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18869 Indian St
B Composite 73.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

18869 Indian St · Redford, MI 48240
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 867 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1924 5,227 sqft lot Est $157k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 18869 Indian! This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and a versatile bonus room perfect for a home office or additional living space. The property offers a fenced-in backyard, ideal for privacy, pets, or entertaining. Inside, you'll find an updated kitchen, new vinyl flooring throughout, and brand new carpet in the bedrooms, giving the home a fresh, move-in-ready feel. Perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a great starter home - don't miss this opportunity!

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 80 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property in SMITH LINCOLN PARK SUB; Directions: In off 7 Mile east of Inkster; cross street Inkster & 7 Mile

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced backyard; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 127 (0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance list provided
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $576 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Redford Union Schools District No. 1 (suburban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #489 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $95k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $105k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.88%
Cash-on-cash
23.52%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,927
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19134 Angling St 0.47mi 3/1.0 873 (+1%) 1mo $165,000 $189 76
18743 Macarthur 0.39mi 3/1.0 931 (+7%) 3mo $190,000 $204 67
18705 Delaware Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 773 (-11%) 0mo $140,000 $181 65
19498 Poinciana 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-8%) 3mo $147,500 $184 60
18292 Deering St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+4%) 4mo $163,000 $181 60
20010 Rensellor St 0.67mi 3/1.0 900 (+4%) 4mo $177,400 $197 59
19369 Wakenden 0.62mi 3/1.0 936 (+8%) 3mo $120,000 $128 55
20044 Seminole 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+4%) 1mo $85,450 $95 54
18400 Delaware Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 981 (+13%) 6mo $175,000 $178 53
19203 Kinloch 0.52mi 3/1.0 962 (+11%) 6mo $153,500 $160 52
19357 Centralia 0.73mi 3/1.0 788 (-9%) 2mo $70,000 $89 49
19968 Poinciana 0.63mi 3/1.0 980 (+13%) 2mo $137,000 $140 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$19,681
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$64,359
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48240

Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,577 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $897/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$576

Break-even live

Break-even rent $847
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $636 -5% $606 +0% $576 +5% $547 +10% $517
Rent -10% $452 -5% $514 +0% $576 +5% $639 +10% $701
Rate -1.0pp $629 -0.5pp $603 base $576 +0.5pp $549 +1.0pp $521

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19354 Seminole Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 25d 1 0.28mi
26539 Clarita Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 931 $1,875 $2.01 25d 1 0.29mi
18405 Gillman St Livonia, MI 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,950 $1.92 5d 1 0.67mi
20091 Inkster Rd Livonia, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,400 $1.85 5d 1 0.80mi
20524 Indian Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 988 $1,600 $1.62 25d 1 0.96mi
20516 Denby Redford, MI 4.0 1.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 18d 1 0.96mi
25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 25d 1 1.16mi
29200 Dardanella St Livonia, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,230 $1.49 0d 5 1.17mi
20745 Saint Francis Unit 208 Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 15d 1 1.22mi
20745 Saint Francis Unit 101 Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,495 $1.66 44d 1 1.22mi
18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,050 $1.14 13d 1 1.36mi
21335 Negaunee Unit 1542196P Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $2,415 $2.84 0d 1 1.46mi
28530 Grayling Ave Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $1,295 $2.16 25d 1 1.46mi
21337 Inkster Rd Unit (NO) Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 811 $1,295 $1.60 44d 1 1.48mi
28532 Grayling Ave Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,395 $1.99 25d 1 1.49mi
27045 Shiawassee Rd Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 705 $1,450 $2.06 18d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $105,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-03-31
    price $119,900 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Welcome to 18869 Indian! This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and a versatile bonus room perfect for a home office or additional living space. The property offers a fenced-in backyard, ideal for privacy, pets, or entertaining. Inside, you'll find an updated kitchen, new vinyl flooring throughout, and brand new carpet in the bedrooms, giving the home a fresh, move-in-ready feel. Perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a great starter home - don't miss this opportunity!

