3715 Capri Coast Dr · Plant City, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction. North Park Isle is located in Plant City, right off Sam Allen Rd and North Park Rd, less than a mile from I-4. Conveniently located between Lakeland, Orlando, and Tampa, you’ll find endless entertainment options within both of the major surrounding cities, while enjoying a quiet, rural feel. North Park Isle features our D. R. Horton Express series homes that include extended tile in the main living and dining area, a stainless-steel appliance package, granite countertops in the kitchen, all concrete block construction on the 1st and 2nd stories, and Home is Connected; D. R. Horton’s Smart Home system. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. D. R. Horton Reserves all Rights.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Tennis courts
- Basketball court
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $375k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-346 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $314k (16.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (23.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $287k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Knights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 45%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 623 students, 70% FRL); Marshall Middle Magnet School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,089 students, 69% FRL); Plant City High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 2,474 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 30d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,866/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.96%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $414,605
- List price
- $375,000
- Delta
- -9.55%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3818 N Maryland Ave | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,486 (-7%) | 0mo | $445,000 | $179 | 65 |
| 1807 Light Garden Ave Ave | 0.43mi | 5/3.0 | 2,605 (-3%) | 21mo | $405,990 | $156 | 58 |
| 1708 Tropical Oasis | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,584 (-3%) | 10mo | $352,945 | $137 | 56 |
| 3649 Forest Path Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,584 (-3%) | 15mo | $374,900 | $145 | 48 |
| 3727 Capital Reserve Dr | 0.42mi | 5/2.5 | 2,896 (+8%) | 21mo | $405,000 | $140 | 48 |
| 3651 Forest Path Dr | 0.58mi | 5/2.5 | 2,896 (+8%) | 15mo | $404,900 | $140 | 44 |
| 3524 Radiant Mountain Dr | 0.65mi | 5/2.5 | 2,389 (-11%) | 23mo | $360,900 | $151 | 30 |
| 3521 Great Park Ct | 0.74mi | 5/2.5 | 2,389 (-11%) | 21mo | $364,900 | $153 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-82,766
- Equity at exit
- $55,914
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-100,248
- Equity at exit
- $32,423
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 46 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 69.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $382,490 ($149/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 71 d
- This list price
- 30% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33565
- Home prices YoY
- -24.7%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,866 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$476 /mo · $5,707/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$12
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$602
- Net cashflow
- $-346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-134 | -5% $-240 | +0% $-346 | +5% $-452 | +10% $-559 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-573 | -5% $-459 | +0% $-346 | +5% $-233 | +10% $-120 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-157 | -0.5pp $-251 | base $-346 | +0.5pp $-443 | +1.0pp $-542 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3747 Capri Coast Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2035 | $2,695 | $1.32 | 48d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1458 Tahitian Sunrise Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,345 | $1.21 | 34d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3507 N Maryland Ave Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2557 | $2,495 | $0.98 | 32d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3615 Natural Trace St Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,350 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3911 N Maryland Ave Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2223 | $2,600 | $1.17 | 73d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3872 Capri Coast Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2162 | $2,395 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3872 Capri Coast Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2162 | $2,395 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3916 N Maryland Ave Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2223 | $2,610 | $1.17 | 36d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3916 N Maryland Ave Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2223 | $2,610 | $1.17 | 29d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3852 Northern Key Dr Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,599 | $1.34 | 28d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2318 Allium Roseum Ln Plant City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 8d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2505 Victorious Falls Ave Plant City, FL | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2614 | $2,950 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- CDD presentHomestead exemption indicated
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment: $2,803Annual taxes reported for 2025
- HOA & community
- Has HOA with mandatory monthly fee of $12Association approval requiredPets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable available
- Home design
- Single family residenceTwo storiesSouth-facingResidential property in planned development (PD)
- Construction
- Block and frame constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt by DR HORTON (Hayden model)
- Exterior features
- Enclosed patioPatioRear porchScreened porchExterior lightingSidewalkVinyl fencingAsphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 5 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Open living room/dining room comboProgrammable thermostat
- Laundry & utility
- Dedicated laundry roomIrrigation equipment
Listing history 47 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $375,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $375,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $375,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $375,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $375,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $375,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $375,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $375,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $375,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $375,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $375,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $375,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $375,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $375,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $375,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $375,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $375,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $375,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $375,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $375,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $375,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $375,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $375,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $375,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $375,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $375,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $375,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $375,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $375,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $375,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $375,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $375,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $375,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $375,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $375,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $375,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $375,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $375,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $375,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $375,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $375,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $375,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $375,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $375,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $375,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$375,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,707 · $476/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,707 · $476/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$5,707
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,751
- − Management
- −$2,751
- − HOA
- −$144
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable loss
- −$10,752
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,581
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained single-family home in Plant City, FL, offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's ready for immediate occupancy and can be enhanced with a fresh coat of paint to boost its curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can increase property value. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs for tenants. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Plant City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #3587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plant City, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
- City population
- 68,525
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,108
- Household income
- $73,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.17%
- Current HPI
- 347.2475
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $375,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-04 Price Changed $407,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-01 Listed $412,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-24 Sold (MLS) $368,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-07 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-03 Price Changed $368,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-20 Price Changed $373,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-17 Listed $388,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+29.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,707 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…