709 S Ash Ave · Marshfield, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Whether you're looking to flip or hold as a long-term rental, this property has a lot to offer. Features: 3 bedrooms (1 on the main floor); Main level full bathroom; Formal dining room; Spacious living room; Extra room with a wall of cabinets (ideal office for valuables or a pantry); Almost 1/3 of an acre with a large backyard; Located in a quiet neighborhood.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Large backyard
- Quiet neighborhood
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Single-family 1.5-story home
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Exterior: Other; Lot approximately 0.29 acres; Zoned residential; Below-grade unfinished space (basement): full, unfinished
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (13 x 7); Refrigerator; Range/Oven; Pantry (10 x 15)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (10 x 13); Bedroom 2 on upper level (12 x 10); Bedroom 3 on upper level (12 x 15)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl and wood floors; Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 2.9% in Marshfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#62 in WI, #1,688 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Marshfield Unified School District (town): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #79 of 342 in WI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marshfield High (math 38% / reading 52%, grade D-, #58 of 483 statewide, top 12%, 1,242 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wood County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.81%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,060
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1113 E 4th St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,274 (+4%) | 2mo | $150,500 | $118 | 71 |
| 1421 S Erickson Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,175 (-4%) | 7mo | $164,900 | $140 | 68 |
| 804 E 5th St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (+6%) | 10mo | $226,900 | $174 | 66 |
| 107 S Vine Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,253 (+2%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $76 | 66 |
| 1211 E 14th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+5%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $179 | 63 |
| 504 S Peach Ave | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+12%) | 2mo | $189,500 | $138 | 61 |
| 312 S Palmetto Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (+11%) | 4mo | $169,900 | $125 | 60 |
| 1205 S Maple Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-7%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $193 | 58 |
| 1004 S Cherry Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-14%) | 4mo | $163,900 | $155 | 56 |
| 509 S Vine Ave | 0.16mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,410 (+15%) | 10mo | $151,500 | $107 | 55 |
| 204 N Hinman Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-4%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 309 E 14th St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,379 (+12%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $120 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $17,652
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $52,931
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54449
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,326 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,381/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $454
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $493 | -5% $473 | +0% $454 | +5% $434 | +10% $414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $349 | -5% $401 | +0% $454 | +5% $506 | +10% $558 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $489 | -0.5pp $471 | base $454 | +0.5pp $435 | +1.0pp $417 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 363-char remark
-
2026-06-18$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,381 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,381 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,914
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,381
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,273
- − Management
- −$1,273
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,689
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,125
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshfield Unified School District
- NCES district ID
- 5508820
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,784
- Composite
- 40.35/100
- National rank
- #3743
- State rank
- #79 of 342 in WI
Livability — Marshfield
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #1688
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marshfield, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,368
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,530 people
- By 2030
- 66,919 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 60,735 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 54,077 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 41,820 · -39.9%
- By 2100
- 31,863 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 39.4% · R 59.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.1pp toward R · 2008: 13.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.73%
- Current HPI
- 171.5799
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-0.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $69,900 CWMLS
- 2022-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,381 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…