1456 Thurston Ave Unit A801 · Urban Honolulu, HI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$238,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
** THIS IS A LEASEHOLD UNIT - FEE AVAILABLE FOR PURCHASE ** Thoughtfully designed and completely remodeled, this 2 bedroom, 1 bath unit with 1 assigned uncovered parking stall is move-in ready and an exceptional value for its new owner. Renovations include: All new EVERYTHING - kitchen cabinets, quartz countertops, appliances, (fridge, range, microwave hood, stacked washer/dryer, tankless water heater) luxury vinyl plank flooring, window coverings, bathroom fixtures, shower, scraped ceilings and a fresh coat of paint throughout. It’s central location is within close proximity to many of Honolulu’s acclaimed attractions, shops, & restaurants. VICTORIA MANSIONS has four units per floor, is secured by video surveillance, fob access for the elevators & floors, and is well maintained/managed by its resident manager. Fee available for $201,760 for transactions closing by March, 31, 2022; $203,865 if by June 30, 2022.
Key facts
- New floors
- Updated bath
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly lease amount: $463 (lease expires 2065-06-30); Maintenance expense: $801
- HOA & community: Association covers common areas, sewer, and water; On-site management; Community pool; Trash chute
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (1 space); Has open parking
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Secured elevator; Key card entry
- Utilities: Water included in association fees; Sewer included in association fees
- Home design: Victoria Mansions building; Entry on level 8; Excellent condition
- Construction: Concrete construction
- Exterior features: Closed-circuit cameras; Secured elevator; Key card entry; Has view; Leasehold property
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: End unit; Vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $238k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $238k).
- Recommended offer: $234k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $129k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.11%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.71% appreciation · 5.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $55,023
- Equity at exit
- $103,140
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $183,651
- Equity at exit
- $156,000
Cash invested: $66,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 37 Tenant-Leaning
- State Hawaii
- 37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96822
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,287 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,248
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,312/yr
- Insurance
- −$99
- HOA
- −$801
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$690
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,500
- Closing costs
- $7,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1568 Pensacola St Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 523 | $2,735 | $5.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1535 Pensacola St #209 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 493 | $2,700 | $5.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1401 Lusitana St #504 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 527 | $2,700 | $5.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 801 S King St Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $2,895 | $4.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1717 Mott-Smith Dr #2403 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $2,700 | $4.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1315 Liona St Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 606 | $3,950 | $6.52 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 888 Kapiolani Blvd Honolulu, HI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1162 | $6,750 | $5.81 | 3d | 4 | 0.66mi |
| 225 Auwaiolimu St Honolulu, HI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $3,800 | $5.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 909 Kapiolani Blvd Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $3,600 | $4.55 | 3d | 2 | 0.74mi |
| 1515 Liona St #4407 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 606 | $3,750 | $6.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1296 Kapiolani Blvd Honolulu, HI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $3,550 | $3.64 | 14d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 1009 Kapiolani Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 745 | $3,400 | $4.56 | 23d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 1009 Kapiolani Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 730 | $3,198 | $4.38 | 1d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 1314 Kalakaua Ave Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $4,675 | $6.04 | 23d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 600 Queen St Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $4,100 | $4.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1500 Rycroft St Unit 3903 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 571 | $3,750 | $6.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1500 Rycroft St Unit 2607R Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $3,500 | $5.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1500 Rycroft St Unit 2306R Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 563 | $4,000 | $7.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1500 Rycroft St Unit 3005R Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 523 | $3,200 | $6.12 | 20d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1500 Rycroft St Unit 1904 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $3,400 | $6.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1500 Rycroft St Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 523 | $3,200 | $6.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1500 Rycroft St Unit 2304 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 569 | $3,200 | $5.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1515 Nuuanu Ave Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 574 | $2,600 | $4.53 | 19d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 987 Queen St Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 606 | $3,975 | $6.56 | 43d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 987 Queen St Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 554 | $5,200 | $9.39 | 17d | 9 | 0.88mi |
| 987 Queen St Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 453 | $3,800 | $8.39 | 10d | 9 | 0.88mi |
| 987 Queen St Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 554 | $5,200 | $9.39 | 16d | 8 | 0.88mi |
| 1388 Kapiolani Blvd Unit 3910 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $4,000 | $6.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1388 Kapiolani Blvd #2703 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 574 | $3,500 | $6.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1388 Kapiolani Blvd #4205 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 567 | $4,500 | $7.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1388 Kapiolani Blvd #2903 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 574 | $3,500 | $6.10 | 10d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1133 Waimanu St #405 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,700 | $4.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1133 Waimanu St #1808 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 556 | $2,800 | $5.04 | 11d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 988 Halekauwila St Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 511 | $2,700 | $5.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 988 Halekauwila St #906 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 744 | $3,500 | $4.70 | 11d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 988 Halekauwila St Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 738 | $3,600 | $4.88 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 988 Halekauwila St Unit Ke Kilohana Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 739 | $3,700 | $5.01 | 10d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 629 Keeaumoku St Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $3,350 | $5.42 | 2d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 629 Keeaumoku St Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 919 | $6,300 | $6.86 | 43d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 629 Keeaumoku St Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $6,300 | $6.82 | 17d | 2 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $801 · $9,612/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $238,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $238,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $238,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $238,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $238,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $238,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $238,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $238,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $238,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $238,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $238,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $238,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $238,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $238,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $238,000 Active 5 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast HI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,312 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,312 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,447
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,332
- − Property taxes
- −$1,312
- − Insurance
- −$1,190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,156
- − Management
- −$3,156
- − HOA
- −$9,612
- − Depreciation
- −$6,924
- Taxable income
- $767
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$184
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,888/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawaii Department Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 1500030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,005
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4504
- State rank
- #1 of 1 in HI
Livability — Urban Honolulu
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- County
- Honolulu County · 963,448 people
- City population
- 309,956
- Metro
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,747
- Household income
- $95,947
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Honolulu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,072,641 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,460 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,181,593 · +10.2%
- By 2050
- 1,257,584 · +17.2%
- By 2075
- 1,501,120 · +39.9%
- By 2100
- 1,764,430 · +64.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 48% White 21% Two or more races 20% Pacific Islander 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · South Korea, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Chinese 4% Korean 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Honolulu
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.6) · D 59.9% · R 38.3% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.1pp · 2024: 21.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.6 2020: D+26.9 2016: D+29.9 2012: D+39.1 2008: D+41.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Current HPI
- 273.9456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.35%
- Metro
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-60.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Relisted — HiCentral MLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $238,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $367,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2022-02-18 Sold (MLS) $215,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2022-01-17 Listed $218,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2021-12-23 Listing Removed — HiCentral MLS
- 2021-12-13 Listed $315,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2001-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $383,200 Public Records
- 1988-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2022): $1,312 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…