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32377 Back Nine Way #3747
D Composite 41.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$333,000

32377 Back Nine Way #3747 · Millsboro, DE 19966
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,432 sqft · Condo · 261 Days on market
Built 2005 Good condition $137/sqft · 8% below area Est $362k · 8% under $321/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this meticulously maintained 3 bedroom 2.5 bath townhome located in the highly sought after Baywood Greens community. Spread across two spacious levels with a finished basement, this home offers both comfort and style. Recent updates include beautiful new hardwood floors upstairs and in the inviting family room, adding a modern touch to the open concept living spaces. The home has been well maintained with frequently serviced HVAC and a replaced A/C unit. The unit also has brand new washer and dryer! Step outside into your private courtyard, perfect for enjoying a peaceful moment or hosting friends. The home also features a two car garage, a charming front porch, and a balcony with stunning views of the signature eighteenth green, clubhouse, and driving range, an ideal setting for watching sunsets or the occasional wedding! As a resident of Baywood Greens, you will enjoy exclusive perks such as special discounts on golf at the renowned Baywood Greens course and on food at the clubhouse. The community is known for its active atmosphere with frequent events that bring neighbors together and create a strong sense of belonging. For those who enjoy an active lifestyle, the community offers access to both tennis and pickleball courts, providing endless opportunities for fun and friendly competition. You will also have access to private beaches and a private pool for relaxation, as well as rentable boat slips for boating enthusiasts. For dog owners, the community features designated dog parks that offer plenty of space for pets to socialize and play. This quarters land lease and HOA included in sale!

Key facts

  • Balcony with views
  • Private pool
  • Finished basement

Tags

PRIVATE COURTYARDFINISHED BASEMENTLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGBALCONY WITH VIEWSPRIVATE POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $333k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-186 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (8.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $308k (7.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $293k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Millsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#44 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, cost of living B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Long Neck Elementary School (math 22% / reading 35%, grade F, #57 of 105 statewide, top 55%, 693 students, 0% FRL); Millsboro Middle School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #14 of 36 statewide, top 37%, 771 students, 0% FRL); Sussex Central High School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #24 of 40 statewide, top 59%, 2,039 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 999 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,084/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($293k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $293,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.39%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$361,502
List price
$333,000
Delta
-7.88%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32431 Back Nine Way #3761 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,365 (-3%) 0mo $262,000 $111 85
26178 Milby Cir 1.40mi 4/3.5 2,400 (-1%) 1mo $465,000 $194 58
24913 Rivers Edge Rd 1.35mi 4/2.0 2,281 (-6%) 2mo $500,000 $219 51
32555 Long Iron Way #3211 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 3,000 (+23%) 1mo $375,000 $125 49
24904 Crooked Stick Way #4335 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,860 (-24%) 0mo $345,000 $185 47
24811 Rivers Edge Rd 0.99mi 4/2.5 2,153 (-12%) 1mo $489,900 $228 45
25061 Dogleg Way #4085 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,854 (-24%) 1mo $380,435 $205 44
24819 Rivers Edge Rd 1.04mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,195 (-10%) 1mo $460,000 $210 43
34423 Derrickson Dr 1.37mi 4/3.0 2,868 (+18%) 1mo $800,000 $279 37
33370 Court Dr 1.46mi 4/2.0 1,857 (-24%) 1mo $340,000 $183 37
24879 Rivers Edge Rd 1.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,872 (-23%) 1mo $460,000 $246 32
33876 Sea Otter Way 1.46mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,927 (+20%) 0mo $625,000 $214 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.2%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-65,548
Equity at exit
$49,651
10-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-71,322
Equity at exit
$28,792

Cash invested: $93,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19966

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
999
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,746
Tax est. 1.5%
$416 /mo · $4,995/yr
Insurance
$139
HOA
$321
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$648
Net cashflow
$-186

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,319
Max offer price $306,120
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $44 -5% $-71 +0% $-186 +5% $-301 +10% $-416
Rent -10% $-429 -5% $-308 +0% $-186 +5% $-64 +10% $58
Rate -1.0pp $-18 -0.5pp $-101 base $-186 +0.5pp $-272 +1.0pp $-360

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,250
Closing costs
$9,990
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32814 Greens Way #3160 Millsboro, DE 4.0 3.5 3300 $3,200 $0.97 93d 1 0.28mi
24850 Rivers Edge Rd Millsboro, DE 3.0 2.5 2069 $2,300 $1.11 93d 1 1.16mi
24201 Hammerhead Dr Millsboro, DE 3.0 3.0 1751 $3,200 $1.83 62d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail $321/mo · $3,852/yr condo

Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $333,000 Active 261 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $333,000 Active 260 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $333,000 Active 259 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $333,000 Active 258 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $333,000 Active 257 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $333,000 Active 256 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $333,000 Active 253 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $333,000 Active 251 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $333,000 Active 249 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $333,000 Active 247 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $333,000 Active 246 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $333,000 Active 245 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $333,000 Active 244 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $333,000 Active 243 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $333,000 Active 240 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $333,000 Active 238 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $333,000 Active 237 DOM
  18. 2026-07-13
    days on market $333,000 Active 235 DOM
  19. 2026-07-12
    days on market $333,000 Active 234 DOM
  20. 2026-07-11
    days on market $333,000 Active 233 DOM
  21. 2026-07-10
    days on market $333,000 Active 232 DOM
  22. 2026-07-09
    days on market $333,000 Active 231 DOM
  23. 2026-07-08
    days on market $333,000 Active 230 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $333,000 Active 229 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $333,000 Active 228 DOM
  26. 2026-07-05
    days on market $333,000 Active 227 DOM
  27. 2026-07-04
    days on market $333,000 Active 226 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $333,000 Active 225 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $333,000 Active 224 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $333,000 Active 223 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $333,000 Active 222 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $333,000 Active 221 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $333,000 Active 220 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $333,000 Active 219 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $333,000 Active 218 DOM
  36. 2026-06-25
    days on market $333,000 Active 216 DOM
  37. 2026-06-23
    days on market $333,000 Active 214 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $333,000 Active 213 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $333,000 Active 210 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $333,000 Active 209 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $333,000 Active 208 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $333,000 Active 207 DOM
  43. 2026-06-14
    days on market $333,000 Active 205 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $333,000 Active 204 DOM
  45. 2026-06-10
    days on market $333,000 Active 202 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $333,000 Active 201 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $333,000 Active 200 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $333,000 Active 199 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    days on market $333,000 Active 194 DOM
  50. 2026-06-01
    days on market $333,000 Active 193 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,011
− Mortgage interest
−$18,653
− Property taxes
−$4,995
− Insurance
−$1,665
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,961
− Management
−$2,961
− HOA
−$3,852
− Depreciation
−$9,687
Taxable loss
−$7,764
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,863
After-tax cash flow
$-366/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $12,160–$36,480 screening

This well-maintained and updated townhome in Baywood Greens offers a good condition with recent improvements and a private courtyard, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both painting — fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Both HVAC servicing — ensures comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 31/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Long Neck Elementary School F DE #57/105 Nat'l #28,012/41,679 Middle Millsboro Middle School F DE #14/36 Nat'l #8,059/14,009 High Sussex Central High School F DE #24/40 Nat'l #10,333/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River School District
NCES district ID
1000680
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$53,838
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#6620
State rank
#14 of 26 in DE
C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Millsboro

Score
66/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#12135

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime D- Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sussex County · 248,853 people
City population
35,884
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
35,884
Household income
$78,305
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
5% of renters

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-1.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $333,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $335,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $337,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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