26190 Ash Ln · Cole, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$157,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
5 Acres at the end of a private lane offers a secluded setting to enjoy nature. Singlewide mobile home is a fixer-upper. Covered rear deck has unique chuck wagon decor w/ wooden benches and sitting area for outdoor cookouts. Observation deck for nature watching. Two car garage has attached workshop designed by a machinist for welding and wood projects. Workshop is heated by an authentic wood stove w/ built-in fans for cooling. Partial underground well house. Garden spot. Circle drive. Small pond.
Key facts
- Private well
- Small pond
- Covered rear deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a rural, wooded 5-acre parcel; Homestead eligible; Livestock allowed; Property is occupied by owner; Directions: From Blanchard, go S on Hwy 76 to 260th St, East on 260th to Ash Lane. North on Ash Ln to property at the end of the road.
- Financial info: Sold as-is; acceptable terms include cash or conventional financing
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Home design: Manufactured / Mobile home; One level; Residential single-family
- Construction: Composition roof (replaced 2023); Conventional foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered porch; Outbuildings; Pond on property; Storage buildings; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: 4-burner range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Single-level residence; No fireplace; No in-law plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $158k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.8% in Cole — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#439 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Dibble (rural): math 9% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #249 of 270 in OK (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Dibble Es (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #741 of 845 statewide, top 89%, 345 students, 0% FRL); Dibble Hs (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #361 of 447 statewide, top 94%, 206 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 507 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in McClain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- McClain County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $158k implies a 266% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.18%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $30,167
- Equity at exit
- $57,451
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $90,578
- Equity at exit
- $79,281
Cash invested: $44,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73010
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 507
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,648 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$826
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $429/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $374
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,375
- Closing costs
- $4,725
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $157,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $157,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $157,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $157,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $157,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $157,500 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $165,000
-
2026-03-26price $175,000
-
2026-03-12$182,000 Active
-
2015-12-08soldstatus $43,000 Sold 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
5 Acres at the end of a private lane offers a secluded setting to enjoy nature. Singlewide mobile home is a fixer-upper. Covered rear deck has unique chuck wagon decor w/ wooden benches and sitting area for outdoor cookouts. Observation deck for nature watching. Two car garage has attached workshop designed by a machinist for welding and wood projects. Workshop is heated by an authentic wood stove w/ built-in fans for cooling. Partial underground well house. Garden spot. Circle drive. Small pond.
-
2015-10-03status Pending 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
5 Acres at the end of a private lane offers a secluded setting to enjoy nature. Singlewide mobile home is a fixer-upper. Covered rear deck has unique chuck wagon decor w/ wooden benches and sitting area for outdoor cookouts. Observation deck for nature watching. Two car garage has attached workshop designed by a machinist for welding and wood projects. Workshop is heated by an authentic wood stove w/ built-in fans for cooling. Partial underground well house. Garden spot. Circle drive. Small pond.
-
2015-09-01$50,000 Active 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
5 Acres at the end of a private lane offers a secluded setting to enjoy nature. Singlewide mobile home is a fixer-upper. Covered rear deck has unique chuck wagon decor w/ wooden benches and sitting area for outdoor cookouts. Observation deck for nature watching. Two car garage has attached workshop designed by a machinist for welding and wood projects. Workshop is heated by an authentic wood stove w/ built-in fans for cooling. Partial underground well house. Garden spot. Circle drive. Small pond.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $429 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$988/yr (+$82/mo · 230.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,770
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,822
- − Property taxes
- −$429
- − Insurance
- −$788
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,582
- − Management
- −$1,582
- − Depreciation
- −$4,582
- Taxable income
- $1,986
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$477
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,014/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dibble
- NCES district ID
- 4009870
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,532
- Composite
- 8.59/100
- National rank
- #9900
- State rank
- #249 of 270 in OK
Livability — Cole
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #439
- US rank
- #21241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cole, OK
- County
- McClain County · 33,206 people
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,521
- Household income
- $90,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 239.0
Population outlook (McClain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,053 people
- By 2030
- 50,081 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 58,231 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 66,276 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 86,558 · +88.0%
- By 2100
- 100,421 · +118.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · McClain
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.8% · R 79.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.8pp · 2024: -60.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.6 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+51.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.45%
- Current HPI
- 285.8653
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+230.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $165,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $175,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-12 Listed $182,000 MLSOK
- 2015-12-08 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MLSOK
- 2015-10-03 Pending — MLSOK
- 2015-09-01 Listed $50,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $429 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…