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2017 Tennessee St
C+ Composite 61.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,000

2017 Tennessee St · Poplar Bluff, MO 63901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Other public records · 84 Days on market
Built 2006 6,534 sqft lot $94/sqft · 11% above area Est $65k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute move-in ready 2 bed, 1 bath home built in 2006 with vinyl plank floors, vinyl windows and a storage shed. Utilities are all electric. Private driveway. Eugene Field School District. 2017 Tennessee Street, Poplar Bluff. Priced to sell $72,000, call for your tour today! Occupied, do not disturb. Showings made by appointment only.

Key facts

  • Vinyl windows
  • Private driveway
  • Storage shed

Tags

VINYL PLANK FLOORSVINYL WINDOWSSTORAGE SHEDPRIVATE DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($922 rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.5% in Poplar Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Poplar Bluff R-I (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #127 of 324 in MO (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,680 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.92%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,685
List price
$72,000
Delta
11.31%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-5,296
Equity at exit
$10,735
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$3,855
Equity at exit
$6,225

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63901

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
277
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$922 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $843/yr
Insurance
$30
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$99

Break-even live

Break-even rent $797
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $139 -5% $119 +0% $99 +5% $78 +10% $58
Rent -10% $26 -5% $62 +0% $99 +5% $135 +10% $171
Rate -1.0pp $135 -0.5pp $117 base $99 +0.5pp $80 +1.0pp $61

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $72,000 Pending 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-04-14
    price $72,000 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Cute move-in ready 2 bed, 1 bath home built in 2006 with vinyl plank floors, vinyl windows and a storage shed. Utilities are all electric. Private driveway. Eugene Field School District. 2017 Tennessee Street, Poplar Bluff. Priced to sell $72,000, call for your tour today! Occupied, do not disturb. Showings made by appointment only.

  5. 2026-03-09
    listed $79,900 Active 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    Cute move-in ready 2 bed, 1 bath home built in 2006 with vinyl plank floors, vinyl windows and a storage shed. Utilities are all electric. Private driveway. Eugene Field School District. 2017 Tennessee Street, Poplar Bluff. Priced to sell $72,000, call for your tour today! Occupied, do not disturb. Showings made by appointment only.

  6. 2024-01-09
    soldstatus
  7. 2023-07-03
    soldstatus
  8. 2021-09-13
    status Pending 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  9. 2021-09-13
    soldstatus Closed 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  10. 2021-08-05
    historical Active Under Contract 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  11. 2021-07-26
    status Active 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  12. 2021-07-26
    price $48,900 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  13. 2021-06-22
    price $49,900 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  14. 2021-06-09
    historical Active Under Contract 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  15. 2021-05-13
    price $51,500 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  16. 2021-04-01
    price $59,900 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

  17. 2021-03-17
    listed $62,500 Active 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Cute updated 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in city limits, sitting on nice deep lot. All new waterproof vinyl laminate throughout. Home features nice covered porch and open deck on rear for those nice evenings.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$843 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$843 · $70/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AH · 18% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,064
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$843
− Insurance
−$2,184
− Repairs & maintenance
−$885
− Management
−$885
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$33
After-tax cash flow
$1,149/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poplar Bluff R-I
NCES district ID
2925450
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,761
Composite
35.17/100
National rank
#5001
State rank
#127 of 324 in MO

Livability — Poplar Bluff

Score
70/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#8135

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poplar Bluff, MO
City population
34,920
Population (ZIP)
34,920

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,648 people
By 2030
42,329 · -0.7%
By 2040
41,498 · -2.7%
By 2050
40,308 · -5.5%
By 2075
36,168 · -15.2%
By 2100
28,893 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.7% · R 81.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -63.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.8 2020: R+62.3 2016: R+61.6 2012: R+46.7 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.64%
Current HPI
175.3008
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $72,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-07-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-09-13 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-13 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-05 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-26 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-26 Price Changed $48,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-22 Price Changed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-09 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-13 Price Changed $51,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-01 Price Changed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-17 Listed $62,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $843 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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