601 Cherry Aly · South Heights, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully renovated home in South Heights, ideally located directly across from the community park and just minutes from Route 65 and I-376 for an easy commute. Thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, this move-in ready home features a new roof, windows, mechanicals, quartz countertops, and brand new stainless steel appliances. The main level offers an open concept layout with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, a convenient half bath, first floor laundry, and a versatile first floor bedroom that could also serve as a home office, dining room, or flex space to fit your lifestyle. Upstairs, you'll find two spacious bedrooms and a stylish full bathroom featuring modern
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Renovated home
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Refrigerator; Some gas appliances
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement with interior entry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-711/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (8.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (30.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $87k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.2% in South Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#368 in PA, #3,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Ambridge Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #408 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Highland El Sch (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,295 of 1,518 statewide, top 86%, 316 students, 99% FRL); Ambridge Area Ms (math 13% / reading 45%, grade F, #391 of 512 statewide, top 77%, 467 students, 99% FRL); Ambridge Area Hs (math 42% / reading 24%, grade F, #325 of 437 statewide, top 75%, 733 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 43% district-wide (54 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $125k implies a 346% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.03%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $91,728
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 Curtis St | 0.09mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 953 (+8%) | 23mo | $98,900 | $104 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $42,800
- Equity at exit
- $89,795
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.63×
- Total profit
- $126,879
- Equity at exit
- $173,525
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15081
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $870 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $465/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $-59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $12 | -5% $-24 | +0% $-59 | +5% $-95 | +10% $-130 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-128 | -5% $-94 | +0% $-59 | +5% $-25 | +10% $9 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4 | -0.5pp $-27 | base $-59 | +0.5pp $-92 | +1.0pp $-125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355 Maplewood Ave Ambridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $935 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 121 Locust St Ambridge, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 3d | 3 | 0.78mi |
| 508 4th St Unit 101 Ambridge, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 508 4th St Unit 501 Ambridge, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $695 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 617 Glenwood Ave Ambridge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $845 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 281-283 Beaver St Unit 283_3 Leetsdale, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $700 | $0.88 | 19d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$125,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $465 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,220 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$755/yr (+$63/mo · 162.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,437
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$465
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$835
- − Management
- −$835
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$2,961
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$711
- After-tax cash flow
- $0/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ambridge Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202440
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,514
- Composite
- 30.62/100
- National rank
- #6190
- State rank
- #408 of 539 in PA
Livability — South Heights
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #368
- US rank
- #3206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Heights, PA
- City population
- 343
- Population (ZIP)
- 343
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 11% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 9% Lithuanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.39%
- Current HPI
- 403.599
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+774.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $125,000 West Penn MLS
- 1989-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1978-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1972-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,300 Public Records
Property tax history
-10.0%/yrLatest (2026): $465 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…