2435 N 10th St · Coos Bay, OR 97420

$125,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1937 0.38 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +4.7/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investor special! Bring your tools and vision to unlock the potential in this spacious home offering a beautiful, secluded view of the bay. Nestled among the trees and overlooking the water, this property presents a rare opportunity to create something truly special. Ideal for buyers ready to put in the work and make it their own. Buyer and buyer’s agent to perform all due diligence. Listing Agent is Related to Seller/Personal Representative

Key facts

• Secluded view
• 0.38 acre lot
• Garage

Tags

• SECLUDED VIEW
• OVERLOOKING THE WATER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
• Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.2% in Coos Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#257 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Coos Bay SD 9 (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 58 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Eastside School (315 students, 50% FRL); Marshfield Senior High School (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #89 of 143 statewide, top 62%, 835 students, 31% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.54% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.56%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.37%
• DSCR: 2.00
• GRM: 5.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $299,592
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2435 N 10th St	0.00mi	3/1.0	1,026 (0%)	0mo	$125,000	$122	100
3840 Vista Dr	0.45mi	3/1.0	1,026 (0%)	2mo	$355,000	$346	77
3795 Vista Ct	0.39mi	3/1.0	1,000 (-2%)	9mo	$250,000	$250	70
1630 Underwood Ave	0.37mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,093 (+6%)	1mo	$285,000	$261	66
3775 Vista Dr	0.39mi	3/2.0	1,056 (+3%)	12mo	$355,400	$337	63
607 Commercial St	0.49mi	3/1.0	992 (-3%)	12mo	$240,000	$242	62
3470 Chester St	0.47mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,064 (+4%)	11mo	$259,000	$243	58
3336 Sherman Ave	0.49mi	2/1.0 (-1)	990 (-4%)	13mo	$289,000	$292	56
2035 Juniper Ave	0.75mi	2/1.0 (-1)	963 (-6%)	2mo	$315,000	$327	48
765 State St	0.55mi	2/1.0 (-1)	920 (-10%)	6mo	$319,000	$347	47
3275 Chester St	0.56mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,096 (+7%)	13mo	$320,000	$292	47
909 State St	0.57mi	3/1.0	1,175 (+14%)	9mo	$269,000	$229	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.90×
• Total profit: $31,541
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: 32.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.64×
• Total profit: $127,557
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Oregon: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 97420

• Rents YoY: 8.7%
• Active inventory: 342
• Price-to-rent: 5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,931 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$165 /mo · $1,981/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$405
• Net cashflow: $653

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,105

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
510 Lombard St North Bend, OR	3.0	2.0	1384	$2,200	$1.59	44d	1	0.75mi
2150 Inland Dr Unit 3643-04 North Bend, OR	2.0	1.0	820	$1,200	$1.46	44d	1	0.92mi
2146 Monroe Ave Unit 2146 North Bend, OR	3.0	1.5	1456	$2,100	$1.44	44d	1	1.36mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-08
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-03
   listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,981 · $165/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,981 · $165/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥76°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,168
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$1,981
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,853
• − Management: −$1,853
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $6,216
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,492
• After-tax cash flow: $6,338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Coos Bay SD 9
• NCES district ID: 4103660
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $38,630
• Composite: 25.46/100
• National rank: #7450
• State rank: #45 of 58 in OR

Livability — Coos Bay

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #257
• US rank: #17474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Coos Bay, OR
• County: Coos County · 27,621 people
• City population: 27,621
• Metro: Coos Bay, OR
• Population (ZIP): 27,621
• Household income: $61,574
• Rent vs Own: 32.7% rent · 67.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 799.0

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 62,222 people
• By 2030: 61,120 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 58,478 · -6.0%
• By 2050: 56,819 · -8.7%
• By 2075: 54,915 · -11.7%
• By 2100: 51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

• 2024 margin: R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -315.58%
• Current HPI: 198.3249
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.65%
• Metro: Coos Bay, OR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	1	$51B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-08 Pending — RMLS
• 2026-04-03 Listed $125,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,981 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.