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10066 Sharpton Dr
C- Composite 51.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,995

10066 Sharpton Dr · Houston, TX 77038
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Townhouse public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1983 3,502 sqft lot Est $137k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fully refreshed and move-in ready! This charming 2-bed, 1-bath Ridgepoint home has been thoughtfully updated with fresh paint throughout, gorgeous new marble countertops in the kitchen, new sinks in both kitchen and bathroom, new ceiling fans, and a smart thermostat for modern energy efficiency. Outside, you'll find newly refreshed landscaping and a repaired privacy fence. The 900 sq ft single-story floor plan features an open living area, functional kitchen with included appliances, and comfortable bedrooms. Central electric heat and air. Slab foundation. Situated minutes from Beltway 8, I-45, FM-249, IAH Airport, Greenspoint, and Downtown Houston. Zoned to Aldine ISD. Active HOA managed b

Key facts

  • New ceiling fans
  • New sinks
  • Smart thermostat

Tags

NEW MARBLE COUNTERTOPSNEW SINKSNEW CEILING FANSSMART THERMOSTATNEWLY REFRESHED LANDSCAPINGREPAIRED PRIVACY FENCE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association managed by C.I.A. Services

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story (entry level: first floor)
  • Construction: Built in 1983; Brick and cement siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Asphalt road access; Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Primary bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Programmable thermostat
  • Interior features: Double vanity; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Pantry; Tub with shower; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Gray El (math 17% / reading 18%, grade F, #3,805 of 4,322 statewide, top 89%, 491 students, 96% FRL); Stovall Middle (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,341 of 1,662 statewide, top 82%, 961 students, 95% FRL); Aldine H S (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 2,663 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 79% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $150k implies a 305% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,745 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.57%
Cash-on-cash
8.15%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$136,800
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10038 Woodico Ct 0.11mi 2/1.0 855 (-5%) 2mo $129,900 $152 85

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-6,088
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$18,317
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $41,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77038

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,737 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$238 /mo · $2,858/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,376
Max offer price $149,995
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $370 -5% $328 +0% $285 +5% $243 +10% $200
Rent -10% $148 -5% $217 +0% $285 +5% $354 +10% $422
Rate -1.0pp $361 -0.5pp $323 base $285 +0.5pp $246 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,499
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1330 Blue Bell Rd Houston, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1418 $1,200 $0.85 1d 7 0.83mi
9750 Deer Trail Dr Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 26d 1 1.03mi
9750 Deer Trail Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $2,200 $2.10 45d 1 1.03mi
10445 Greens Crossing Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 862 $1,324 $1.54 1d 44 1.16mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,995 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,995 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,995 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,995 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,995 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,995 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,995 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,995 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,995 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,995 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,995 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,995 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,995 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,995 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,995 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-23
    listed $149,995 Active
  17. 2025-04-27
    historical $850
  18. 2025-03-06
    listed $850
  19. 2024-11-19
    soldstatus
  20. 2024-11-09
    historical
  21. 2024-10-27
    listed $139,999 Active
  22. 2024-10-22
    historical
  23. 2024-10-11
    price $139,990
  24. 2024-08-01
    listed $155,000 Active
  25. 2024-08-01
    historical
  26. 2024-07-25
    listed $155,000 Active
  27. 2023-03-24
    soldstatus
  28. 2023-03-24
    soldstatus
  29. 2020-10-08
    soldstatus
  30. 2020-02-04
    soldstatus
  31. 2013-02-08
    soldstatus $37,000
  32. 2012-10-19
    soldstatus $130,530
  33. 1988-06-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,858 · $238/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,858 · $238/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,847
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,858
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,668
− Management
−$1,668
− Depreciation
−$4,363
Taxable income
$1,138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$273
After-tax cash flow
$3,149/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aldine ISD
NCES district ID
4807710
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,081
Composite
15.42/100
National rank
#9317
State rank
#790 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
32,637
Household income
$57,232
Rent vs Own
42.4% rent · 57.6% own
Severe rent burden
1038.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 23% Black 21% Asian 4% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 52% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
32% English-only · Spanish 64% Vietnamese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.18%
Current HPI
277.0068
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14.9% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $149,995 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-27 Rental Removed $850 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-03-06 Listed for Rent $850 SHOWMOJO
  • 2024-11-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-11-09 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-10-27 Listed $139,999 HARMLS
  • 2024-10-22 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-10-11 Price Changed $139,990 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-08-01 Listed $155,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-07-25 Listed $155,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-10-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-02-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 2012-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $130,530 Public Records
  • 1988-06-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,858 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…