  17. 2026-03-30
    price $119,900
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Welcome to 18869 Indian! This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and a versatile bonus room perfect for a home office or additional living space. The property offers a fenced-in backyard, ideal for privacy, pets, or entertaining. Inside, you'll find an updated kitchen, new vinyl flooring throughout, and brand new carpet in the bedrooms, giving the home a fresh, move-in-ready feel. Perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a great starter home - don't miss this opportunity!

  18. 2026-03-30
    listed $199,900 Active 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Welcome to 18869 Indian! This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and a versatile bonus room perfect for a home office or additional living space. The property offers a fenced-in backyard, ideal for privacy, pets, or entertaining. Inside, you'll find an updated kitchen, new vinyl flooring throughout, and brand new carpet in the bedrooms, giving the home a fresh, move-in-ready feel. Perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a great starter home - don't miss this opportunity!

  19. 2026-03-30
    listed $199,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Welcome to 18869 Indian! This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and a versatile bonus room perfect for a home office or additional living space. The property offers a fenced-in backyard, ideal for privacy, pets, or entertaining. Inside, you'll find an updated kitchen, new vinyl flooring throughout, and brand new carpet in the bedrooms, giving the home a fresh, move-in-ready feel. Perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a great starter home - don't miss this opportunity!

  20. 2010-06-01
    soldstatus $21,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    NICE 2 BR 1 BA RANCH! UPDATED KITCHEN, WDWS & MORE! PURCHASE THIS PROP FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN! THIS PROP IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATION MRTG FINANCING. EMAIL OFFERS. PROOF OF FUNDS/APPROVAL LETTER MUST ACCOMPANY ALL OFFERS. PROP SOLD "AS-IS". EMD TO BE HELD WITH THE L/S OFFICE. PROP IS CORPORATE OWNED.

  21. 2010-04-05
    listed $19,900 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    NICE 2 BR 1 BA RANCH! UPDATED KITCHEN, WDWS & MORE! PURCHASE THIS PROP FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN! THIS PROP IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATION MRTG FINANCING. EMAIL OFFERS. PROOF OF FUNDS/APPROVAL LETTER MUST ACCOMPANY ALL OFFERS. PROP SOLD "AS-IS". EMD TO BE HELD WITH THE L/S OFFICE. PROP IS CORPORATE OWNED.

  22. 2009-11-02
    historical
  23. 2008-10-20
    historical
  24. 2007-05-21
    listed $49,999
  25. 2006-12-31
    historical
  26. 2006-12-31
    historical
  27. 2006-07-05
    listed $84,000
  28. 2006-07-05
    listed $84,000
  29. 2006-07-05
    historical
  30. 2005-07-26
    listed $79,900
  31. 2005-07-26
    listed $79,900
  32. 2005-07-15
    historical
  33. 2005-07-15
    historical
  34. 2005-06-07
    listed $87,750
  35. 2005-06-07
    listed $87,750
  36. 2005-06-07
    historical
  37. 2005-01-15
    listed $87,750
  38. 2003-04-01
    soldstatus $66,000
  39. 2001-10-19
    soldstatus $46,900
  40. 1994-09-06
    soldstatus $23,200
  41. 1994-09-06
    soldstatus $13,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$897 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,257 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$360/yr (+$30/mo · 40.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,919
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$897
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,513
− Management
−$1,513
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$5,533
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,328
After-tax cash flow
$5,588/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Redford Union Schools District No. 1
NCES district ID
2629460
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,778
Composite
14.1/100
National rank
#9460
State rank
#489 of 540 in MI

Livability — Redford

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
36,976
Population (ZIP)
17,097

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 40% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.98%
Current HPI
236.2958
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+416.8% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-06-01 Sold (MLS) $21,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-04-05 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-11-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-10-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-05-21 Listed $49,999 REALCOMP
  • 2006-12-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-07-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-07-05 Listed $84,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-07-05 Listed $84,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-07-26 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-07-26 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-07-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-07-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-06-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-06-07 Listed $87,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-06-07 Listed $87,750 REALCOMP
  • 2005-01-15 Listed $87,750 REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 2001-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $46,900 Public Records
  • 1994-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $13,750 Public Records
  • 1994-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $23,200 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $897 · -49.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…