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156 Rosa Lee Ln
B Composite 71.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

156 Rosa Lee Ln · New Llano, LA 71446
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured · 115 Days on market
Built 1985 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

TIRED OF PAYING RENT? Now's the time to get this SUPER AFFORDABLE home tucked back on Rosa Lea Lane in the Pickering area! This home has TWO spacious bedrooms and TWO baths! It would make it a GREAT investment property having had stayed occupied for the last several years with minimal vacancy OR it would make a GREAT home!

Key facts

  • Enclosed back porch
  • Custom cabinets
  • Claw foot bathtub

Tags

ORIGINAL WOOD FLOORINGTWO LIVING AREASCLAW FOOT BATHTUBGRANITE COUNTERTOPSCUSTOM CABINETSENCLOSED BACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#190 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $54,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
18.45%
Cash-on-cash
43.42%
DSCR
2.93
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$35,394
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
53.4%
Equity multiple
7.54×
Total profit
$109,828
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71446

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Rents YoY
9.6%
Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,216 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$13 /mo · $155/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $446
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $642 -5% $625 +0% $608 +5% $591 +10% $574
Rent -10% $512 -5% $560 +0% $608 +5% $656 +10% $704
Rate -1.0pp $638 -0.5pp $623 base $608 +0.5pp $592 +1.0pp $576

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $60,000 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 98 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 97 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 96 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
  17. 2025-07-25
    price $60,000 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    TIRED OF PAYING RENT? Now's the time to get this SUPER AFFORDABLE home tucked back on Rosa Lea Lane in the Pickering area! This home has TWO spacious bedrooms and TWO baths! It would make it a GREAT investment property having had stayed occupied for the last several years with minimal vacancy OR it would make a GREAT home!

  18. 2025-04-09
    historical $600
  19. 2025-03-03
    listed $60,000 Active 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    TIRED OF PAYING RENT? Now's the time to get this SUPER AFFORDABLE home tucked back on Rosa Lea Lane in the Pickering area! This home has TWO spacious bedrooms and TWO baths! It would make it a GREAT investment property OR it would make an AWESOME home!

  20. 2024-10-16
    listed $600
  21. 2024-10-08
    price $64,900 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    TIRED OF PAYING RENT? Now's the time to get this SUPER AFFORDABLE home tucked back on Rosa Lea Lane in the Pickering area! This home has TWO spacious bedrooms and TWO baths! It would make it a GREAT investment property having had stayed occupied for the last several years with minimal vacancy OR it would make a GREAT home!

  22. 2024-07-17
    historical
  23. 2024-07-16
    listed $69,900 Active 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    TIRED OF PAYING RENT? Now's the time to get this SUPER AFFORDABLE home tucked back on Rosa Lea Lane in the Pickering area! This home has TWO spacious bedrooms and TWO baths! It would make it a GREAT investment property having had stayed occupied for the last several years with minimal vacancy OR it would make a GREAT home!

  24. 2024-07-15
    listed $60,000 Active
  25. 2024-05-07
    listed
  26. 2023-05-22
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$155 · $13/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$330 · $28/mo
Expected delta
+$175/yr (+$15/mo · 113.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,588
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$155
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,167
− Management
−$1,167
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$6,693
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,606
After-tax cash flow
$5,688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vernon Parish
NCES district ID
2201830
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$44,822
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4674
State rank
#18 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Llano

Score
63/100
State rank
#190
US rank
#15143

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Vernon Parish · 21,275 people
Metro
Fort Polk South, LA
Population (ZIP)
21,275
Household income
$55,925
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
659.0

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,401 people
By 2030
43,015 · -5.3%
By 2040
38,171 · -15.9%
By 2050
34,087 · -24.9%
By 2075
28,267 · -37.7%
By 2100
25,486 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.06%
Current HPI
128.8849
Rent YoY
▲ 9.60%
Metro
Fort Polk South, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $60,000 GFPAR
  • 2025-04-09 Rental Removed $600 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-03-03 Listed $60,000 SWLAR
  • 2024-10-16 Listed for Rent $600 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-10-08 Price Changed $64,900 GFPAR
  • 2024-07-17 Rental Removed BUILDIUM
  • 2024-07-16 Listed $69,900 GFPAR
  • 2024-07-15 Listed $60,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-05-07 Listed for Rent BUILDIUM
  • 2023-05-22 Rental Removed BUILDIUM

Property tax history

+17.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $155 · -5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…