CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3314 Silver Creek Rd
B+ Composite 76.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$34,900

3314 Silver Creek Rd · Silver Creek, NE 68663
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,194 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1920 2.10 ac lot $29/sqft · 60% below area ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 2.1 acre corner lot on the edge of Silver Creek. Lot has a house on it that could either be restored or could have nice lot to build your dream home. Lots of possibilities. House is unsafe, no access.

Key facts

  • 2.1 acre corner lot
  • Edge of silver creek
  • 2.1 acre lot

Tags

2.1 ACRE CORNER LOTEDGE OF SILVER CREEK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#305 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Twin River Public Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #79 of 111 in NE (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Merrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $899 appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Merrick County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $32,806 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.25%
Cap rate
27.99%
Cash-on-cash
77.50%
DSCR
4.45
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,774
List price
$34,900
Delta
-59.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
304 Highway 30 Rd 0.31mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,284 (+8%) 1mo $79,000 $62 65
3111 33rd Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+8%) 10mo $18,000 $14 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.6%
Equity multiple
4.66×
Total profit
$35,753
Equity at exit
$14,865
10-year hold
IRR
66.5%
Equity multiple
9.52×
Total profit
$83,262
Equity at exit
$22,285

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68663

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,133 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $796/yr
Insurance
$15
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $492
Max offer price $34,900
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,725
Closing costs
$1,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $34,900 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,900 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,900 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,900 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,900 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,900 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $44,900 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,900 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,900 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,900 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,900 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $44,900 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,900 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,900 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    price $44,900 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Nice 2.1 acre corner lot on the edge of Silver Creek. Lot has a house on it that could either be restored or could have nice lot to build your dream home. Lots of possibilities. House is unsafe, no access.

  17. 2026-04-13
    listed $54,900 Active 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Nice 2.1 acre corner lot on the edge of Silver Creek. Lot has a house on it that could either be restored or could have nice lot to build your dream home. Lots of possibilities. House is unsafe, no access.

  18. 2006-06-26
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$796 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$796 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,594
− Mortgage interest
−$1,955
− Property taxes
−$796
− Insurance
−$1,677
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,088
− Management
−$1,088
− Depreciation
−$1,015
Taxable income
$5,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,434
After-tax cash flow
$4,636/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin River Public Schools
NCES district ID
3100129
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,425
Composite
39.44/100
National rank
#3961
State rank
#79 of 111 in NE

Livability — Silver Creek

Score
66/100
State rank
#305
US rank
#11525

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
734

Population outlook (Merrick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,635 people
By 2030
7,504 · -1.7%
By 2040
7,217 · -5.5%
By 2050
6,843 · -10.4%
By 2075
5,739 · -24.8%
By 2100
4,320 · -43.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 24% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Merrick

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.8% · R 81.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-24.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -65.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.0 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+62.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.58%
Current HPI
257.981
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $44,900 GIBOR
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $54,900 GIBOR
  • 2006-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $796 · -15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…