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26190 Ash Ln
C+ Composite 61.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$157,500

26190 Ash Ln · Cole, OK 73010
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,470 sqft · Manufactured public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1984 5.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

5 Acres at the end of a private lane offers a secluded setting to enjoy nature. Singlewide mobile home is a fixer-upper. Covered rear deck has unique chuck wagon decor w/ wooden benches and sitting area for outdoor cookouts. Observation deck for nature watching. Two car garage has attached workshop designed by a machinist for welding and wood projects. Workshop is heated by an authentic wood stove w/ built-in fans for cooling. Partial underground well house. Garden spot. Circle drive. Small pond.

Key facts

  • Private well
  • Small pond
  • Covered rear deck

Tags

ABOVE GROUND SAFE ROOMDETACHED GARAGEWOOD STOVE FOR HEATINGCOVERED REAR DECKSMALL PONDPRIVATE WELL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located on a rural, wooded 5-acre parcel; Homestead eligible; Livestock allowed; Property is occupied by owner; Directions: From Blanchard, go S on Hwy 76 to 260th St, East on 260th to Ash Lane. North on Ash Ln to property at the end of the road.
  • Financial info: Sold as-is; acceptable terms include cash or conventional financing
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Home design: Manufactured / Mobile home; One level; Residential single-family
  • Construction: Composition roof (replaced 2023); Conventional foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered porch; Outbuildings; Pond on property; Storage buildings; Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: 4-burner range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Single-level residence; No fireplace; No in-law plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $158k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.8% in Cole — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#439 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dibble (rural): math 9% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #249 of 270 in OK (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Dibble Es (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #741 of 845 statewide, top 89%, 345 students, 0% FRL); Dibble Hs (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #361 of 447 statewide, top 94%, 206 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 507 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in McClain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • McClain County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $158k implies a 266% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $143,325 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.18%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$30,167
Equity at exit
$57,451
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$90,578
Equity at exit
$79,281

Cash invested: $44,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73010

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
507
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,648 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$826
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $429/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,174
Max offer price $157,500
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,375
Closing costs
$4,725
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $157,500 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $157,500 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $157,500 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $157,500 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $157,500 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $157,500 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-04-09
    price $165,000
  15. 2026-03-26
    price $175,000
  16. 2026-03-12
    listed $182,000 Active
  17. 2015-12-08
    soldstatus $43,000 Sold 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    5 Acres at the end of a private lane offers a secluded setting to enjoy nature. Singlewide mobile home is a fixer-upper. Covered rear deck has unique chuck wagon decor w/ wooden benches and sitting area for outdoor cookouts. Observation deck for nature watching. Two car garage has attached workshop designed by a machinist for welding and wood projects. Workshop is heated by an authentic wood stove w/ built-in fans for cooling. Partial underground well house. Garden spot. Circle drive. Small pond.

  18. 2015-10-03
    status Pending 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    5 Acres at the end of a private lane offers a secluded setting to enjoy nature. Singlewide mobile home is a fixer-upper. Covered rear deck has unique chuck wagon decor w/ wooden benches and sitting area for outdoor cookouts. Observation deck for nature watching. Two car garage has attached workshop designed by a machinist for welding and wood projects. Workshop is heated by an authentic wood stove w/ built-in fans for cooling. Partial underground well house. Garden spot. Circle drive. Small pond.

  19. 2015-09-01
    listed $50,000 Active 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    5 Acres at the end of a private lane offers a secluded setting to enjoy nature. Singlewide mobile home is a fixer-upper. Covered rear deck has unique chuck wagon decor w/ wooden benches and sitting area for outdoor cookouts. Observation deck for nature watching. Two car garage has attached workshop designed by a machinist for welding and wood projects. Workshop is heated by an authentic wood stove w/ built-in fans for cooling. Partial underground well house. Garden spot. Circle drive. Small pond.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$429 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,418 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$988/yr (+$82/mo · 230.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,770
− Mortgage interest
−$8,822
− Property taxes
−$429
− Insurance
−$788
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,582
− Management
−$1,582
− Depreciation
−$4,582
Taxable income
$1,986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$477
After-tax cash flow
$4,014/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dibble
NCES district ID
4009870
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$43,532
Composite
8.59/100
National rank
#9900
State rank
#249 of 270 in OK

Livability — Cole

Score
58/100
State rank
#439
US rank
#21241

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cole, OK
County
McClain County · 33,206 people
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,521
Household income
$90,110
Rent vs Own
15.2% rent · 84.8% own
Severe rent burden
239.0

Population outlook (McClain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,053 people
By 2030
50,081 · +8.7%
By 2040
58,231 · +26.4%
By 2050
66,276 · +43.9%
By 2075
86,558 · +88.0%
By 2100
100,421 · +118.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · McClain

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.8% · R 79.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.8pp · 2024: -60.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.6 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+51.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.45%
Current HPI
285.8653
Rent YoY
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $165,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $175,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $182,000 MLSOK
  • 2015-12-08 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MLSOK
  • 2015-10-03 Pending MLSOK
  • 2015-09-01 Listed $50,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $429 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…