CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4897 Alcorn Rd
D Composite 41.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$135,000

4897 Alcorn Rd · Alcorn State University, MS 39096
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,185 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 446 Days on market
Built 1979 0.75 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

Key facts

  • Formal dining
  • 3/4 acre lot
  • Large fixer upper

Tags

LARGE FIXER UPPERFORMAL DININGFORMAL LIVING ROOMHUGE PRIMARY BEDROOMDEN3/4 ACRE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($11/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (13.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#224 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, housing F.
  • Jefferson County School District (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #119 of 130 in MS (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 98% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Jefferson Co Elem School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #356 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 424 students, 100% FRL); Jefferson Co Jr Hi (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #152 of 179 statewide, top 88%, 165 students, 100% FRL); Jefferson Co High (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #137 of 197 statewide, top 72%, 313 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 446 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,227 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 446 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.03%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-12,139
Equity at exit
$30,411
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,523
Equity at exit
$30,115

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39096

Home prices YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$161 /mo · $1,932/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,171
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $77 -5% $39 +0% $1 +5% $-37 +10% $-76
Rent -10% $-92 -5% $-45 +0% $1 +5% $47 +10% $94
Rate -1.0pp $69 -0.5pp $35 base $1 +0.5pp $-34 +1.0pp $-70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 446 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 445 DOM
  3. 2026-05-06
    status Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  4. 2026-02-12
    status Pending 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  5. 2026-02-04
    price $135,000 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  6. 2026-01-15
    status Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  7. 2025-12-31
    historical 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  8. 2025-11-06
    status Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  9. 2025-10-23
    historical 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  10. 2025-09-23
    status Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  11. 2025-09-10
    historical 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  12. 2025-03-26
    status Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  13. 2025-03-10
    historical 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  14. 2024-12-18
    status Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  15. 2024-11-04
    historical 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

  16. 2024-09-10
    listed $145,000 Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,932 · $161/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,932 · $161/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,067
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,932
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,125
− Management
−$1,125
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$2,280
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$547
After-tax cash flow
$558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County School District
NCES district ID
2802220
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$25,293
Composite
7.24/100
National rank
#9960
State rank
#119 of 130 in MS

Livability — Alcorn State University

Score
60/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#19174

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,267

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,938 people
By 2030
6,583 · -5.1%
By 2040
5,834 · -15.9%
By 2050
5,238 · -24.5%
By 2075
4,303 · -38.0%
By 2100
3,754 · -45.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.7% · R 16.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: 74.4pp · 2024: 66.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+66.3 2020: D+71.5 2016: D+73.8 2012: D+77.8 2008: D+74.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.34%
Current HPI
76.0549
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-02-12 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $135,000 MLSU
  • 2026-01-15 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-11-06 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-10-23 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-09-23 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-09-10 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-03-26 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-03-10 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-12-18 Relisted MLSU
  • 2024-11-04 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-09-10 Listed $145,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,932 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…