2002 Montgomery St SW · Decatur, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bedroom Ranch - come create your own style! This home offers the perfect opportunity to update and customize -- all just minutes from shopping, restaurants and essential services.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Built 1974
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Metes And Bounds
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1974
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $767 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 4.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Decatur City (urban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 129 in AL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Woodmeade Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 354 students, 76% FRL); Austin Middle School (math 18% / reading 39%, grade F, #138 of 257 statewide, top 54%, 714 students, 77% FRL); Austin High School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,025 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 57% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.74%
- DSCR
- 3.66
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,348
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -69.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 Montgomery St SW | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,393 (-14%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $47 | 76 |
| 1019 Terrehaute Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (-9%) | 1mo | $227,500 | $153 | 57 |
| 711 Canterbury Ave SW | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,744 (+7%) | 17mo | $211,000 | $121 | 54 |
| 1302 Fletcher Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,709 (+5%) | 2mo | $128,700 | $75 | 52 |
| 1704 SW Douthit St SW | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (-9%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $135 | 52 |
| 1908 Rhodes St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+11%) | 3mo | $254,900 | $142 | 49 |
| 1609 SW 8th St SW | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+11%) | 8mo | $186,000 | $103 | 39 |
| 1613 8th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-11%) | 17mo | $199,000 | $137 | 33 |
| 1503 Aragon Cir SW | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-13%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $142 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $42,291
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 65.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.13×
- Total profit
- $109,786
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35601
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,395 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $284/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $767
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $798 | -5% $782 | +0% $767 | +5% $751 | +10% $736 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $656 | -5% $712 | +0% $767 | +5% $822 | +10% $877 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $794 | -0.5pp $781 | base $767 | +0.5pp $752 | +1.0pp $738 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1504 Faye St SW Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1518 15th Ave SW Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 609 7th Ave SW Decatur, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,425 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2402 Gaslight Pl SW Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,025 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2131 Westmead Dr SW Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2151 Westmead Dr SW Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,445 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2151 Westmead Dr SW Unit na Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,445 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1812 Kathy Lane Ct SW Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,700 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1417 Brookline Ave SW Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,050 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 182-char remark
-
2026-05-03$55,000 Active 182-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $284 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $284 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$284
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $8,817
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,116
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,084/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur City
- NCES district ID
- 0101170
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,170
- Composite
- 26.21/100
- National rank
- #7261
- State rank
- #66 of 129 in AL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #5989
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, AL
- County
- Morgan County · 67,628 people
- City population
- 67,628
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,449
- Household income
- $51,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1386.0
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,775 people
- By 2030
- 116,979 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 111,800 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 105,181 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 87,736 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 67,624 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 24% Two or more races 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.26%
- Current HPI
- 247.8437
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+18.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Sold (MLS) $65,000 VMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-05-03 Listed $55,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $284 · +28.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…