 car tandem 18 x 40 garage, yard shed and underground sprinklers.

Key facts

  • Updated appliances
  • Double corner lot
  • Perennial flowers

Tags

DOUBLE CORNER LOTWELL ESTABLISHED LANDSCAPINGPERENNIAL FLOWERSUPDATED APPLIANCESLARGE GARDEN STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; R1 zoning
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Storm door(s); Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bathrooms: One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Pantry; Storm windows; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.4% in Hastings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#41 in NE, #2,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Hastings Public Schools (town): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #96 of 111 in NE (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (132 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $133,974 (4.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.20%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,647
List price
$140,000
Delta
18.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
308 S Garfield Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 910 (-2%) 3mo $95,000 $104 72
1115 W E St 0.67mi 2/1.0 840 (-9%) 11mo $91,700 $109 45
410 S Lexington Ave 0.70mi 1/1.0 (-1) 947 (+2%) 19mo $142,000 $150 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-13,958
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-940
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68901

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,340 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,545/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,166
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $140,000 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $145,000 Active 321-char remark
  3. 2022-05-03
    soldstatus $120,000
  4. 2022-04-25
    soldstatus $119,500 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Nice 2 bed, 1 bath home on a large corner lot, newer kitchen includes appliances, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, cathedral ceilings, 2 car tandem 18 x 40 garage, yard shed and underground sprinklers.

  5. 2022-01-24
    listed $119,500 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Nice 2 bed, 1 bath home on a large corner lot, newer kitchen includes appliances, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, cathedral ceilings, 2 car tandem 18 x 40 garage, yard shed and underground sprinklers.

  6. 2012-08-01
    soldstatus $74,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,545 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,422 · $202/mo
Expected delta
+$877/yr (+$73/mo · 56.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,077
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,545
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,286
− Management
−$1,286
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$655
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$157
After-tax cash flow
$1,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hastings Public Schools
NCES district ID
3171580
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,942
Composite
33.81/100
National rank
#5363
State rank
#96 of 111 in NE

Livability — Hastings

Score
79/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#2188

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hastings, NE
City population
26,208
Population (ZIP)
26,208

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,965 people
By 2030
32,079 · +0.4%
By 2040
31,999 · +0.1%
By 2050
31,586 · -1.2%
By 2075
30,856 · -3.5%
By 2100
29,948 · -6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.6) · D 28.5% · R 70.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -41.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.6 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -255.77%
Current HPI
232.0444
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $134,500 GMNMLS
  • 2026-05-30 Pending GMNMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $140,000 GMNMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $145,000 GMNMLS
  • 2022-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-25 Sold (MLS) $119,500 GMNMLS
  • 2022-01-24 Listed $119,500 GMNMLS
  • 2012-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $74,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,545 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…