3514 Michigan Blvd · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3BR 2BA Home – Motivated Sellers, All Offers Welcome! Don't miss this incredible opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is being sold as-is by highly motivated sellers — all offers are welcome and will be considered. It needs some TLC, but with a little work, this fixer-upper has the potential to become a fantastic home or a solid investment. Whether you're a first-time buyer, an investor, or a renovator looking for your next project, this one is priced to sell and won't last long. Bring your best offer today!
Key facts
- 7,667 sq ft lot
- Built 1988
- Listed 63 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (0.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $71k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.08%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,594
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 8.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3633 W College St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-4%) | 15mo | $52,000 | $33 | 60 |
| 3819 Eileen Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,693 (+2%) | 17mo | $89,999 | $53 | 59 |
| 3901 Elmer Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,667 (+0%) | 14mo | $189,900 | $114 | 56 |
| 2941 Poland St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,650 (-1%) | 10mo | $39,900 | $24 | 56 |
| 3611 Bellaire Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,509 (-9%) | 16mo | $68,900 | $46 | 52 |
| 3318 Darien St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,800 (+8%) | 21mo | $41,000 | $23 | 50 |
| 1808 Teresa Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,547 (-7%) | 3mo | $119,000 | $77 | 48 |
| 3636 Milton St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (+7%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $70 | 46 |
| 3124 Stonewall St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,479 (-11%) | 7mo | $34,999 | $24 | 41 |
| 2919 Lillian St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,494 (-10%) | 15mo | $14,900 | $10 | 38 |
| 1507 Glen Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (-15%) | 23mo | $140,000 | $99 | 35 |
| 2828 Darien St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,435 (-14%) | 5mo | $18,000 | $13 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $1,828
- Equity at exit
- $19,781
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $19,232
- Equity at exit
- $20,151
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71109
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $848 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $583/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $140
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3612 Michigan Blvd Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $615 | $0.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3420 Darien St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $665 | $0.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3323 Darien St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $785 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3022 Lillian St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $695 | $0.62 | 20d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2711 Thayer St Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1436 | $1,552 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3907 Milton St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4223 Lakeshore Dr Shreveport, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2401 Darien St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,500 | $0.75 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2042 Laurel St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $800 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-13$85,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
3BR 2BA Home – Motivated Sellers, All Offers Welcome! Don't miss this incredible opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is being sold as-is by highly motivated sellers — all offers are welcome and will be considered. It needs some TLC, but with a little work, this fixer-upper has the potential to become a fantastic home or a solid investment. Whether you're a first-time buyer, an investor, or a renovator looking for your next project, this one is priced to sell and won't last long. Bring your best offer today!
-
2020-04-28soldstatus $71,000
-
2003-10-21soldstatus
-
2003-01-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $583 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $583 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$583
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$814
- − Management
- −$814
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $309
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$74
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,412
- Household income
- $32,939
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1265.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% White 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Current HPI
- 54.4158
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+19.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $85,000 NTREIS
- 2020-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-01-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $583 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…