4897 Alcorn Rd · Alcorn State University, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
Key facts
- Formal dining
- 3/4 acre lot
- Large fixer upper
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($11/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#224 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, housing F.
- Jefferson County School District (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #119 of 130 in MS (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 98% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jefferson Co Elem School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #356 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 424 students, 100% FRL); Jefferson Co Jr Hi (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #152 of 179 statewide, top 88%, 165 students, 100% FRL); Jefferson Co High (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #137 of 197 statewide, top 72%, 313 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 446 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 446 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.03%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-12,139
- Equity at exit
- $30,411
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,523
- Equity at exit
- $30,115
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39096
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,932/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $1
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $77 | -5% $39 | +0% $1 | +5% $-37 | +10% $-76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-92 | -5% $-45 | +0% $1 | +5% $47 | +10% $94 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $69 | -0.5pp $35 | base $1 | +0.5pp $-34 | +1.0pp $-70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2026-02-12status Pending 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2026-02-04price $135,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2026-01-15status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2025-12-31historical 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2025-11-06status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2025-10-23historical 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2025-09-23status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2025-09-10historical 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2025-03-26status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2025-03-10historical 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2024-12-18status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2024-11-04historical 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
-
2024-09-10$145,000 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Large fixer upper with as much potential as it has space. This 3 bedroom 3 bath home features a formal dining, formal living room, huge primary bedroom and den. All proudly displayed on a 3/4 acre lot. Call it home or add it to your rental portfolio, but be sure to call your favorite agent today to schedule your private tour.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,932 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,932 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,932
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,125
- − Management
- −$1,125
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$2,280
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$547
- After-tax cash flow
- $558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802220
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,293
- Composite
- 7.24/100
- National rank
- #9960
- State rank
- #119 of 130 in MS
Livability — Alcorn State University
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #19174
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,267
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,938 people
- By 2030
- 6,583 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 5,834 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 5,238 · -24.5%
- By 2075
- 4,303 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 3,754 · -45.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.7% · R 16.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 74.4pp · 2024: 66.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+66.3 2020: D+71.5 2016: D+73.8 2012: D+77.8 2008: D+74.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.34%
- Current HPI
- 76.0549
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-12 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $135,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-15 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-11-06 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-10-23 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-09-23 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-09-10 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-03-26 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-03-10 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-12-18 Relisted — MLSU
- 2024-11-04 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-09-10 Listed $145,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,932 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…