3314 Silver Creek Rd · Silver Creek, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2.1 acre corner lot on the edge of Silver Creek. Lot has a house on it that could either be restored or could have nice lot to build your dream home. Lots of possibilities. House is unsafe, no access.
Key facts
- 2.1 acre corner lot
- Edge of silver creek
- 2.1 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#305 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Twin River Public Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #79 of 111 in NE (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Merrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $899 appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Merrick County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 77.50%
- DSCR
- 4.45
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,774
- List price
- $34,900
- Delta
- -59.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 Highway 30 Rd | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,284 (+8%) | 1mo | $79,000 | $62 | 65 |
| 3111 33rd Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+8%) | 10mo | $18,000 | $14 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.66×
- Total profit
- $35,753
- Equity at exit
- $14,865
- IRR
- 66.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.52×
- Total profit
- $83,262
- Equity at exit
- $22,285
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68663
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,133 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $796/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $506
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18price $34,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $44,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $44,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $44,900 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Nice 2.1 acre corner lot on the edge of Silver Creek. Lot has a house on it that could either be restored or could have nice lot to build your dream home. Lots of possibilities. House is unsafe, no access.
-
2026-04-13$54,900 Active 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Nice 2.1 acre corner lot on the edge of Silver Creek. Lot has a house on it that could either be restored or could have nice lot to build your dream home. Lots of possibilities. House is unsafe, no access.
-
2006-06-26soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $796 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $796 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$796
- − Insurance
- −$1,677
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $5,976
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,434
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,636/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin River Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100129
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,425
- Composite
- 39.44/100
- National rank
- #3961
- State rank
- #79 of 111 in NE
Livability — Silver Creek
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #305
- US rank
- #11525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 734
Population outlook (Merrick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,635 people
- By 2030
- 7,504 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 7,217 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 6,843 · -10.4%
- By 2075
- 5,739 · -24.8%
- By 2100
- 4,320 · -43.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 24% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Merrick
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.8% · R 81.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -65.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.0 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+62.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+40.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.58%
- Current HPI
- 257.981
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-10.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $44,900 GIBOR
- 2026-04-13 Listed $54,900 GIBOR
- 2006-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $796 · -15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…