18026 Cypress Pointe Dr · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready and waiting for its new family! The open floor plan, which includes a formal dining area as well as a breakfast nook, is designed for family gatherings and entertainment! Ready for some football -enjoy the game on the 75 inch flat screen tv that comes with the home! Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($464/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.70%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $261,888
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -10.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18119 Evergreen Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,878 (+4%) | 1mo | $279,900 | $149 | 77 |
| 18080 Lakeshore Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+2%) | 4mo | $285,650 | $155 | 72 |
| 18081 Lakeshore Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+2%) | 5mo | $290,555 | $157 | 70 |
| 18062 Lake Vista Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-12%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $141 | 70 |
| 18123 Lakeshore Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+2%) | 8mo | $286,600 | $155 | 69 |
| 18105 Lakeshore Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+2%) | 8mo | $285,985 | $155 | 69 |
| 11282 River Bend Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-12%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $143 | 68 |
| 11298 Cypress Bayou Dr | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,989 (+10%) | 6mo | $149,000 | $75 | 68 |
| 18017 Green Leaves Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (-10%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $145 | 68 |
| 18099 Lakeshore Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,851 (+2%) | 3mo | $285,010 | $154 | 66 |
| 11174 River Bend Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,999 (+10%) | 2mo | $262,176 | $131 | 60 |
| 10474 New Hope Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,788 (-1%) | 4mo | $299,000 | $167 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-27,377
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $16,066
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 763
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,981 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,354/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $172 | -5% $105 | +0% $39 | +5% $-28 | +10% $-94 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-118 | -5% $-40 | +0% $39 | +5% $117 | +10% $195 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $157 | -0.5pp $98 | base $39 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18052 Green Leaves Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 11415 Oak Alley Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,975 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 11571 Caroline Ct Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,000 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 11604 Caroline Ct Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 10749 Chapelwood Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2306 | $2,250 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10388 Sweet Bay Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 10667 Wren Grv Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2076 | $2,850 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 17986 Restoration Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $2,100 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10536 Sweet Bay Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $2,349 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 18137 Canal Junction Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 18186 Southern Magnolia Cv Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2054 | $2,300 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 11601 Oaklane Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,525 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
This lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready and waiting for its new family! The open floor plan, which includes a formal dining area as well as a breakfast nook, is designed for family gatherings and entertainment! Ready for some football -enjoy the game on the 75 inch flat screen tv that comes with the home! Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-04-30historical 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
This lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready and waiting for its new family! The open floor plan, which includes a formal dining area as well as a breakfast nook, is designed for family gatherings and entertainment! Ready for some football -enjoy the game on the 75 inch flat screen tv that comes with the home! Schedule your private showing today!
-
2026-01-06price $235,000 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
This lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready and waiting for its new family! The open floor plan, which includes a formal dining area as well as a breakfast nook, is designed for family gatherings and entertainment! Ready for some football -enjoy the game on the 75 inch flat screen tv that comes with the home! Schedule your private showing today!
-
2025-09-27price $239,900 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
This lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready and waiting for its new family! The open floor plan, which includes a formal dining area as well as a breakfast nook, is designed for family gatherings and entertainment! Ready for some football -enjoy the game on the 75 inch flat screen tv that comes with the home! Schedule your private showing today!
-
2025-09-04$243,500 Active 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
This lovely 3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready and waiting for its new family! The open floor plan, which includes a formal dining area as well as a breakfast nook, is designed for family gatherings and entertainment! Ready for some football -enjoy the game on the 75 inch flat screen tv that comes with the home! Schedule your private showing today!
-
2022-11-15soldstatus
-
2022-11-09soldstatus Closed 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLERS! Offering help with some buyer's closing costs and a one year home warranty!!! Space and location all in one? Check! Conveniently located close to I-10, airport and shopping; this home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full baths, two dining spaces, garage, fenced backyard and more. Don't miss out! Bring offer!!
-
2022-09-18status Pending 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLERS! Offering help with some buyer's closing costs and a one year home warranty!!! Space and location all in one? Check! Conveniently located close to I-10, airport and shopping; this home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full baths, two dining spaces, garage, fenced backyard and more. Don't miss out! Bring offer!!
-
2022-09-13price $225,000 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLERS! Offering help with some buyer's closing costs and a one year home warranty!!! Space and location all in one? Check! Conveniently located close to I-10, airport and shopping; this home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full baths, two dining spaces, garage, fenced backyard and more. Don't miss out! Bring offer!!
-
2022-08-24$229,000 Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLERS! Offering help with some buyer's closing costs and a one year home warranty!!! Space and location all in one? Check! Conveniently located close to I-10, airport and shopping; this home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full baths, two dining spaces, garage, fenced backyard and more. Don't miss out! Bring offer!!
-
2018-12-03soldstatus
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2018-11-30soldstatus
-
2018-10-10$159,900
-
2013-08-27soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,354 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,354 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$2,354
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,902
- − Management
- −$1,902
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$3,559
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$854
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+47.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $235,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $239,900 MLSU
- 2025-09-04 Listed $243,500 MLSU
- 2022-11-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-11-09 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2022-09-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-09-13 Price Changed $225,000 MLSU
- 2022-08-24 Listed $229,000 MLSU
- 2018-12-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-11-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2018-10-10 Listed $159,900 MLSU
- 2013-08-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,354 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…