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601 Cherry Aly
D- Composite 36.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$125,000

601 Cherry Aly · South Heights, PA 15081
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 882 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1890 2,613 sqft lot Est $92k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully renovated home in South Heights, ideally located directly across from the community park and just minutes from Route 65 and I-376 for an easy commute. Thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, this move-in ready home features a new roof, windows, mechanicals, quartz countertops, and brand new stainless steel appliances. The main level offers an open concept layout with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, a convenient half bath, first floor laundry, and a versatile first floor bedroom that could also serve as a home office, dining room, or flex space to fit your lifestyle. Upstairs, you'll find two spacious bedrooms and a stylish full bathroom featuring modern

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Renovated home
  • New roof

Tags

RENOVATED HOMENEW ROOFNEW WINDOWSNEW MECHANICALSQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Refrigerator; Some gas appliances
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement with interior entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-711/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (8.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (30.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.2% in South Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#368 in PA, #3,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Ambridge Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #408 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Highland El Sch (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,295 of 1,518 statewide, top 86%, 316 students, 99% FRL); Ambridge Area Ms (math 13% / reading 45%, grade F, #391 of 512 statewide, top 77%, 467 students, 99% FRL); Ambridge Area Hs (math 42% / reading 24%, grade F, #325 of 437 statewide, top 75%, 733 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 43% district-wide (54 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
  • Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $125k implies a 346% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,971 (30.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.03%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,728
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
404 Curtis St 0.09mi 1/2.0 (-1) 953 (+8%) 23mo $98,900 $104 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$42,800
Equity at exit
$89,795
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
4.63×
Total profit
$126,879
Equity at exit
$173,525

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15081

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$870 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $465/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$-59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $945
Max offer price $114,533
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $12 -5% $-24 +0% $-59 +5% $-95 +10% $-130
Rent -10% $-128 -5% $-94 +0% $-59 +5% $-25 +10% $9
Rate -1.0pp $4 -0.5pp $-27 base $-59 +0.5pp $-92 +1.0pp $-125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
355 Maplewood Ave Ambridge, PA 3.0 1.0 800 $935 $1.17 45d 1 0.72mi
121 Locust St Ambridge, PA 2.0–3.0 1.0 875 $1,100 $1.26 3d 3 0.78mi
508 4th St Unit 101 Ambridge, PA 1.0 1.0 600 $750 $1.25 45d 1 0.84mi
508 4th St Unit 501 Ambridge, PA 1.0 1.0 600 $695 $1.16 45d 1 0.84mi
617 Glenwood Ave Ambridge, PA 2.0 1.0 550 $845 $1.54 45d 1 0.98mi
281-283 Beaver St Unit 283_3 Leetsdale, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $700 $0.88 19d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-15
    listed $125,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$465 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,220 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$755/yr (+$63/mo · 162.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,437
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$465
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$835
− Management
−$835
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,961
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$711
After-tax cash flow
$0/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ambridge Area SD
NCES district ID
4202440
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,514
Composite
30.62/100
National rank
#6190
State rank
#408 of 539 in PA

Livability — South Heights

Score
77/100
State rank
#368
US rank
#3206

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Heights, PA
City population
343
Population (ZIP)
343

Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,976 people
By 2030
161,449 · -2.1%
By 2040
151,752 · -8.0%
By 2050
141,155 · -14.4%
By 2075
118,142 · -28.4%
By 2100
91,740 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 11% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 9% Lithuanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Beaver

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.39%
Current HPI
403.599
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+774.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $125,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1989-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 1978-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1972-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,300 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $465 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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